StageZero Life Sciences Ltd T.SZLS

Barbados Contract Yields ~$12 Million In Revenue Alone!

[AntonWest9]

Long time lurker, finally decided to post...

The new contract with Barbados is looking exciting!

Took a lot of sleuthing but found the weekly stats on how many flights are going to Barbados drom USA & Canada.

Only 3 routes: Toronto, New York and Miami
Average 16-17 flights per week

These planes are usually 100-200, so we'll take 150 and run the numbers as following:

16 flights x 4 week x 12 months = ~800 flights

800 flights x 150 people per flight that need to be tested
= 120,000 people per year

Tests will be discounted due to volume of the contract, so say at $100 per test =
$12,000,000 
Total outstanding shares 49,000,000
12,000,000 / 49,000,000 = $0.245/share EPS

StageZero is trading at a PE ratio of 405.

0.245 x 405 = $99.225/share

If more deals come, and more revenue flow becomes realized the future is bright! :-)

[AntonWest9]

https://www.flightradar24.com/data/airports/bgi/routes 

[gojotv!]

Unfortunately, your analysis is assuming full flights. That's just not happening, especially with infections in Barbados.

[LithLover]

Revenue per test is much higher $200-400 The test kit is sent out to the traveller in advance. After the test practitioner administers the test, the traveller couriers the test kit back to StageZero, using the box sent with the original mailer. Kits are pre-labelled and pre-paid by StageZero for overnight priority shipping. Pricing starts at Cdn$340 for one traveller. The per person rate

[frewil11]

Yes there's probably very little flights if any , but this type of testing could go on for at least 2 to 3 more years, it might turn out to be the new norm for many more than that, so any contracts with travel is huge if you ask me.

[LithLover]

So assume an average of $250 a test and say 50 people per flight which is well under 50% capacity. That's $12,500 per flight.  800 flights a year is $10 million.   So I can see $6-12 million as being realistic. Not to mention the PR and potential for other countries to follow suit.  

[Oilminerdeluxe]

Is the report after close tomorrow?

[Researchbased]

Great catch AntonWest9. Below, only 3 days of data for the only Barbados airport.  Just check the MIAMI )in the "FROM" field) and you get 7 flights, at the worst period in the history of aviation.  Not bad. Then assume similar numbers for NY.  And 10% of that for Toronto for example. And then imagine when people start travelling next year.  And we obtain other

[LithLover]

So only up 10% on a contract worth upwards of $10-12 million a year and only 1 trading day until q3 and we already know they received $1 million in the first 6 weeks of q3 and Timor has the offering oversubscribed.   Let's go!!!

[LithLover]

Rumor

[Researchbased]

We're about 50% below avg # of flights when compared to 2019 data. Live Flight Tracker - Real-Time Flight Tracker Map | Flightradar24 So just iamgine a pickup in the number of flights.  Or having flights with more people in it.   So it's fair to assume that tests will grow much bigger from one Q to another Q over the next 4 quarters starting !

[Liked2Think]

The number of people and flights only going into Barbados is irrelevant.  Nice to have but what does this agreement show? It shows that this is the way things are going to be now.  They can cure covid tomorrow but I dont see this changing again.  They will try to engineer a way so this never happens again.  Is it possible to do that, likely no its very difficult but what can

[Northerencents]

Yes this is a big deal and likely just the tip of an iceberg many countries will be doing the same, if they partner with us that's another question. oversubcribed financing will be great lots of cash to continue ramping up and tomorrow we should surely see some numbers from q3, and hopefully some insight to how q4 is going. we've got instuitions backing us a new high demand testing

[LittleGuy2]

looks to me like an avg of 1 flight daily from Miami from American Airlines at 3:03 PM with the late night flight cancellled each day. The 3 o'clock flight is a 737-800 with max seating of 182. Still good daily business if Stage gets even 40% of that traffic. Add in NYC & YYZ & we are closing in on $500,000/month.