Gold, Silver & SP500 Trading Charts & Video
Last week was amazing for both gold and index traders as gold surged higher and the SP500 tested a key resistance level, then fell 4% in our favor. In the past couple weeks, the mini market crash and Euro issues have made the market extra volatile, and activity on both gold and the broad market (SP500) index has been wild.
The added volatility makes trading more difficult because price patterns become less predictable and price movements are much larger, increasing the risk for traders.
Below are the charts and videos showing what to look for in the coming days.
GLD – Gold ETF Trading
Gold continues to trend higher at an accelerated rate. On Friday, we saw gold pull back and test a key support level. It then bounced to close in the middle of the day’s trading range. As you can see, the trend line support has become very steep and once the trend line support is broken I figure there will be a sharp drop to digest the recent rally.
SLV – Silver ETF Trading
Silver popped and tested a key resistance level from a previous high as expected. It also tested the top of its trend channel, providing even more resistance. This week will be interesting as we wait to see if precious metals have a small pullback or continue to rally.
SPY – SP500 Index ETF Trading Chart
This chart clearly shows what I think is about to unfold by looking at the past market drop. Because of the mini market crash, triggering everyone’s stops already, I figure we have made the low and the dip we are seeing now will drift down a few more percentage points then bottom out.
ES M0 – SP500 Mini Futures Trading Setup – Pre-Drop
Below is a chart of the SP500. As you can see, we saw the ES mini contract drift into a key pivot point on light volume. What this means is that a large group of sellers will be waiting at that price, and because volume is light, we know there are not many buyers at this price level. Simple supply/demand comes into play with more sellers causing the price to stop rising and eventually force the price lower which is what we were anticipating.
The green arrows show key support levels on the 60 minute chart where one third of a position should be taken off the table to lock in gains. This also reduces the overall risk on the trade. Once we cash in the first third of the position we move our protective stop to the breakeven which is the entry point for the remaining portion of our position.This turns the trading into a winner no matter what happens allowing us to enjoy the ride.
ES M0 – SP500 Mini Futures Trading Setup – Current Price
Here is the same chart 24 hours later, showing both of our profit targets triggered, and allowing us to pocket two third of our position for a very nice gain. Depending on the type of trading vehicle you traded there was potential to make up to a 150% return in less than 24 hours.
We currently hold one third of the position left with a loose stop allowing the trade to mature in case the down trend continues for several days or weeks. If not and the price rallies then our stop will get triggered for small profit on the balance of the position. Either way we win.
Stock Market ETF and Futures Trading Conclusion:
In short, the market is trading on increased volatility making it difficult to find low risk setups. At the moment we are long gold and short the SP500 with both positions deep in the money. All we can do now is manage our positions to make sure we maximize our profits.
If you would like to Get My Trading Signals be sure to check out my services at: www.TheTechnicalTraders.com