C$ unless otherwise stated
TSX/NYSE/PSE: MFC
SEHK:945
Substantive progress made on our strategic priorities in the fourth
quarter of 2012:
-
Developing our Asian opportunity to the fullest - Achieved record wealth sales1,2, more than double last year. Total insurance sales increased 20 per
cent compared with fourth quarter 2011, with record insurance sales in
Indonesia driven by robust growth in both the agency and bank channels,
and double digit insurance sales growth in Hong Kong driven by agency
growth. We also enhanced our distribution network with additional
partners in Japan.
-
Growing our wealth and asset management businesses in Asia, Canada, and
the U.S. - Manulife Asset Management had record institutional sales, we launched
the Strategic Income Fund in Japan, contributing to record2 wealth sales in Asia; we achieved record mutual fund sales and assets
under management in Canada; and also generated record mutual fund and
401(k) sales and assets under management in the U.S., all contributing
to record funds under management1 for the company as a whole.
-
Continuing to build our balanced Canadian franchise - Maintained leading market positions in group businesses with strong
sales growth in both Group Benefits and Group Retirement Solutions3; record lending assets for Manulife Bank; and completed the acquisition
of Benesure Canada in early January 2013.
-
Continuing to grow higher ROE, lower risk U.S. businesses - Double digit sales growth in life insurance over the fourth quarter of
2011; two additional state approvals for Long-Term Care in-force
re-pricing; recorded $1.2 billion of positive net flows in mutual
funds; and added new mutual funds to platforms at key firms.
Highlights for the fourth quarter of 20124:
-
Reported net income attributed to shareholders of $1,057 million.
-
Delivered core earnings1 of $537 million, slightly below 3Q12 due to the impact of increased acquisition costs on higher wealth sales,
higher insurance sales expenses and systems costs in Asia, and
increased macro hedging costs.
-
Generated strong insurance sales growth5 of 49 per cent to $929 million.
-
Delivered a 31 per cent increase in wealth sales to $10.4 billion.
-
Strengthened MLI's MCCSR ratio by seven points over prior quarter.
-
Achieved record funds under management1 ("FUM") of $532 billion.
-
Generated strong investment gains of $368 million, despite the fact that the impact of equity markets and interest rates
was almost neutral.
-
Increased new business embedded value1 ("NBEV") by 71 per cent to $245 million.
-
Reported net income in accordance with U.S. GAAP1 of $237 million.
_________________________________
|
1
|
|
This item is a non-GAAP measure. See "Performance and Non-GAAP Measures"
below.
|
2
|
|
Wealth sales were a record excluding sales of variable annuities.
|
3
|
|
Based on quarterly LIMRA industry sales report as at September 30, 2012.
|
4
|
|
Unless otherwise indicated, comparatives refer to the three month period
ended December 31, 2012 versus the three month period ended December
31, 2011.
|
5
|
|
Sales, premiums and deposits and funds under management growth (decline)
rates are quoted on a constant currency basis. Constant currency is a
non-GAAP measure. See "Performance and Non-GAAP Measures" below.
|
|
|
TORONTO, Feb. 7, 2013 /CNW/ - Manulife Financial Corporation ("MFC" or
"Manulife") announced today net income attributed to shareholders of
$1,057 million, for the fourth quarter ended December 31, 2012,
accompanied by strong growth in insurance and wealth sales. Fully
diluted earnings per common share ("EPS") was $0.56 and return on
common shareholders' equity ("ROE") was 18.2 per cent for the fourth
quarter ended December 31, 2012. For the full year, Manulife reported
net income attributed to shareholders of $1,736 million, diluted EPS of
$0.88 and ROE of 7.1 per cent.
In the fourth quarter of 2012 Manulife generated $537 million of core
earnings. Fully diluted core earnings per common share ("core EPS")6 was $0.28 and core return on common shareholders' equity ("core ROE")6 was 9.0 per cent. For the full year, Manulife reported core earnings of
$2,187 million, core EPS of $1.12 and core ROE of 9.1 per cent.
Donald Guloien, President and Chief Executive Officer, stated "We made
significant progress towards our strategic priorities in 2012 - we
ended 2012 with record7 annual sales in both our insurance and wealth businesses; Manulife
Asset Management added significant new institutional mandates; our
Asian franchise delivered strong growth by expanding our distribution
networks, including growing our bancassurance partnerships; and we
generated another all time record funds under management."
"Since 2010, we have enjoyed a positive progression in earnings and
improved our annual net income by $1.6 billion over 2011. We believe
that Manulife is well positioned to continue to deliver disciplined and
sustainable growth to meet our objectives of $4 billion in core
earnings and 13 per cent core ROE by 20168," added Mr. Guloien.
Steve Roder, Chief Financial Officer, stated "We generated strong
financial results for the fourth quarter - we substantially increased
sales in both our insurance and wealth businesses and generated $1.1
billion of net income for the period. As a result of our robust sales,
we significantly increased our new business embedded value. In
addition, our Investment Division continued to deliver solid investment
gains. We ended the quarter with a strengthened capital position of 211
per cent, a seven point improvement over the third quarter."
"We are pleased with the strong income we generated this quarter,
however investment gains, and to a lesser extent tax items, were
significant contributors that cannot be counted on in the future. It is
as a result of this variability that we introduced the core earnings
metric. Core earnings, which this quarter were lower than net income,
helps analysts and investors assess our underlying earnings capacity,"
added Mr. Roder.
____________________________
|
6
|
|
This item is a non-GAAP measure. See "Performance and Non-GAAP Measures"
below.
|
7
|
|
Wealth sales were a record excluding sales of variable annuities.
|
8
|
|
See "Caution regarding forward-looking statements" below.
|
Highlights for the Fourth Quarter of 2012 and Full Year 2012:
-
Reported net income attributed to shareholders of $1,057 million for the
fourth quarter of 2012 and $1,736 million for the full year 2012:
-
Fourth quarter earnings included strong investment gains of $368 million
and $264 million of tax related gains that were considered material and
exceptional in nature. We released $182 million of provisions related
to prior years' uncertain tax positions on one item and we reported a
net release of $82 million related to interest on a tax contingency for
leasing transactions.
-
Delivered core earnings of $537 million for the fourth quarter of 2012,
marginally below the third quarter of 2012, and delivered core earnings
of $2,187 million for the full year 2012:
-
Compared with fourth quarter 2011, core earnings increased by $164
million. The increase was driven by a combination of increased fee
income on funds under management and the significant improvement in new
business margins as a result of pricing actions and improvement in
business mix which was partially offset by a number of items in the
fourth quarter 2012 that netted to a small negative.
-
Compared with third quarter 2012, core earnings declined by $19 million,
due to impact of increased acquisition costs on higher wealth sales,
higher insurance sales expenses and systems costs in Asia, and
increased macro hedging costs.
-
Full year core earnings increased by $18 million compared with 2011. The
increase included a number of offsetting items. Improved new business
margins, increased fee income, higher scheduled release of variable
annuity guarantee margins and the non-recurrence of material Property
and Casualty Reinsurance claims were mostly offset by additional macro
equity hedging costs and amortization of unrealized pension losses, in
addition to higher business development and project related expenses.
-
Generated strong insurance sales growth of 49 per cent over the fourth
quarter of 2011 and delivered record insurance sales for 2012:
-
Insurance sales were $929 million in the fourth quarter of 2012, an
increase of 49 per cent compared with fourth quarter of 2011 driven by
strong single premium sales in Group Benefits; a 20 per cent increase
in Asia insurance sales; and an improvement of 13 per cent in U.S.
sales, mainly driven by successful new product offerings with
favourable risk characteristics.
-
Record insurance sales exceeded $3.3 billion for 2012, an increase of 33
per cent compared with 2011.
-
Delivered a 31 per cent increase in wealth sales over the fourth quarter
of 2011 and record9 wealth sales for 2012:
-
Wealth sales of $10.4 billion in the fourth quarter of 2012 reflected
record sales in Asia which were more than double those in the fourth
quarter of 2011; record mutual fund sales and increased sales in Group
Retirement Solutions in Canada which were more than offset by the
decline in annuity sales and lower new loan volumes; and record
quarters for both mutual funds and 401(k) businesses in the U.S.
-
Record9 wealth sales were almost $36 billion for full year 2012, an increase of
four per cent compared with 2011, despite restrictions placed on
annuity sales by the Company.
-
Strengthened The Manufacturers Life Insurance Company's ("MLI") Minimum
Continuing Capital and Surplus Requirements ("MCCSR") ratio by seven
points over September 30, 2012 to 211 per cent:
-
The improvement in MLI's capital position from the end of the third
quarter of 2012 reflects the contribution from fourth quarter earnings,
reinsurance of a portion of the Japanese life business and a $200
million preferred share issuance during the quarter.
-
Further to the 2013 MCCSR Guideline, MLI's MCCSR ratio is estimated to
increase by approximately four points on a pro forma basis to 215 per
cent as of January 1, 2013. The increase is attributable to revisions
to lapse risk required capital rules.
-
Achieved record funds under management of $532 billion as at December 31, 2012.
-
Continued to generate strong investment gains of $368 million during the
quarter, $50 million of which is included in core earnings. Fixed income and
alternative long-duration asset investing along with excellent credit
accounted for the vast majority of our investment gains for both the
quarter and the full year.
-
Reported embedded value10 of $38.0 billion as at December 31, 2012, representing an increase of $1.9 billion over
that reported at December 31, 2011. Increases in embedded value were
driven by normal operating activities including the impact of new
business, offset by shareholder dividends and depreciating foreign
currencies relative to the Canadian dollar.
-
Generated new business embedded value10 ("NBEV") of $245 million in the fourth quarter of 2012, an increase of 71 per cent over the fourth quarter of 2011.
-
Received two additional state approvals on Long-Term Care price increases on in-force retail business during the quarter bringing
our total to 43 states.
-
Reduced equity market sensitivities during the quarter by adding $250 million of equity future notional
value to the macro hedging program and adding approximately $700
million of in-force guarantee value to the dynamic hedging program. A
further $250 million of macro hedges were added in January 2013 due to
favourable market conditions.
-
Reported net income in accordance with U.S. GAAP for the fourth quarter
of $237 million, or $820 million lower than our results under the Canadian version of
IFRS11, and total equity in accordance with U.S. GAAP was $16 billion higher
than under IFRS. The primary driver of the quarter's lower U.S. GAAP
earnings compared to IFRS earnings relates to variable annuity
accounting differences. For the full year 2012, net income attributed
to shareholders in accordance with U.S. GAAP was $2,557 million versus
$1,736 million under IFRS.
