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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Obsidian Energy Ltd T.OBE

Alternate Symbol(s):  OBE

Obsidian Energy Ltd. is a Canada-based exploration and production company. The Company operates in one segment, to explore for, develop and hold interests in oil and natural gas properties and related production infrastructure in the Western Canada Sedimentary Basin directly and through investments in securities of subsidiaries holding such interests. It has a portfolio of assets producing... see more

TSX:OBE - Post Discussion

Obsidian Energy Ltd > Bne/Obe 2020 sept merger that failed
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Post by kavern23 on Jan 16, 2024 1:55am

Bne/Obe 2020 sept merger that failed

The Obe offer of 2 for 1 back sept of 2020 may sound like an overpayment now but think of the context of the time and options available.
oil was 36-40 dollars that summer, Obe net debt was 480 at q3 2020 and Bne was 295m.
The share exchange ratio was probably based a lot on this the debt level and not as much on "Value' of the companies..it really was survival times. Obe was 40 cents on sept 2020 when it made this offer.
the market was so bad with oil so low, nobody was doing hostile takeovers on Obe.
Remember Obe price assumption for 2021 when it made Bne offer in 2020 fall was 50 wti.
could Obe really make 2021 with 480m in debt and 50 wti and a 25k boe Obe producer? 
But oil happened to hit 75 by summer of 2021 and Obe made it.

Nobody can be mad at either management team because neither did a rights offering and allow management to get a large ownership for cheap. Rights offerings are so brutal and if 2021 had low oil prices at 50...that likely was in the cards...what else was a option? 

At the time I would guess Bne may have been cautious on how a combined 775m debt company would navigate 2021 with 50 oil. So exchange rate may not matter so much if combined company has so much debt.

go look at financials from those years, it was hard times.

Comment by kavern23 on Jan 16, 2024 2:05am
The point of last post is offering 2 Obe for 1 Bne back in summer of 2020 with market conditions so brutal and share price so low a better option than if "recapitalizing" is only other option? it could have came down to these two options. Can't raise much equity with a 30 cent stock price. not hard to see why they made such a nice pitch to Bne. Before the offer in 2020 Obe was a 30m ...more  
Comment by thetruth54 on Jan 16, 2024 10:02am
Again you are not an investor. You seem to think this is somekind of debate. Personally I don't care what you think nor should any other OBE investor. The fact is that Loukas in 4 years has not created shareholder value. If what he has done is so great it would be reflected in the price of OBE and it is not. Loukas is the CEO and the CEO is the leader of the company and thus he needs to take ...more  
Comment by kavern23 on Jan 16, 2024 10:37am
I am not a pumper as I have clearly stated a good chance oil prices are greasy over next two weeks. EIA reports are bearish...a good chance obe falls even more.  I expect bearish and weakeness in oil and gas prices in Q1 here. A pumper would not stress CAUTION. Gasoline demand was already bad to start 2024 and cold weather isnt going to help. 4 years is not a long time dude. Especially ...more  
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