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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Verde AgriTech Ltd. T.NPK

Alternate Symbol(s):  VNPKF

Verde AgriTech Ltd is an agricultural technology company that produces potash fertilizers. The principal activity of the Company is the production and sale of a multinutrient potassium fertilizer marketed in Brazil under the brands K Forte and BAKS, and internationally as Super Greensand (the Product). K Forte is a potash fertilizer that is a source of potassium, silicon, and magnesium and... see more

TSX:NPK - Post Discussion

Verde AgriTech Ltd. > All in line
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Post by PedroPistacio on Aug 10, 2022 10:12am

All in line

This all seems bang in line as far as I can see. With no new news announced, perhaps the market is a bit disappointed, given CV's news flow flurry earlier in the year. However as I see it the big kicker comes in Q3 when plant 2 has hopefully kicked in. Sounds like we should get some confirmation on its commissioning sometime soon, and given that no negative news was released today on that score then my read is that it is on schedule.
Comment by MuttleyKnows on Aug 10, 2022 10:24am
Agreed. Everything looks in line with forecast. Slight miss on EPS due to increased fuel costs. They can't control that but the impact was not significant. Most importantly, the company confirmed full year guidance so they expect they can make up the difference in the second half. This indicates to me that everything is a go for the second plant in august. 
Comment by Abruzz0 on Aug 10, 2022 3:36pm
This is a brilliant Q2 for Verde. In light of market turbelances, it is even more impressive.  The demand for Verde's potash is clear, the question is how swiftly can it shoot a constant burst of ever larger volumes. Let's hope all goes well with the productoin of its Mine 2. That will be a watershed moment, in one direction or another. 
Comment by BCdude on Aug 11, 2022 11:32am
I bought a little more today, too. The one question I have is how will a decline in potash prices to historical levels affect profitability. They've added plenty of expenses to supercharge growth, so I'm assuming some of those expenses would be scaled back if potash prices fall too far. As well, I'm assuming higher volumes will help to mitigate some of that pressure.
Comment by PedroPistacio on Aug 11, 2022 1:28pm
Much higher volumes should reduce costs, as will lower diesel. A higher % sale of blended versions should help the margin too. Good questions to out to CV in the presentation/Q&A next Tuesday though. It's the transportation volume ramp up that I want to understand. 
Comment by goldwatch69 on Aug 12, 2022 12:33pm
I guarantee you there will be no decline to historical lows. It's just not possible to produce data profit at ridiculously low prices The market will be lucky to see Kaiser's forecast of around $500 for KCl
Comment by PedroPistacio on Aug 12, 2022 1:08pm
Has there been a recent Kaiser update? Please post a link if so, thanks.
Comment by kanerfalk on Aug 12, 2022 2:20pm
https://youtu.be/1PZVvZ7AyCU
Comment by Benedictus on Aug 13, 2022 1:20am
  never say never. But importantly the company is slated to generate enough revenue this year to build plant 3 with with exceptional unit economics. Along with a high margin add on like Bio- Rev, and farmer loyalty growth, this should enable Verde to more readily shoulder a possible potash supply glut in 2025. If such a scenario were to occur I could see a full moth balling of plant 1 with ...more