____________________________
|
9
|
Wealth sales were a record excluding sales of variable annuities.
|
10
|
This item is a non-GAAP measure. See "Performance and Non-GAAP Measures"
below.
|
11
|
The Canadian version of IFRS uses IFRS as issued by the International
Accounting Standards Board. However because IFRS does not have an
insurance contract measurement standard, we continue to use the
Canadian Asset Liability Method (CALM).
|
|
|
|
|
Quarterly Results
|
Full Year Results
|
C$ millions (unless otherwise stated)
|
4Q 2012
|
3Q 2012
|
4Q 2011
|
2012
|
2011
|
Net income (loss) attributed to shareholders
|
$
|
1,057
|
$
|
(227)
|
$
|
(69)
|
$
|
1,736
|
$
|
129
|
Preferred share dividends
|
|
29
|
|
31
|
|
21
|
|
112
|
|
85
|
Common shareholders' net income (loss)
|
$
|
1,028
|
$
|
(258)
|
$
|
(90)
|
$
|
1,624
|
$
|
44
|
Reconciliation of core earnings to net income (loss) attributed to
shareholders:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Core earnings(1)
|
$
|
537
|
$
|
556
|
$
|
373
|
$
|
2,187
|
$
|
2,169
|
|
Investment related gains in excess of core investment gains
|
|
318
|
|
363
|
|
261
|
|
937
|
|
1,290
|
|
Core earnings plus investment related gains in excess of core investment
gains
|
$
|
855
|
$
|
919
|
$
|
634
|
$
|
3,124
|
$
|
3,459
|
|
Other reconciling items:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Direct impact of equity markets and interest rates
|
|
(18)
|
|
(88)
|
|
153
|
|
(758)
|
|
(1,064)
|
|
Changes in actuarial methods and assumptions (other than URR) and
goodwill impairment
|
|
(87)
|
|
(1,206)
|
|
(663)
|
|
(1,281)
|
|
(1,416)
|
|
Other items(2)
|
|
307
|
|
148
|
|
(193)
|
|
651
|
|
(850)
|
|
Net income (loss) attributed to shareholders
|
$
|
1,057
|
$
|
(227)
|
$
|
(69)
|
$
|
1,736
|
$
|
129
|
Basic earnings (loss) per common share (C$)
|
$
|
0.56
|
$
|
(0.14)
|
$
|
(0.05)
|
$
|
0.90
|
$
|
0.02
|
Diluted earnings (loss) per common share (C$)
|
$
|
0.56
|
$
|
(0.14)
|
$
|
(0.05)
|
$
|
0.88
|
$
|
0.02
|
Diluted core earnings per common share (C$)(1)
|
$
|
0.28
|
$
|
0.29
|
$
|
0.19
|
$
|
1.12
|
$
|
1.14
|
Return on common shareholders' equity (ROE) (%)
|
|
18.2%
|
|
(4.5)%
|
|
(1.6)%
|
|
7.1%
|
|
0.2%
|
Core ROE (%)(1)
|
|
9.0%
|
|
9.3%
|
|
6.1%
|
|
9.1%
|
|
9.1%
|
Funds under management (C$ billions) (1)
|
$
|
532
|
$
|
515
|
$
|
500
|
$
|
532
|
$
|
500
|
|
|
(1)
|
This item is a non-GAAP measure. See "Performance and Non-GAAP Measures"
below.
|
(2)
|
For a more detailed description see Sections B1 and B2 below.
|
SALES AND BUSINESS GROWTH
Asia Division
Robert Cook, Senior Executive Vice President and General Manager, Asia
Division, stated, "I am very pleased with our full year 2012 results -
the Asia Division achieved record12 sales for both insurance and wealth (excluding variable annuities)
products. In addition, our fourth quarter wealth sales were over $2
billion, a new record12, and evidence that our product diversification strategy is succeeding.
We continue to successfully build a diverse, multi-channel distribution
platform across the region. In 2012, we secured and deepened
strategically important distribution agreements with key bank partners
in Japan and Indonesia; achieved strong growth in our professional
agency force in several key markets; and successfully expanded our
presence in the Managing General Agent channel into the retail market
in Japan. We also became the first foreign owned life insurer to
commence operations in Cambodia, and we expanded our broad geographic
footprint in China with our 50th city license."
Asia Division's fourth quarter insurance sales were US$362 million, an
increase of 20 per cent compared with the same quarter of 2011. Full
year insurance sales of US$1.4 billion were 16 per cent higher than
2011.
-
Indonesia reported record quarterly insurance sales of US$34 million, a
51 per cent increase compared with fourth quarter 2011, driven by
strong growth in both our agency and bank channels. The strong full
year growth of 46 per cent was driven by an expanded bancassurance
channel which grew 140 per cent compared to 2011.
-
Japan insurance sales for the fourth quarter of US$188 million were 36
per cent higher than fourth quarter 2011. Strong sales of our
increasing term product in advance of price increases were partially
offset by lower cancer product sales which were impacted by tax changes
implemented in the first half of the year. Full year sales reached a
record level of US$767 million, 11 per cent higher than record sales in
2011, a result of strong cancer product sales in the first half of the
year and increasing term sales in the second half of 2012.
-
Hong Kong fourth quarter insurance sales of US$65 million were 14 per
cent higher than fourth quarter 2011. Full year sales reached a record
US$257 million, up 23 per cent over 2011. Sales growth over 2011 was
primarily driven by expanded agency distribution, as well as continued
strong sales throughout 2012 of our participating life product,
including a run up of sales prior to price increases in the second
quarter of 2012.
-
Asia Other insurance sales (excludes Hong Kong, Japan and Indonesia) for
the fourth quarter were US$75 million, or nine per cent below the same
period in 2011, while full year sales of US$302 million were 15 per
cent higher than 2011. The decline relative to the fourth quarter 2011
was due to product changes in Taiwan. The full year sales growth over
the prior year was driven primarily by expanded agency distribution.
Asia Division's fourth quarter wealth sales were US$2.1 billion, more
than double sales in the fourth quarter of 2011. On a full year basis,
wealth sales of US$5.7 billion increased 36 per cent over 2011.
-
Japan fourth quarter wealth sales of US$694 million were three times the
same period a year ago, and on a full year basis, sales of $1.7 billion
were more than double those of the prior year. Growth was fueled by
the successful launch of the Strategic Income Fund, which reported
sales of over US$550 million in the fourth quarter, and continued
strong sales of the Australian dollar denominated fixed annuity
product.
-
Indonesia achieved record wealth sales of US$449 million in the fourth
quarter, four times higher than fourth quarter 2011, and full year 2012
sales surpassed the US$1 billion milestone. Strong performance was
recorded in all product lines, with mutual fund sales seven times
higher than in 2011 and unit linked sales through our bank partners up
157 per cent.
-
Hong Kong fourth quarter wealth sales of US$321 million were 74 per cent
higher than the same period a year ago and included a successful start
in capturing transfer cases following the November launch of the
Mandatory Provident Fund's new Employee Choice Arrangement. Full year
results of US$792 million were down 15 per cent from 2011, primarily as
a result of a change in client preferences for bond funds over equity
funds in 2012.
-
Asia Other wealth sales (excludes Hong Kong, Japan and Indonesia) for
the fourth quarter were US$668 million, 78 per cent higher than the
same period a year ago, and full year sales of US$2.2 billion were up
13 per cent over 2011. Strong mutual fund sales in Taiwan as well as
unit linked sales in the Philippines were the key contributors to the
growth.
Asia Division continues to execute on our longer term growth strategy by
expanding agency and bank channel distribution capacity.
-
Contracted agents ended the year at 53,700, a seven per cent increase
from the end of 2011 with significant growth in Hong Kong, Indonesia,
the Philippines and China.
-
Bank channel total insurance and wealth sales, on an annualized premium
equivalent basis, were US$159 million in the fourth quarter. This
increase of 73 per cent compared with the same period in 2011 was
attributed to the expanded distribution in Indonesia, particularly our
exclusive agreement with Bank Danamon. In Japan, sales of mutual funds
through the bank channel picked up considerably as a result of the
successful launch of the Strategic Income Fund.
_______________________________
|
12
|
Wealth sales were a record excluding sales of variable annuities.
|
Canadian Division
"In 2012, we continued to successfully build our diversified Canadian
franchise," said Marianne Harrison, Senior Executive Vice President and
General Manager, Canadian Division. "We achieved record full year sales
in several business lines, namely: Group Benefits, Manulife Mutual
Funds and Affinity Markets, and Group Retirement Solutions once again
led the defined contribution market in sales13. We continued to drive our desired shift in product mix, reducing the
proportion of insurance and variable annuity sales with guaranteed
features. We expanded our distribution reach: welcoming new advisors,
extending existing relationships and enhancing support to our
distribution partners. On January 4th, 2013 we completed our
acquisition of Benesure Canada Inc., strategically positioning us as
the leading provider of mortgage creditor insurance through mortgage
brokers in Canada."
Group Benefits and Group Retirement Solutions ("GRS") both led the
Canadian industry in sales in 201213. Group Benefits' full year sales exceeded $1 billion, an industry
record, benefitting from strong single premium sales and good growth
across diverse market segments. Fourth quarter Group Benefits sales of
$333 million were more than three times higher than the fourth quarter
of 2011. GRS' full year sales of $1.1 billion increased 17 per cent
from 2011 levels, while fourth quarter sales of $223 million were 45
per cent higher than the fourth quarter of 2011. Successful cross
selling efforts contributed to the strong sales growth in both group
businesses.
Individual Wealth Management's fourth quarter sales of $2.3 billion
increased nine per cent from third quarter 2012 levels, reflecting
record quarterly deposits in Manulife Mutual Funds ("MMF"). Sales were
eight per cent below the fourth quarter of 2011, and full year sales
were seven per cent below 2011 levels, reflecting our actions to
moderate variable annuity sales in the current macro-economic
environment.
-
Record quarterly MMF sales of $738 million in the fourth quarter of 2012
increased 61 per cent from the third quarter of 2012 and were more than
twice fourth quarter 2011 levels, driving full year sales to a record
$2.1 billion. This strong momentum reflects our expanded distribution
reach, continued strong performance in balanced and fixed income fund
categories, and success of a number of funds launched in 2012.
Year-over-year, MMF was the fastest growing mutual fund franchise of
the top ten fund companies in Canada14. Record MMF assets under management ("AUM") of over $20 billion at
December 31, 2012 increased 17 per cent over December 31, 2011, while
the industry grew ten per cent according to IFIC14.
-
Manulife Bank had record assets of over $21 billion at December 31,
2012, seven per cent higher than at the end of 2011, driven by strong
client retention and stable new lending volumes of $4.6 billion in
2012, modestly below 2011 levels. New lending volumes of $1.1 billion
for the fourth quarter were consistent with third quarter 2012 levels
and ten per cent below the same period last year, reflecting the impact
of the current regulatory and competitive environment.
