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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Urbanimmersive Inc V.UI

Alternate Symbol(s):  UBMRF

Urbanimmersive Inc. is a Canada-based company, which develops and markets real estate photography technologies and services. The Company is engaged in developing and commercializing immersive, which is a software as a service (SaaS) platform offering immersive marketing solutions, three-dimensional (3D) photographic equipment and photography services to professional photographers. Its segments... see more

TSXV:UI - Post Discussion

Urbanimmersive Inc > Regional banks and the construction industry
View:
Post by Torontojay on Mar 17, 2023 7:39am

Regional banks and the construction industry

Many of these US builders rely on these regional banks for financing on their construction projects. There are an estimated $650b in unrealized losses in the US when you mark to market these bonds. To put things into perspective, Silicon Valley had about $16b in unrealized losses. The potential for this to be a country wide contagion event is very high. I suspect, some of these banks are not going to have the liquidity to provide financing for these developers. The Bank Term Funding Program will  provide liquidity so that depositors have access to their money and not necessarily to provide more loans. 

Without the financing, the housing market will freeze. We are already in a housing recession and this financial crisis is only going to compound the problem for developers/builders. 

Btw, when the debt ceiling gets raised, expect the situation to get worse. Mortgages are going to go higher and the economy is going to break. Historically speaking, the Fed pivots about 3 months after peak terminal rates but this is just confirmation that the recession has arrived.

Comment by kaykay22222 on Mar 17, 2023 12:07pm
When the FED pivots, long term bond prices rise, and the banking issue will be solved. Also Mortgage rates will be closer to 10y yield, which is going back to 3% right now.
Comment by Torontojay on Mar 17, 2023 12:29pm
Yes, but at the expense of job losses and a recession.  Inflation doesn't immaculately get to 2% without a turbulent landing. 
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