Pyrogenesis Canada Inc T.PYR

How many torches in the first deal?

[kjs4381]

on another thread someone posed the question. Their response was a guess of 10 to 20. My guess is still 50. Which is what it would take to completely change one of the 10 plants. That would make a lot of sense , and allow for a good assessment before committing to the other 9 plants. Jmo, any other guesses?

[HARJAY]

The math becomes very interesting from there. 50 x $3M ea = $150M  x 9 more plants =  $1 B 350M.  Since i'm not the best in math what woud be the earnings pers share on that scenario and what would that translate in share price  with about 150 M share float at the present moment.

[Skyrocket2]

First deal with client A is expected to be 1000 torches. 1000 x $3M (USD) = $3,000,000,000 selling over 2 years = $1,500,000,000 net margin 2 years (67%) = $1,005,000,000  1 year = $502,500,000 EPS = $3,35 Shares = 150M P/E of 35 = share price = $117,25 USD = $153,76 CAD Just my guess  

[Skyrocket2]

corrected some numbers!

[canyousayiii]

i think the first statement that is questionable is that the "first deal is EXPECTED to be 1,000 torches". Following that are a bunch of loose numbers. Don't get me wrong, I love the $300 share price based on just one client in only one product line....but lets have some serious thoughts as to what folk would be happy for the first torch deal.

[Uncleron]

Skyrocket , to the stars , $157 a share from 1 clients contract...what's it going to be with 2 more contracts ? All 3 contracts signed before Christmas !!! I knew my $100 a share by Christmas prediction was way too conservative......then we have the boring contract , , and the backlog.....Merry Christmas longs ....uncleron is always right ..Cheers................quote=Skyrocket2] First deal

[sandysouci]

kjs: these numbers seems pretty reasonable to me, and the scenario makes sense... I am also thinking of these sorts of intial numbers, as opposed to thousands right off the bat... yup, others will disagree... and it would boost the stock price nicely for sure, because it would suddenly make the entire torch business line seem so much more viable, and would help kick start additional deals with

[vers1demainvert]

Very astute sandy, thousands right off the bat for first contract is rising expectations that could only be disenchanting if not met.

[canyousayiii]

Yep, so many folks think that those calling for high numbers and high srock prices in a matter of weeks are good for the stock. Obviously the market is more cautious, will dictate the terms, and only some lf those on these threads will end up being disappointed or worse. Appreciate those keeping it real even though they are often referred to as bashers or soft bashers.