-
Sales of variable annuity products of $379 million in the fourth quarter
and $2 billion for the year were significantly below the comparative
2011 levels, reflecting the anticipated impact of product changes
throughout the year. Fixed rate product sales also continued at lower
levels, reflecting the continued low interest rate environment.
Individual Insurance sales in 2012 continued to align with our strategy
to reduce new business risk, with a significantly lower proportion of
sales with guaranteed long-duration features compared to 2011. Manulife
has led the industry with changes to guaranteed long-duration products,
the anticipated impact of which was reflected in the year-over-year
sales result. Fourth quarter sales of recurring premium products of
$58 million were 22 per cent lower than the fourth quarter of 2011;
full year sales declined by eight per cent from 2011 levels. Fourth
quarter single premium sales of $82 million were modestly ahead of
fourth quarter 2011 levels. Record full year single premium product
sales increased 16 per cent from 2011 levels, driven by continued
expansion in travel insurance.
______________________________
|
13
|
Based on quarterly LIMRA industry sales report as at September 30, 2012.
|
14
|
Based on reporting from the Investment Funds Institute of Canada (IFIC)
as at December 31, 2012.
|
|
U.S. Division
Craig Bromley, Senior Executive Vice President and General Manager, U.S.
Division, reported, "We are extremely pleased with our full year
results, as record fourth quarter and full year sales in Retirement
Plan Services and Mutual Funds contributed to record funds under
management in both businesses. We are entering 2013 with strong
momentum and sales potential in these businesses. In addition, fourth
quarter insurance sales increased 13 per cent over the fourth quarter
of 2011, and included an increase in sales of products with reduced
risk and higher return potential."
Wealth management full year sales were US$20.2 billion, an increase of
three per cent compared with the prior year. The sales increases of 28
per cent in John Hancock Retirement Plan Services ("JH RPS") and eight
per cent in John Hancock Mutual Funds ("JH Funds") were partially
offset by lower annuity product sales. Sales in the fourth quarter of
2012 were US$5.9 billion, an increase of 31 per cent compared with the
fourth quarter of 2011.
-
JH RPS sales of US$2.0 billion in the fourth quarter of 2012 were a
record quarterly result and represented an increase of 44 per cent
compared with the fourth quarter 2011. JH RPS capitalized on the high
plan turnover in the market including the exit of a key competitor. For
the full year, JH RPS achieved record sales of US$6.0 billion, an
increase of 28 per cent over 2011. Together with favourable equity
markets this helped drive funds under management to a record US$72
billion as of December 31, 2012, a 14 per cent increase from December
31, 2011. In addition, JH RPS' "TotalCare" product, a full service
group annuity launched in the third quarter of 2012, has started to
gain traction in the 401(k) market.
-
JH Funds achieved record quarterly sales of US$3.7 billion in the fourth
quarter of 2012, a 54 per cent increase from fourth quarter 2011 and
record full year sales of US$13 billion with increases across all
channels. These results propelled funds under management as of December
31, 2012 to a record US$42 billion, a 24 per cent increase from
December 31, 2011. A strong product line and success in adding our
funds to strategic partner recommended lists, as well as a focused
sales and marketing campaign, helped to drive these results. As of
December 31, 2012, JH Funds offered 23 Four- or Five-Star Morningstar15 rated equity and fixed income mutual funds.
-
The John Hancock Lifestyle and Target Date portfolios offered through
our mutual fund, 401(k), variable annuity and variable life products
had assets under management of US$80.0 billion as of December 31, 2012,
a 13 per cent increase over December 31, 2011. As of December 31, 2012,
John Hancock was the fourth largest manager of assets in the U.S. for
Lifestyle and Target Date funds offered through retail mutual funds and
variable insurance products16.
Insurance sales in the U.S. for the fourth quarter of 2012 increased 13
per cent compared with the same period in the prior year, mainly driven
by successful new product offerings with favourable risk
characteristics. Full year sales were four per cent lower than 2011. We
continued to execute on strategies to reduce risk and increase margins.
-
John Hancock Life ("JH Life") fourth quarter 2012 sales of US$163
million were up 18 per cent over fourth quarter 2011. Newly launched
products continued to contribute to the sales success, with Protection
UL sales of US$65 million and Indexed UL sales of US$15 million. Full
year sales of US$543 million outpaced the prior year by 12 per cent and
the business successfully executed its transition to lower risk
products.
-
John Hancock Long-Term Care ("JH LTC") sales of US$10 million in the
fourth quarter declined 33 per cent compared with the same period in
2011, reflecting the impact of price increases. Our new product,
launched in 43 states as of December 2012, offers an innovative
alternative to traditional inflation options and is gaining traction in
the market. Full year sales of US$56 million were 61 per cent lower
than 2011 due to the non-recurrence of the 2011 Federal Long Term Care
plan open enrollment period and the price increases referred to above.
_______________________________
|
15
|
For each fund with at least a 3-year history, Morningstar calculates a
Morningstar Rating based on a Morningstar Risk-Adjusted Return that
accounts for variation in a fund's monthly performance (including
effects of sales charges, loads and redemption fees), placing more
emphasis on downward variations and rewarding consistent performance.
The top 10% of funds in each category, the next 22.5%, 35%, 22.5% and
bottom 10% receive 5, 4, 3, 2 or 1 star, respectively. The Overall
Morningstar Rating for a fund is derived from a weighted average of the
performance associated with its 3-, 5- and 10 year (if applicable)
Morningstar Rating metrics. Past performance is no guarantee of future
results. The overall rating includes the effects of sales charges,
loads and redemption fees, while the load-waived does not. Load-waived
rating for Class A shares should only be considered by investors who
are not subject to a front-end sales charge.
|
16
|
Source: Strategic Insight. Includes Lifestyle and Lifecycle (Target
Date) mutual fund assets and fund-of-funds variable insurance product
assets (variable annuity and variable life).
|
Investment Division
Warren Thomson, Senior Executive Vice President and Chief Investment
Officer, said, "For the general fund, we continued to deliver strong
investment gains driven by credit experience which reflects the
strength of our underwriting, the positive impact of fixed income
trading which included the redeployment of treasuries into spread
products, and the purchase of alternative long-duration assets. The
alternative long-duration assets originated during 2012 further
diversified our portfolio and continue to enhance our risk-adjusted
returns. The acquisitions were across various asset classes including
real estate, timberland, private equities, and infrastructure. We
continue to focus our acquisitions on high quality, good relative value
assets."
"Manulife Asset Management experienced significant growth in 2012 across
its global franchise, with assets under management increasing by 12 per
cent to $237.6 billion," said Mr. Thomson. "Our strong investment
performance is yielding tangible results across many asset classes. We
successfully launched several new products which have enabled us to
meet our retail clients' needs, and we have been awarded new
institutional mandates in North America and Asia which have contributed
to significant growth in institutional AUM. In the fourth quarter we
were awarded a substantial institutional fixed income investment
mandate."
Assets managed by Manulife Asset Management increased by $26.2 billion
to $237.6 billion as at December 31, 2012 from $211.4 billion as at
December 31, 2011. At December 31, 2012, Manulife Asset Management had
a total of 65 Four- and Five-Star Morningstar rated funds, an increase
of seven funds from December 31, 2011. A broad array of investment
awards were garnered in 2012 in recognition of our strong investment
performance that is being driven by our continuing investment in
portfolio management talent across our global platform.
CORPORATE ITEMS
In a separate news release today, the Company announced that the Board
of Directors approved a quarterly shareholders' dividend of $0.13 per
share on the common shares of the Company, payable on and after March
19, 2013 to shareholders of record at the close of business on February
20, 2013.
The Board of Directors approved that in respect of the Company's March
19, 2013 common share dividend payment date, the Company will issue
common shares in connection with the reinvestment of dividends and
optional cash purchases pursuant to the Company's Canadian Dividend
Reinvestment and Share Purchase Plan and its U.S. Dividend Reinvestment
and Share Purchase Plan.
AWARDS & RECOGNITION
In New York, Manulife Financial was recognized by leading U.S. governance and
compliance publication, Corporate Secretary, as having the Best Overall
Corporate Governance in the International category at the annual
Corporate Governance Awards.
In Canada, the Women's Executive Network named Dr. Gail Cook-Bennett, Board Chair
and Lynda Sullivan, Group Chief Accounting Officer among its 2012
Canada's Most Powerful Women: Top 100 award winners. Dr. Gail
Cook-Bennett was also recognized by Women of Influence Inc. as a 2012
Canadian Diversity Champion.
In Hong Kong, Manulife (International) Limited was designated Hong Kong's "Company
For Financial Planning Excellence of the Year" in the insurance
category at the South China Morning Post/Institute of Financial
Planners Hong Kong ("SCMP/IFPHK") Financial Planner Awards 2012 for the
sixth consecutive year.
In Thailand, Manulife Asset Management (Thailand) Co., Ltd. earned "Outstanding
Asset Management Company Award" at the Stock Exchange of Thailand
Awards 2012.
In Asia, five Manulife Asset Management fixed income fund managers (two based
in Hong Kong, two in the Philippines and one in Indonesia), were named
among the "most astute investors in Asian currency bonds" in The
Asset's Benchmark research survey for 2012.
Notes:
Manulife Financial Corporation will host a Fourth Quarter Earnings
Results Conference Call at 2:00 p.m. ET on February 7, 2013. For local
and international locations, please call 416-340-2216 and toll free in
North America please call 1-866-898-9626. Please call in ten minutes
before the call starts. You will be required to provide your name and
organization to the operator. A playback of this call will be
available by 6:00 p.m. ET on February 7, 2013 until February 21, 2013
by calling 905-694-9451 or 1-800-408-3053 (passcode: 6718073#).
The conference call will also be webcast through Manulife Financial's
website at 2:00 p.m. ET on February 7, 2013. You may access the webcast
at: www.manulife.com/quarterlyreports. An archived version of the webcast will be available at 4:30 p.m. ET on
the website at the same URL as above.
The Fourth Quarter 2012 Statistical Information Package is also
available on the Manulife Financial website at: www.manulife.com/quarterlyreports. The document may be downloaded before the webcast begins.
MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS
This Management's Discussion and Analysis ("MD&A") is current as of
February 7, 2013, unless otherwise noted. This MD&A should be read in
conjunction with the MD&A and audited consolidated financial statements
contained in our 2011 Annual Report.
