Post by
PedroPistacio on Aug 10, 2022 10:12am
All in line
This all seems bang in line as far as I can see. With no new news announced, perhaps the market is a bit disappointed, given CV's news flow flurry earlier in the year. However as I see it the big kicker comes in Q3 when plant 2 has hopefully kicked in. Sounds like we should get some confirmation on its commissioning sometime soon, and given that no negative news was released today on that score then my read is that it is on schedule.
Comment by
MuttleyKnows on Aug 10, 2022 10:24am
Agreed. Everything looks in line with forecast. Slight miss on EPS due to increased fuel costs. They can't control that but the impact was not significant. Most importantly, the company confirmed full year guidance so they expect they can make up the difference in the second half. This indicates to me that everything is a go for the second plant in august.
Comment by
Abruzz0 on Aug 10, 2022 3:36pm
This is a brilliant Q2 for Verde. In light of market turbelances, it is even more impressive. The demand for Verde's potash is clear, the question is how swiftly can it shoot a constant burst of ever larger volumes. Let's hope all goes well with the productoin of its Mine 2. That will be a watershed moment, in one direction or another.
Comment by
BCdude on Aug 11, 2022 11:32am
I bought a little more today, too. The one question I have is how will a decline in potash prices to historical levels affect profitability. They've added plenty of expenses to supercharge growth, so I'm assuming some of those expenses would be scaled back if potash prices fall too far. As well, I'm assuming higher volumes will help to mitigate some of that pressure.
Comment by
PedroPistacio on Aug 11, 2022 1:28pm
Much higher volumes should reduce costs, as will lower diesel. A higher % sale of blended versions should help the margin too. Good questions to out to CV in the presentation/Q&A next Tuesday though. It's the transportation volume ramp up that I want to understand.
Comment by
goldwatch69 on Aug 12, 2022 12:33pm
I guarantee you there will be no decline to historical lows. It's just not possible to produce data profit at ridiculously low prices The market will be lucky to see Kaiser's forecast of around $500 for KCl
Comment by
PedroPistacio on Aug 12, 2022 1:08pm
Has there been a recent Kaiser update? Please post a link if so, thanks.
Comment by
kanerfalk on Aug 12, 2022 2:20pm
https://youtu.be/1PZVvZ7AyCU