For further information relating to our risk management practices and
risk factors affecting the Company, see "Risk Factors" in our most
recent Annual Information Form, "Risk Management and Risk Factors" and
"Critical Accounting and Actuarial Policies" in the MD&A in our 2011
Annual Report and the "Risk Management" note to the consolidated
financial statements in our most recent annual and interim reports.
Contents
|
|
|
|
|
|
A
|
OVERVIEW
|
|
|
D
|
RISK MANAGEMENT AND RISK FACTORS UPDATE
|
1.
|
Fourth quarter highlights
|
|
|
1.
|
General macro-economic risk factors
|
2.
|
Full year highlights
|
|
|
2.
|
Regulatory capital, actuarial and accounting risks
|
3.
|
Other items of note
|
|
|
3.
|
Additional risks - Entities within the MFC Group are interconnected
which may make separation difficult
|
|
|
|
|
4.
|
Variable annuity and segregated fund guarantees
|
B
|
FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
|
|
|
5.
|
Publicly traded equity performance risk
|
1.
|
Fourth quarter earnings (loss) analysis
|
|
|
6.
|
Interest rate and spread risk
|
2.
|
Full year earnings (loss) analysis
|
|
|
|
|
3.
|
Premiums and deposits
|
|
|
E
|
ACCOUNTING MATTERS AND CONTROLS
|
4.
|
Funds under management
|
|
|
1.
|
Critical accounting and actuarial policies
|
5.
|
Capital
|
|
|
2.
|
Actuarial methods and assumptions
|
6.
|
U.S. GAAP results
|
|
|
3.
|
Sensitivity of policy liabilities to updates to assumptions
|
|
|
|
|
4.
|
Goodwill impairment testing
|
C
|
PERFORMANCE BY DIVISION
|
|
|
5.
|
Future accounting and reporting changes
|
1.
|
Asia
|
|
|
|
|
2.
|
Canadian
|
|
|
F
|
OTHER
|
3.
|
U.S.
|
|
|
1.
|
Performance and non-GAAP measures
|
4.
|
Corporate and Other
|
|
|
2.
|
Key planning assumptions and uncertainties
|
|
|
|
|
3.
|
Caution regarding forward-looking statements
|
A OVERVIEW
A1 Fourth quarter highlights
In the fourth quarter of 2012, we reported net income attributed to
shareholders of $1,057 million and core earnings17 of $537 million.
Core earnings increased $164 million compared with the fourth quarter of
2011. The increase was driven by a combination of increased fee income
on funds under management and the significant improvement in new
business margins as a result of pricing actions and improvement in
business mix. In addition there were a number of offsetting items in
the fourth quarter 2012. The favourable impact of the release of excess
Property and Casualty Reinsurance provisions ($38 million) and certain
tax items ($48 million) was offset by sales and other incentive
expenses ($32 million), systems and legal fees ($18 million) and higher
macro hedge costs ($43 million).
The difference between fourth quarter 2012 core earnings and net income
attributed to shareholders was a $520 million net gain, and consisted
of:
-
$318 million of investment related gains in excess of the $50 million
included in core earnings. Fixed income and alternative long-duration
asset investing along with excellent credit experience accounted for
the vast majority of our investment gains for both the quarter and the
full year;
-
$264 million of favourable tax related changes that were considered
material and exceptional in nature. We released $182 million of
provisions related to prior years' taxes due to the resolution of prior
years' tax audits with respect to one item. In addition, we reported a
net release of $82 million related to interest on our tax contingency
for leasing transactions. As previously disclosed, the Company is an
investor in a number of leasing transactions and established provisions
for possible disallowance of the tax treatment and for interest on past
due taxes; and
-
$100 million gain related to our hedged variable annuity guarantees, a
third of which relates to the change in provision for adverse
deviation. In addition, our equity fund results outperformed indices
and the tightening of corporate spreads had a favourable impact on our
bond funds;
partially offset by charges of:
-
$87 million primarily attributed to the estimated impact of modeling
refinements relating to a valuation systems conversion;
-
$57 million ($78 million pre tax) restructuring charge for severance
related to the Company's Organizational Design Project. As outlined at
the November 2012 Investor Day, the project, started in 2012 and
expected to be completed in 2013, is designed to broaden the spans of
control and reduce the number of layers in the organization; and
-
$18 million for the direct impact of equity markets and interest rates.
The Minimum Continuing Capital and Surplus Requirements ("MCCSR") ratio for The Manufacturers Life Insurance Company ("MLI") closed the
quarter at 211 per cent compared with 204 per cent at the end of the
third quarter. The MCCSR ratio increased because, in addition to the
contribution from the fourth quarter earnings, we reinsured a portion
of our Japan insurance risk, which accounted for slightly more than two
points of the increase, and we issued $200 million of preferred shares.
Insurance sales18 were $929 million in the fourth quarter of 2012, an increase19 of 49 per cent compared with fourth quarter of 2011 and included a
large Group Benefits sale. In Asia, fourth quarter insurance sales of
US$362 million were up 20 per cent from the same quarter of 2011. In
Canada, Group Benefits sales for the quarter were three and a half
times the same quarter of the prior year and we reported lower but more
profitable sales in Individual Insurance. In the U.S., sales increased
13 per cent, mainly driven by successful new product offerings with
favourable risk characteristics.
Wealth sales of $10.4 billion in the fourth quarter of 2012 increased 31 per cent
compared with those in the fourth quarter of 2011. Wealth sales in
Asia were more than double those in the fourth quarter of 2011 with all
countries and territories contributing to the increase. In Canada,
record mutual fund sales and a 45 per cent increase in sales in Group
Retirement Solutions were more than offset by the decline in annuity
sales and lower new loan volumes, resulting in an overall reduction of
four per cent compared with the fourth quarter of 2011. In the U.S.,
wealth sales increased 31 per cent over those in the fourth quarter of
2011. Both JH Funds and JH RPS reported record quarterly sales.
A2 Full year highlights
We reported net income attributed to shareholders for the full year 2012
of $1,736 million compared with $129 million in 2011. Core earnings18 in 2012 were $2,187 million compared with $2,169 million in 2011.
The $18 million increase in full year core earnings compared with full
year 2011 included a number of offsetting items. Improved new business
margins, increased fee income driven by higher funds under management,
a higher scheduled release of variable annuity guarantee margins driven
by higher equity markets, and the non-recurrence of material Property
and Casualty Reinsurance claim provisions were mostly offset by $81
million of costs associated with additional equity futures in our macro
equity hedging program and higher pension costs related to amortization
of prior years' unrealized investment losses, in addition to higher
business development and project related expenses.
The difference between full year 2012 core earnings and full year net
income attributed to shareholders was a $451 million net charge.
Charges included $1,081 million for changes in actuarial methods and
assumptions, $758 million for the direct impact of equity markets and
interest rates, $200 million for the impairment of goodwill and $57
million related to restructuring. These charges were partially offset
by $937 million of investment related gains in excess of the $200
million reported in core earnings and $708 million for the tax items,
major reinsurance and in-force product activities, as well as income on
variable annuity guarantee liabilities that are dynamically hedged
(details outlined in section B2 below).
Insurance sales exceeded $3.3 billion for the full year 2012, an increase of 33 per
cent compared with 2011. Full year insurance sales in Asia increased
16 per cent versus 2011 with record sales levels in eight territories.
Insurance sales in Canada almost doubled year-over-year driven by
record Group Benefits sales. Canadian recurring premium insurance sales
were eight per cent lower than the prior year due to the implementation
of de-risking strategies. In the U.S., JH Life full year sales
increased 12 per cent versus full year 2011 although overall U.S.
insurance sales were four per cent lower as a result of the Company's
decision to raise prices and focus on new products with favourable risk
characteristics.
Wealth sales were almost $36 billion for full year 2012 and increased four per cent
compared with full year 2011 despite restrictions placed on annuity
sales by the Company. Asia reported strong growth throughout most of
the region with total wealth sales increasing 36 per cent over 2011.
Wealth sales in Japan more than doubled in 2012 while Indonesia
exceeded the US$1 billion mark in total wealth sales. In Canada, mutual
fund sales achieved record levels, while Group Retirement Solutions
sales increased 17 per cent compared with 2011. These increases in
Canada were partially offset by the anticipated reduction in annuity
sales and lower new loan volumes. As a result, overall Canadian wealth
sales in 2012 were seven per cent lower than in full year 2011. U.S.
wealth sales increased three per cent for the full year compared to
2011. JH Funds and JH RPS reported record full year sales with year
over year increases of eight per cent and 28 per cent, respectively.
_____________________________
|
17
|
Core earnings is a non-GAAP measure. See "Performance and non-GAAP
Measures" below
|
18
|
This item is a non-GAAP measure. See "Performance and non-GAAP Measures"
below.
|
19
|
Growth (declines) in sales, premiums and deposits and funds under
management is stated on a constant currency basis. Constant currency
basis is a non-GAAP measure. See "Performance and Non-GAAP Measures"
below.
|
|
|
|
A3 Other items of note
As disclosed in our second quarter 2012 release, we intend to update our
ultimate reinvestment rate ("URR") assumptions on a quarterly basis
commencing in the first quarter of 2013. If interest rates in 2013
were to remain at December 31, 2012 levels, we would expect charges of
in aggregate approximately $400 million for the four quarters of 201320.
The 2013 MCCSR Guideline contains two changes that will each
significantly impact MLI's MCCSR ratio. Together the initial impact of
the changes is expected to be positive in the short term and neutral by
the end of 2014.
-
MLI's MCCSR ratio as of January 1, 2013 is expected to increase by
approximately four points on a pro forma basis as a result of a
reduction in lapse risk required capital in the 2013 MCCSR Guideline.
-
MLI's MCCSR ratio is expected to decrease by approximately five points
by December 31, 2014 as a result of the introduction of the new
accounting standard for Employee Benefits (IAS 19R) effective January
1, 2013. The standard will result in a charge to shareholders' equity
of $595 million ($872 million pre-tax) primarily related to accumulated
unrecognized net actuarial losses on the Company's defined benefit
pension plans. The initial charge will be amortized into available
capital for MCCSR purposes by December 31, 2014 on a straight-line
basis. Future actuarial gains and losses related to these pension
plans will be amortized over twelve quarters20.
_________________________
|
20
|
See "Caution regarding forward-looking statements" below.
|
|
|
B FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS
C$ millions, unless otherwise stated,
|
|
Quarterly Results
|
|
Full Year Results
|
unaudited
|
|
4Q 2012
|
|
3Q 2012
|
|
4Q 2011
|
|
2012
|
|
2011
|
Net income (loss) attributed to shareholders
|
|
$
|
1,057
|
|
$
|
(227)
|
$
|
(69)
|
$
|
1,736
|
$
|
129
|
Preferred share dividends
|
|
|
29
|
|
|
31
|
|
21
|
|
112
|
|
85
|
Common shareholders' net income (loss)
|
|
$
|
1,028
|
|
$
|
(258)
|
$
|
(90)
|
$
|
1,624
|
$
|
44
|
Reconciliation of core earnings to net income (loss) attributed to
shareholders:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Core earnings(1)
|
|
$
|
537
|
|
$
|
556
|
$
|
373
|
$
|
2,187
|
$
|
2,169
|
|
Investment related gains in excess of core investment gains
|
|
|
318
|
|
|
363
|
|
261
|
|
937
|
|
1,290
|
Core earnings plus investment related gains in excess of core investment
gains
|
|
$
|
855
|
|
$
|
919
|
$
|
634
|
$
|
3,124
|
$
|
3,459
|
|
Other items to reconcile core earnings to net income (loss) attributed
to shareholders:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Direct impact of equity markets and interest rates
|
|
|
(18)
|
|
|
(88)
|
|
153
|
|
(758)
|
|
(1,064)
|
|
Changes in actuarial methods and assumptions (other than URR) and
goodwill impairment
|
|
|
(87)
|
|
|
(1,206)
|
|
(663)
|
|
(1,281)
|
|
(1,416)
|
|
Other items
|
|
|
307
|
|
|
148
|
|
(193)
|
|
651
|
|
(850)
|
Net income (loss) attributed to shareholders
|
|
$
|
1,057
|
|
$
|
(227)
|
$
|
(69)
|
$
|
1,736
|
$
|
129
|
Basic earnings (loss) per common share (C$)
|
|
$
|
0.56
|
|
$
|
(0.14)
|
$
|
(0.05)
|
$
|
0.90
|
$
|
0.02
|
Diluted earnings (loss) per common share (C$)
|
|
$
|
0.56
|
|
$
|
(0.14)
|
$
|
(0.05)
|
$
|
0.88
|
$
|
0.02
|
Diluted core earnings per common share (C$)(1)
|
|
$
|
0.28
|
|
$
|
0.29
|
$
|
0.19
|
$
|
1.12
|
$
|
1.14
|
Return on common shareholders' equity
|
|
|
18.2%
|
|
|
(4.5)%
|
|
(1.6)%
|
|
7.1%
|
|
0.2%
|
U.S. GAAP net income attributed to shareholders(1)
|
|
$
|
237
|
|
$
|
481
|
$
|
339
|
$
|
2,557
|
$
|
3,674
|
Sales(1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance products
|
|
$
|
929
|
|
$
|
596
|
$
|
640
|
$
|
3,349
|
$
|
2,507
|
|
Wealth products
|
|
$
|
10,439
|
|
$
|
8,229
|
$
|
8,141
|
$
|
35,940
|
$
|
34,299
|
Premiums and deposits(1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance products
|
|
$
|
6,629
|
|
$
|
5,597
|
$
|
5,749
|
$
|
24,221
|
$
|
22,278
|
|
Wealth products
|
|
$
|
17,499
|
|
$
|
11,149
|
$
|
10,168
|
$
|
51,280
|
$
|
43,783
|
Funds under management (C$ billions)(1)
|
|
$
|
532
|
|
$
|
515
|
$
|
500
|
$
|
532
|
$
|
500
|
Capital (C$ billions)(1)
|
|
$
|
29.6
|
|
$
|
28.5
|
$
|
29.0
|
|
$ 29.6
|
$
|
29.0
|
MLI's MCCSR ratio
|
|
|
211%
|
|
|
204%
|
|
216%
|
|
211%
|
|
216%
|
(1)
|
This item is a non-GAAP measure. See "Performance and Non-GAAP Measures"
below.
|
B1 Fourth quarter earnings (loss) analysis
The table below reconciles the fourth quarter 2012 core earnings of $537
million to the reported net income attributed to shareholders of $1,057
million.
|
|
|
|
C$ millions, unaudited
|
4Q 2012
|
3Q 2012
|
4Q 2011
|
Core earnings (losses)(1)
|
|
|
|
Asia Division
|
$
|
180
|
$
|
230
|
$
|
213
|
Canadian Division
|
|
233
|
|
229
|
|
142
|
U.S. Division
|
|
293
|
|
288
|
|
189
|
Corporate & Other (excluding expected cost of macro hedges)
|
|
(79)
|
|
(117)
|
|
(124)
|
Expected cost of macro hedges(2)
|
|
(140)
|
|
(124)
|
|
(97)
|
Core investment related gains
|
|
50
|
|
50
|
|
50
|
Core earnings
|
$
|
537
|
$
|
556
|
$
|
373
|
Investment related gains in excess of core investment gains
|
|
318
|
|
363
|
|
261
|
Core earnings plus investment related gains in excess of core investment
gains
|
$
|
855
|
$
|
919
|
$
|
634
|
Material and exceptional tax related items(3)
|
|
264
|
|
-
|
|
-
|
Income (charges) on variable annuity guarantee liabilities that are
dynamically hedged(4)
|
|
100
|
|
122
|
|
(193)
|
Change in actuarial methods and assumptions, excluding URR(5)
|
|
(87)
|
|
(1,006)
|
|
2
|
Restructuring charge related to organizational design(6)
|
|
(57)
|
|
-
|
|
-
|
Direct impact of equity markets and interest rates (see table below)(7)
|
|
(18)
|
|
(88)
|
|
153
|
Goodwill impairment charge
|
|
-
|
|
(200)
|
|
(665)
|
Impact of major reinsurance transactions
|
|
-
|
|
26
|
|
-
|
Net income (loss) attributed to shareholders
|
$
|
1,057
|
$
|
(227)
|
$
|
(69)
|
(1)
|
Core earnings is a non-GAAP measure. See "Performance and Non-GAAP
Measures" below.
|
(2)
|
The fourth quarter 2012 net loss from macro equity hedges was $432
million and consisted of a $140 million charge related to the estimated
expected cost of the macro equity hedges relative to our long-term
valuation assumptions and a charge of $292 million because actual
markets outperformed our valuation assumptions. This latter amount is
included in the direct impact of equity markets and interest rates (see
table below).
|
(3)
|
In accordance with our definition of core earnings outlined in section
F1, the fourth quarter tax related items described in section A1 were
considered material and exceptional in nature and therefore not
included in core earnings. Please note that core earnings does include
routine type tax transactions and provisions.
|
(4)
|
Our variable annuity guarantee dynamic hedging strategy is not designed
to completely offset the sensitivity of policy liabilities to all risks
associated with the guarantees embedded in these products. The gain in
the fourth quarter 2012 was mostly because our equity fund results
outperformed indices, there was a gain on the release of provision for
adverse deviation associated with more favourable equity markets and
the tightening of corporate spreads had a favourable impact on our bond
funds. See the Risk Management section of our 2011 Annual MD&A.
|
(5)
|
The charge for the fourth quarter of 2012 is primarily related to the
estimated impact of modeling refinements relating to a valuation system
conversion in the U.S.
|
(6)
|
The restructuring charge relates to severance under the Company's
Organization Design Project. As outlined at the November Investor Day,
the project is designed to broaden the spans of control and reduce the
number of layers in the organization.
|
(7)
|
The direct impact of equity markets and interest rates is relative to
our policy liability valuation assumptions and includes changes to
interest rate assumptions as well as experience gains and losses on
derivatives associated with our macro equity hedges. We also include
gains and losses on the sale of AFS bonds as management may have the
ability to partially offset the direct impacts of changes in interest
rates reported in the liability segments.
|
|
|
The gain (loss) related to the direct impact of equity markets and
interest rates in the table above is attributable to:
C$ millions, unaudited
|
4Q 2012
|
3Q 2012
|
4Q 2011
|
Variable annuity guarantee liabilities that are not dynamically hedged
|
$
|
556
|
$
|
298
|
$
|
234
|
General fund equity investments supporting policy liabilities(1)
|
|
48
|
|
55
|
|
56
|
Macro equity hedges relative to expected costs(2)
|
|
(292)
|
|
(86)
|
|
(250)
|
Fixed income reinvestment rates assumed in the valuation of policy
liabilities(3)
|
|
(290)
|
|
(330)
|
|
122
|
Sale of AFS bonds and derivative positions in the Corporate & Other
segment
|
|
(40)
|
|
(25)
|
|
(9)
|
Direct impact of equity markets and interest rates
|
$
|
(18)
|
$
|
(88)
|
$
|
153
|
(1)
|
The impact on general fund equity investments supporting policy
liabilities includes the capitalized impact on fees for variable
universal life policies.
|
(2)
|
Gross equity exposure produced gains of $1,103 million in the fourth
quarter 2012, which were partially offset by charges from macro hedge
experience and dynamic hedges of $691 million.
|
(3)
|
The charge in fourth quarter 2012 for lower assumed fixed income returns
was driven by the unfavourable impact that the narrowing of swap
spreads relative to corporate spreads had on our reinvestment
assumptions and the decline in risk free rates in Asia.
|
|
|
B2 Full year earnings analysis
The table below reconciles the full year 2012 core earnings of $2,187
million to the reported net income attributed to shareholders of $1,736
million.
C$ millions, unaudited
|
For the years ended December 31,
|
2012
|
2011
|
Core earnings (losses)(1)
|
|
|
|
Asia Division
|
$
|
963
|
$
|
938
|
Canadian Division
|
|
835
|
|
849
|
U.S. Division
|
|
1,085
|
|
1,005
|
Corporate & Other (excluding expected cost of macro hedges)
|
|
(407)
|
|
(415)
|
Expected cost of macro hedges(2)
|
|
(489)
|
|
(408)
|
Core investment related gains
|
|
200
|
|
200
|
Total Core earnings
|
$
|
2,187
|
$
|
2,169
|
Investment related gains in excess of core investment gains
|
|
937
|
|
1,290
|
Core earnings plus investment related gains above
|
$
|
3,124
|
$
|
3,459
|
Change in actuarial methods and assumptions, excluding URR(3)
|
|
(1,081)
|
|
(751)
|
Direct impact of equity markets and interest rates(4) (see table below)
|
|
(758)
|
|
(1,064)
|
Goodwill impairment charge
|
|
(200)
|
|
(665)
|
Income (charges) on variable annuity guarantee liabilities that are
dynamically hedged(5)
|
|
176
|
|
(1,153)
|
Impact of major reinsurance transactions, in-force product changes and
dispositions
|
|
210
|
|
303
|
Material and exceptional tax related items(6)
|
|
322
|
|
-
|
Restructuring charge related to organizational design(7)
|
|
(57)
|
|
-
|
Net income attributed to shareholders
|
$
|
1,736
|
$
|
129
|
(1)
|
This item is a non-GAAP measure. See "Performance and Non-GAAP Measures"
below.
|
(2)
|
The 2012 net loss from macro equity hedges was $1,000 million and
consisted of a $489 million charge related to the estimated expected
cost of the macro equity hedges relative to our long-term valuation
assumptions and a charge of $511 million because actual markets
outperformed our valuation assumptions. The latter amount is included
in the direct impact of equity markets and interest rates (see table
below).
|
(3)
|
Of the full year 2012 $1,081 million charge for change in actuarial
methods and assumptions, $1,006 million was reported in the third
quarter as part of the comprehensive annual review of valuation
assumptions. The full year charges were broadly grouped into three
categories: (i) a charge of $244 million related to updates to
actuarial standards of practice, (ii) a charge of $1,120 million for
updates largely related to the current macro-economic climate, and
(iii) all other results of the annual review of assumptions netted to a
gain of $283 million.
|
(4)
|
The direct impact of equity markets and interest rates is relative to
our policy liability valuation assumptions and includes changes to
interest rate assumptions as well as experience gains and losses on
derivatives associated with our macro equity hedges. We also include
gains and losses on the sale of AFS bonds as management may have the
ability to partially offset the direct impacts of changes in interest
rates reported in the liability segments.
|
(5)
|
Our variable annuity guarantee dynamic hedging strategy is not designed
to completely offset the sensitivity of policy liabilities to all risks
associated with the guarantees embedded in these products. See the Risk
Management section of our 2011 Annual MD&A. The gain in 2012 mostly
related to the same items as reported in fourth quarter 2012 above.
|
(6)
|
Included in the tax items are $264 million of material and exceptional
U.S. tax items reported in fourth quarter 2012 and $58 million for
changes to tax rates in Japan in the first quarter of 2012.
|
(7)
|
See fourth quarter table above.
|
|
|
The gain (loss) related to the direct impact of equity markets and
interest rates included in the table above is attributable to:
C$ millions, unaudited
|
|
|
For the years ended December 31,
|
2012
|
2011
|
Variable annuity guarantee liabilities that are not dynamically hedged
|
$
|
1,078
|
$
|
(1,092)
|
General fund equity investments supporting policy liabilities(1)
|
|
108
|
|
(214)
|
Macro equity hedges relative to expected costs(2)
|
|
(511)
|
|
636
|
Lower fixed income reinvestment rates assumed in the valuation of policy
liabilities
|
|
(740)
|
|
(281)
|
Sale of AFS bonds and derivative positions in the Corporate & Other
segment
|
|
(16)
|
|
324
|
Charges due to lower fixed income URR assumptions used in the valuation
of policy liabilities
|
|
(677)
|
|
(437)
|
Direct impact of equity markets and interest rates
|
$
|
(758)
|
$
|
(1,064)
|
|
|
(1)
|
The impact on general fund equity investments supporting policy
liabilities includes the capitalized impact on fees for variable
universal life policies.
|
(2)
|
Gross equity exposure produced gains of $2,025 million in 2012, which
were partially offset by charges from macro hedge experience and
dynamic hedges of $1,174 million.
|
|
|
B3 Premiums and deposits ("P&D")
Premiums and deposits21 for insurance products were $6.6 billion in the fourth quarter of 2012,
an increase of 18 per cent compared with the fourth quarter of 2011.
This included an increase of 39 per cent in Asia, 12 per cent in Canada
and nine per cent in the U.S. For the full year, P&D exceeded $24
billion, an increase of eight per cent over 2011.
Premiums and deposits for wealth products were $17.5 billion in the
fourth quarter of 2012, an increase of $7.3 billion compared with the
fourth quarter of 2011. The strong result includes over $5 billion in
institutional mandates won by Manulife Asset Management. For the full
year, P&D exceeded $51 billion, an increase of 16 per cent over 2011.
B4 Funds under management
Funds under management21 at the end of 2012 were a record $532 billion, an increase of $32
billion, or nine per cent on a constant currency basis, compared with
December 31, 2011. The increase was attributed to $44 billion of
favourable investment returns and $14 billion of net positive
policyholder cash flows, partially offset by the transfer of $7 billion
of assets related to the reinsurance of our U.S. fixed deferred annuity
business, $11 billion due to currency movements and $8 billion of
non-policyholder cash outflows (expenses, commissions, taxes and other
items).
__________________________
|
21
|
This item is a non-GAAP measure. See "Performance and Non-GAAP Measures"
below.
|
B5 Capital
MFC's total capital22 as at December 31, 2012 was $29.6 billion, an increase of $1.1 billion
from September 30, 2012 and $0.6 billion from December 31, 2011. The
increase from December 31, 2011 included net earnings of $1.7 billion
and net capital raised of $0.2 billion, partially offset by $0.8
billion impact of the stronger Canadian dollar and cash dividends of
$0.7 billion over the period.
As noted in section A1 above, MLI's MCCSR ratio closed the quarter at
211 per cent compared with 204 per cent at the end of the third
quarter.
B6 U.S. GAAP results
Net income attributed to shareholders in accordance with U.S. GAAP22 for the fourth quarter of 2012 was $237 million, compared with $1,057
million under IFRS. For the full year 2012 net income attributed to
shareholders in accordance with U.S. GAAP was $2,557 million, $821
million higher than our results under IFRS.
As we are no longer reconciling our financial results under U.S. GAAP in
our consolidated financial statements, net income in accordance with
U.S. GAAP is considered a non-GAAP financial measure. A reconciliation
of the major differences in net income (loss) attributed to
shareholders in accordance with IFRS to net income attributed to
shareholders in accordance with U.S. GAAP for the fourth quarter and
full year is as follows with the major differences expanded upon below:
C$ millions, unaudited
|
Quarterly Results
|
|
Full Year Results
|
For the periods ended December 31,
|
2012
|
2011(1)
|
|
2012
|
2011(1)
|
Net income (loss) attributed to shareholders in accordance with IFRS
|
$
|
1,057
|
$
|
(69)
|
|
$
|
1,736
|
$
|
129
|
Key earnings differences:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
For variable annuity guarantee liabilities
|
$
|
(668)
|
$
|
297
|
|
$
|
(1,225)
|
$
|
2,927
|
Related to the impact of mark-to-market accounting and investing
activities on investment income and policy liabilities
|
|
(130)
|
|
(179)
|
|
|
432
|
|
(120)
|
New business differences including acquisition costs
|
|
(161)
|
|
(64)
|
|
|
(650)
|
|
(322)
|
Charges due to lower fixed income ultimate reinvestment rate assumptions
used in the valuation of policy liabilities under IFRS
|
|
-
|
|
-
|
|
|
677
|
|
437
|
Changes in actuarial methods and assumptions, excluding URR
|
|
(40)
|
|
(53)
|
|
|
492
|
|
349
|
Goodwill impairment charge
|
|
-
|
|
153
|
|
|
200
|
|
153
|
Changes related to major reinsurance transactions
|
|
5
|
|
5
|
|
|
60
|
|
(303)
|
Other differences
|
|
174
|
|
249
|
|
|
835
|
|
424
|
Total earnings differences
|
$
|
(820)
|
$
|
408
|
|
$
|
821
|
$
|
3,545
|
Net income attributed to shareholders in accordance with U.S. GAAP
|
$
|
237
|
$
|
339
|
|
$
|
2,557
|
$
|
3,674
|
(1)
|
Restated as a result of adopting Accounting Standards Update No.
2010-26, "Accounting for Costs Associated with Acquiring or Renewing
Insurance Contracts" ("ASU 2010-26") effective January 1, 2012 but
requiring application to 2011. The impact for fourth quarter 2011 was
a net decrease in earnings of $28 million (full year 2011 decrease of
$48 million), all of which is included in "New business differences
including acquisition costs".
|
|
|
__________________________
|
22
|
This item is a non-GAAP measure. See "Performance and Non-GAAP Measures"
below
|
Accounting for variable annuity guarantee liabilities
IFRS follows a predominantly "mark-to-market" accounting approach to
measure variable annuity guarantee liabilities while U.S. GAAP only
uses "mark-to-market" accounting for certain benefit guarantees. The
U.S. GAAP accounting results in an accounting mismatch between the
hedged assets supporting the dynamically hedged guarantees and the
guarantees not accounted for on a mark-to-market basis. Another
difference is that U.S. GAAP reflects the Company's own credit standing
in the measurement of the liability. In the fourth quarter of 2012, we
reported a net loss of $12 million (2011 - $338 million gain) in our
total variable annuity businesses under U.S. GAAP compared with a gain
of $656 million under IFRS (2011 - $41 million).
Investment income and policy liabilities
Under IFRS, accumulated unrealized gains and losses arising from fixed
income investments and interest rate derivatives supporting policy
liabilities are largely offset in the valuation of the policy
liabilities. The fourth quarter 2012 IFRS impacts of fixed income
reinvestment assumptions, general fund equity investments, fixed income
and alternative long-duration asset investing totaled a net $126
million gain (2011 - gain of $457 million) compared with U.S. GAAP net
realized losses and other investment losses of $4 million (2011 - gain
of $278 million).
Differences in the treatment of acquisition costs and other new business
items
Acquisition costs that are related to and vary with the production of
new business are explicitly deferred and amortized under U.S. GAAP but
are recognized as an implicit reduction in insurance liabilities along
with other new business gains and losses under IFRS.
Total equity in accordance with U.S. GAAP23 as at December 31, 2012 was approximately $16 billion higher than under
IFRS. Of this difference, approximately $10 billion was attributable
to the higher cumulative net income on a U.S. GAAP basis. The remaining
difference was primarily attributable to the treatment of unrealized
gains on fixed income investments and derivatives in a cash flow
hedging relationship which are reported in equity under U.S. GAAP, but
where the fixed income investments and interest rate derivatives are
supporting policy liabilities, these accumulated unrealized gains are
largely offset in the valuation of the policy liabilities under IFRS.
The majority of the difference in equity between the two accounting
bases as at December 31, 2012 arose from our U.S. businesses.
A reconciliation of the major differences in total equity is as follows:
As at December 31,
C$ millions, unaudited
|
2012
|
2011(1)
|
Total equity in accordance with IFRS
|
$
|
26,096
|
$
|
24,879
|
Differences in shareholders' retained earnings and participating
policyholders' equity
|
|
9,793
|
|
8,869
|
Differences in Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income attributable to:
|
|
|
|
|
|
(i) Available-for-sale securities and other
|
|
4,967
|
|
4,473
|
|
(ii) Cash flow hedges
|
|
2,440
|
|
2,570
|
|
(iii) Translation of net foreign operations(2)
|
|
(1,481)
|
|
(1,309)
|
Differences in share capital, contributed surplus and non-controlling
interest in subsidiaries
|
|
40
|
|
148
|
Total equity in accordance with U.S. GAAP
|
$
|
41,855
|
$
|
39,630
|
(1)
|
2011 equity has been restated to reflect the adoption of ASU No.
2010-26.
|
(2)
|
Reflects the net difference in the currency translation account after
the reset to zero through retained earnings upon adoption of IFRS at
January 1, 2010.
|
|
|
__________________________
|
23
|
Total equity in accordance with U.S. GAAP is a non-GAAP measure. See
"Performance and Non-GAAP Measures" below.
|
|
|
C PERFORMANCE BY DIVISION
C1 Asia Division
($ millions, unless otherwise stated)
|
Quarterly Results
|
Full Year Results
|
Canadian dollars
|
4Q 2012
|
3Q 2012
|
4Q 2011
|
2012
|
2011
|
Net income (loss) attributed to shareholders
|
$
|
682
|
$
|
491
|
$
|
285
|
$
|
1,969
|
$
|
(48)
|
Core earnings
|
|
180
|
|
230
|
|
213
|
|
963
|
|
938
|
Premiums and deposits
|
|
4,403
|
|
2,944
|
|
2,625
|
|
13,461
|
|
10,303
|
Funds under management (billions)
|
|
77.7
|
|
76.2
|
|
71.4
|
|
77.7
|
|
71.4
|
U.S. dollars
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income (loss) attributed to shareholders
|
$
|
689
|
$
|
492
|
$
|
279
|
$
|
1,979
|
$
|
(62)
|
Core earnings
|
|
182
|
|
231
|
|
209
|
|
963
|
|
950
|
Premiums and deposits
|
|
4,441
|
|
2,958
|
|
2,567
|
|
13,477
|
|
10,422
|
Funds under management (billions)
|
|
78.1
|
|
77.5
|
|
70.2
|
|
78.1
|
|
70.2
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Asia Division's net income attributed to shareholders was US$689 million for the fourth quarter of 2012 compared with US$279
million for the fourth quarter of 2011. The significant increase was
primarily related to the direct impact of equity markets and interest
rates on variable annuity guarantee liabilities. The US$27 million
decrease in core earnings compared with the fourth quarter of 2011 was
attributable to the decline in higher margin cancer product sales
reported in 2011 partly offset by business growth across the region.
The fourth quarter decline in core earnings compared with the third
quarter was a result of increased sales incentive expenses due to
higher sales, increased systems costs and investments in branding and
communication, and increased new business strain in Japan as a result
of higher sales ahead of price increases on the Increasing Term
product. The increase in sales in Asia should contribute to an increase
in future period earnings.
Full year net income attributed to shareholders was US$1,979 million in
2012 compared with a loss of US$62 million for 2011. In 2012 we
reported a gain of US$915 million due to the direct impact of equity
markets and interest rates compared to a loss of US$1,186 million in
2011. The US$13 million increase in core earnings compared with full
year 2011 was attributable to growth in in-force business across the
region partially offset by an increase in expenses related to expansion
activities and the non-recurrence of policyholder experience gains
reported in 2011.
Premiums and deposits for the fourth quarter of 2012 were US$4.4 billion, up 75 per cent from
the fourth quarter of 2011. Premiums and deposits for insurance
products of US$2.0 billion increased 39 per cent driven by higher new
business sales combined with in-force business growth across the
region, most notably in Japan. Wealth management premiums and deposits
of US$2.5 billion increased 120 per cent, driven by higher mutual fund
sales in Japan, Indonesia and Taiwan, as well as higher pension sales
in Hong Kong.
Funds under management as at December 31, 2012 were US$78.1 billion, an increase of 16 per
cent, on a constant currency basis, compared with December 31, 2011.
Growth was driven by an increase in net policyholder cash flows of $7
billion and favourable investment returns.
C2 Canadian Division(1)
($ millions, unless otherwise stated)
|
Quarterly Results
|
Full Year Results
|
Canadian dollars
|
4Q 2012
|
3Q 2012
|
4Q 2011
|
2012
|
2011
|
Net income attributed to shareholders
|
$
|
251
|
$
|
378
|
$
|
246
|
$
|
1,169
|
$
|
927
|
Core earnings
|
|
233
|
|
229
|
|
142
|
|
835
|
|
849
|
Premiums and deposits
|
|
4,668
|
|
4,160
|
|
4,393
|
|
18,119
|
|
17,816
|
Funds under management (billions)
|
|
133.2
|
|
131.1
|
|
122.1
|
|
133.2
|
|
122.1
|
(1)
|
The Company moved its International Group Program business unit from
U.S. Division to Canadian Division in 2012. Prior period results have
been restated to reflect this change.
|
|
|
Canadian Division's net income attributed to shareholders was $251 million for the fourth quarter of 2012 compared with $246
million for the fourth quarter of 2011. Core earnings increased by $91
million compared with the fourth quarter of 2011 reflecting the
positive impacts of improved new business profitability as a result of
pricing and product changes and favourable claims and lapse
experience. The fourth quarter of 2012 also benefited from a release
of tax provisions relating to the closure of a prior year's tax
filings. Excluded from core earnings in the fourth quarter of 2012 were
$18 million of investment related gains (2011 - $104 million).
Full year net income attributed to shareholders was $1,169 million in
2012 compared to $927 million for 2011. Core earnings decreased by $14
million compared with full year 2011. The favourable impact of improved
new business margins and business growth were more than offset by
claims and lapse experience and lower expense margins as a result of
the change in business mix. Excluded from core earnings in 2012 were
gains of $35 million related to the direct impact of equity markets and
interest rates (2011 - $12 million); other investment gains of $40
million (2011 - $66 million); a $137 million gain related to the
recapture of a reinsurance treaty (2011 - nil) and a $122 million
reserve release related to in-force variable annuity product changes
(2011 - nil).
Premiums and deposits in the fourth quarter of 2012 were $4.7 billion, six per cent higher
than fourth quarter 2011 levels. The increase was driven by record
mutual funds deposits and strong Group Benefits insurance sales,
partially offset by lower variable annuity sales.
Funds under management were a record $133.2 billion as at December 31, 2012, an increase of
nine per cent or $11.1 billion compared with December 31, 2011. The
increase reflects business growth across the division driven by the
wealth management businesses and Manulife Bank. Net increases in asset
market values as a result of lower interest rates and equity market
appreciation also contributed to the year-over-year increase.
C3 U.S. Division(1),(2)
($ millions, unless otherwise stated)
|
Quarterly Results
|
Full Year Results
|
Canadian dollars
|
4Q 2012
|
3Q 2012
|
4Q 2011
|
2012
|
2011
|
Net income attributed to shareholders
|
$
|
724
|
$
|
436
|
$
|
505
|
$
|
1,911
|
$
|
621
|
Core earnings
|
|
293
|
|
288
|
|
189
|
|
1,085
|
|
1,005
|
Premiums and deposits
|
|
9,661
|
|
8,510
|
|
8,210
|
|
35,944
|
|
34,412
|
Funds under management (billions)(3)
|
|
292.6
|
|
287.2
|
|
279.6
|
|
292.6
|
|
279.6
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
U.S. dollars
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net income attributed to shareholders
|
$
|
731
|
$
|
439
|
$
|
493
|
$
|
1,918
|
$
|
614
|
Core earnings
|
|
297
|
|
289
|
|
184
|
|
1,088
|
|
1,018
|
Premiums and deposits
|
|
9,743
|
|
8,552
|
|
8,025
|
|
35,967
|
|
34,807
|
Funds under management (billions)(3)
|
|
294.1
|
|
292.0
|
|
274.9
|
|
294.1
|
|
274.9
|
(1)
|
The Company moved its International Group Program business unit to
Canadian Division in 2012. Prior period results have been restated to
reflect this change.
|
(2)
|
The Company moved its Privately Managed Accounts unit to Corporate and
Other in 2012. Prior period results have been restated to reflect this
change.
|
(3)
|
Reflects the impact of annuity reinsurance transactions in Q3 and Q2
2012.
|
|
|
U.S. Division's net income attributed to shareholders was US$731 million for the fourth quarter of 2012 compared with US$493
million for the fourth quarter of 2011. Core earnings for the fourth
quarter of 2012 were US$297 million, an increase of US$113 million
compared with the fourth quarter of 2011. Contributing to the increase
were improved new business margins as a result of price increases and
business mix, higher fee income from higher average assets under
management and the impact of changes in assumptions related to
uncertain tax positions, partially offset by higher expenses. Items
reconciling core earnings to net income in the fourth quarter of 2012
included the direct impact of equity markets and interest rates, other
investment related items and a portion of the tax related item
discussed in section A1.
Full year net income attributed to shareholders was US$1,918 million in
2012 compared to US$614 million for 2011. Core earnings increased US$70
million compared with 2011. Contributing to the increase were improved
new business margins and business mix, a lower effective tax rate as we
released provisions for uncertain tax positions, and higher fees from
higher assets on the Wealth Management business, partially offset by
unfavourable policyholder experience. Items reconciling core earnings
to net income in 2012 included the direct impact of equity markets and
interest rates, other investment related gains and losses and a portion
of the tax items discussed in section A1.
In line with the 2010 in-force repricing efforts in our JH LTC business,
the Company has filed for premium rate increases with 50 state
regulators. The rate increases requested average approximately 40 per
cent on the majority of our in-force retail and group business. To
date, approvals have been received from 43 states.
Premiums and deposits for the fourth quarter of 2012 were US$9.7 billion, an increase of 21
per cent from the fourth quarter of 2011. The increase was primarily
driven by higher sales of mutual funds, 401(k) plans and life
insurance, partially offset by lower sales of annuities. We announced
our decision to stop writing new fixed deferred annuity and variable
annuity business in the third quarter of 2012.
Funds under management as at December 31, 2012 were US$294.1 billion, up seven per cent from
December 31, 2011. The increase was due to positive investment returns,
the impact of lower interest rates on the market value of funds under
management and net sales in Wealth Asset Management, partially offset
by surrender and benefit payments in JH Annuities and the transfer of
US$7.2 billion of assets related to the fixed deferred annuity
reinsurance transactions.
C4 Corporate and Other(1)
($ millions, unless otherwise stated)
|
Quarterly Results
|
Full Year Results
|
Canadian dollars
|
4Q 2012
|
3Q 2012
|
4Q 2011
|
2012
|
2011
|
Net loss attributed to shareholders
|
$
|
(600)
|
$
|
(1,532)
|
$
|
(1,105)
|
$
|
(3,313)
|
$
|
(1,371)
|
|
Core losses (excl. macro hedges and core investment gains)
|
|
(79)
|
|
(117)
|
|
(124)
|
|
(407)
|
|
(415)
|
|
Expected cost of macro hedges
|
|
(140)
|
|
(124)
|
|
(97)
|
|
(489)
|
|
(408)
|
|
Core investment gains
|
|
50
|
|
50
|
|
50
|
|
200
|
|
200
|
Total core losses
|
$
|
(169)
|
$
|
(191)
|
$
|
(171)
|
$
|
(696)
|
$
|
(623)
|
Premiums and deposits
|
|
5,396
|
|
1,132
|
|
688
|
|
7,977
|
|
3,530
|
Funds under management (billions)
|
|
28.4
|
|
20.1
|
|
26.6
|
|
28.4
|
|
26.6
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1)
|
As a result of the sale of the Life Retrocession business effective July
1, 2011, the Company moved its P&C Reinsurance business and run-off
variable annuity reinsurance business to Corporate and Other. In
addition, Corporate and Other has been restated to include the
Privately Managed Accounts business and Life Retrocession business for
periods prior to the sale.
|
|
|
Corporate and Other is composed of: Investment performance on assets backing capital, net of amounts
allocated to operating divisions and financing costs, Investment
Division's external asset management business, Property and Casualty
("P&C") Reinsurance business, as well as run-off reinsurance operations
including variable annuities and accident and health.
For segment reporting purposes, the impact of updates to actuarial
assumptions, settlement costs for macro equity hedges and other
non-operating items are included in this segment's earnings.
Corporate and Other reported a net loss attributed to shareholders of $600 million for the fourth quarter of 2012 compared to a net loss
of $1,105 million for the fourth quarter of 2011. Core losses were $169
million in the fourth quarter of 2012 and $171 million in the fourth
quarter of 2011.
Charges in the fourth quarter of 2012 not included in core earnings
totaled $431 million. These included: $292 million of net experience
losses on macro hedges, an $87 million charge for changes in actuarial
methods and assumptions, a $57 million restructuring charge ($78
million pre-tax) and $40 million of realized losses on AFS bonds and
related interest rate swaps. In addition, the classification of $50
million of investment gains is reported in the Corporate and Other
segment as a charge to non-core earnings and a gain to core earnings.
Partially offsetting these losses was a net gain of $95 million
primarily related to interest on a material and exceptional tax item.
The core losses of $169 million in the fourth quarter compared with $171
million in the fourth quarter of 2011. In the fourth quarter 2012 we
released $44 million of excess P&C reinsurance provisions related to
events in 2011 and added a $6 million provision for Hurricane Sandy.
The P&C reinsurance items were offset by higher than expected macro
hedge costs of $43 million.
Corporate and Other reported a full year net loss attributed to
shareholders of $3,313 million in 2012 compared to a net loss of $1,371
million in 2011. Core losses were $696 million in 2012 and $623
million in 2011.
Excluded from 2012 core losses were net charges of $2,617 million. Of
this amount, $1,215 million related to the direct impact of equity
markets and interest rates, largely comprising net experience losses
from the macro equity hedges and charges due to lower URR assumptions
used in the valuation of policy liabilities, $1,081 million related to
changes in actuarial methods and assumptions, other than URR, $200
million related to a goodwill impairment charge, and $200 million was
the offset to investment gains classified as core earnings. The charges
were partially offset by gains of $79 million largely related to
mark-to-market investment gains and tax related items, partially offset
by the restructuring charge noted above.
The $73 million increase in full year core losses was due to: increased
amortization of investment losses on the Company's pension plans, lower
investment income due to a combination of declining interest rates and
lower average assets, higher business development expenses and higher
expected macro hedging. Partially offsetting these items were the
non-recurrence of $151 million P&C reinsurance charges in 2011 related
to the Japan earthquake and tsunami, the subsequent release in 2012 of
$44 million in excess provisions related to these events and lower
accrued interest on tax provisions.
Premiums and deposits for the fourth quarter of 2012 were $5.4 billion, compared with $0.7
billion for the fourth quarter 2011. In the fourth quarter of 2012,
Manulife Asset Management was awarded a substantial institutional fixed
income investment mandate.
Funds under management of $28.4 billion as at December 31, 2012 (December 31, 2011 - $26.6
billion) included assets managed by Manulife Asset Management on behalf
of institutional clients of $28.8 billion (2011 - $23.8 billion) and
$7.1 billion (2011 - $10.6 billion) of the Company's own funds,
partially offset by a $7.5 billion (2011 - $7.8 billion) total company
adjustment related to the reclassification on the balance sheet of
derivative liabilities. The decline in the Company's own funds
primarily reflects an increase in assets allocated to the operating
divisions and the impact of the stronger Canadian dollar.
D RISK MANAGEMENT AND RISK FACTORS UPDATE
This section provides an update to our risk management practices and
risk factors outlined in the MD&A in our 2011 Annual Report.
D1 General macro-economic risk factors
In our 2011 Annual Report, we outlined potential impacts of
macro-economic factors including the impact of a low interest
environment.
In our Third Quarter 2012 Report to Shareholders, we disclosed that we
have shifted our objective of $4 billion in net income by 2015 by
roughly a year, and we are now targeting $4 billion in core earnings in
2016 based on our macro-economic and other assumptions24. Our revised objective uses a core earnings target metric, which is
consistent with measuring the underlying profitability of our business.
_____________________
|
24
|
See "Caution regarding forward-looking statements" below.
|
D2 Regulatory capital, actuarial and accounting risks
As outlined in our 2011 Annual Report, as a result of the recent
financial crisis, financial authorities and regulators in many
countries are reviewing their capital, actuarial and accounting
requirements, and the changes may have a material adverse effect on the
Company's consolidated financial statements and regulatory capital,
both at transition and subsequently. We may be required to raise
additional capital, which could be dilutive to existing shareholders,
or to limit the new business we write. Subsequent updates to
regulatory and professional standards are outlined below.
-
Changes to U.S. statutory accounting practices concerning actuarial
reserving standards for certain universal life ("UL") products pursuant
to Actuarial Guideline 38 ("AG38") have now been promulgated by the
National Association of Insurance Commissioners ("NAIC"). The new
requirements for in-force business will affect policies issued since
July 1, 2005 and in-force on December 31, 2012. The implementation of
this standard requires actuarial judgment and interpretation. To the
extent that regulatory guidance emerges that is different than our
interpretations it could have a material impact on our statutory
reserves and local capital position.
-
On December 24, 2012, the Canadian Actuarial Standards Board ("ASB")
issued a Notice of Intent proposing to revise the Standards of Practice
of the Canadian Institute of Actuaries with respect to the economic
reinvestment assumptions and investment strategies utilized for
long-tail liability cash flows under the Canadian Asset Liability
Method ("CALM"). The proposed changes are to incorporate calibration
criteria for stochastic interest rate models used for CALM, to revise
the deterministic scenarios to provide results comparable to those
provided by the stochastic methodology, to establish maximum assumed
net risk premiums which may include a possible revision to the 20 year
horizon for re-investing in corporate bonds and to establish limits on
the extent to which investment in alternative assets can be assumed.
The ASB hopes to issue an exposure draft by June 2013 and adopt the
final standards in 2013, with a proposed effective date of October 15,
2013. The ASB recognizes that this timetable is aggressive. Given the
early stage of the ASB review, the net impact of any changes in
actuarial standards on earnings and thus capital is unknown.
-
Consistent with the high levels of regulatory activity internationally,
the NAIC has been reviewing reserving and capital methodologies as well
as the overall risk management framework. These reviews will affect
U.S. life insurers, including John Hancock, and could lead to increased
reserving and / or capital requirements for our business in the United
States.
-
In 2010, the International Accounting Standards Board ("IASB") issued
its Insurance Contracts (Phase II) Exposure Draft and the U.S.
Financial Accounting Standards Board ("FASB") issued its Insurance
Contract Discussion paper. The IASB recently announced that it expects
to issue a limited re-exposure draft in 2013 and the FASB announced it
expects to issue an Exposure Draft in 2013. The final standards are
not expected to be effective until 2018. As previously outlined, the
insurance industry in Canada is working with OSFI and the federal
government with respect to the potential impact of these proposals on
Canadian insurance companies, and the industry is urging policymakers
to ensure that any future accounting and capital proposals
appropriately consider the underlying business model of a life
insurance company and, in particular, the implications for
long-duration guaranteed products which are much more prevalent in
North America than elsewhere.
D3 Additional risks - Entities within the MFC Group are interconnected
which may make separation difficult
There have been inquiries relating to the sale or spin-off of all or a
part of our U.S. Division. We remain committed to our U.S. Division.
In addition, linkages between MFC and its subsidiaries, including our
U.S. operations, may make it difficult to dispose of or separate a
subsidiary within the group by way of spin-off or similar transaction.
See the Company's Annual Information Form - "Risk Factors - Additional
risks - Entities within the MFC Group are interconnected which may make
separation difficult". In addition to the possible negative
consequences outlined in such disclosure, other negative consequences
could include a requirement for significant capital injections, and
increased net income and capital sensitivities of MFC and its remaining
subsidiaries to market declines.
D4 Variable annuity and segregated fund guarantees
As at December 31, 2012, approximately 67 per cent of the value of our
variable annuity and segregated fund guarantee value was either
dynamically hedged or reinsured, an increase from 65 per cent at
September 30, 2012. The business dynamically hedged at December 31,
2012 comprises 63 per cent of the variable annuity guarantee values,
net of amounts reinsured. During the quarter, an additional $700
million of in-force business was dynamically hedged and for the full
year we added a total of $1,500 million of in-force guarantee value to
the program. All material amounts of new business continue to be hedged
at issue.
The table below shows selected information regarding the Company's
variable annuity and segregated funds guarantees gross and net of
reinsurance and the business dynamically hedged.
Variable annuity and segregated fund guarantees
As at
|
December 31, 2012
|
September 30, 2012
|
(C$ millions)
|
Guarantee
value
|
Fund value
|
Amount
at risk(4)
|
Guarantee
value
|
Fund value
|
Amount
at risk(4)
|
Guaranteed minimum income benefit(1)
|
$
|
6,581
|
$
|
4,958
|
$
|
1,630
|
$
|
6,707
|
$
|
5,062
|
$
|
1,654
|
Guaranteed minimum withdrawal benefit
|
|
65,481
|
|
58,659
|
|
7,183
|
|
65,210
|
|
58,538
|
|
7,107
|
Guaranteed minimum accumulation benefit
|
|
20,380
|
|
21,468
|
|
1,383
|
|
21,846
|
|
22,182
|
|
2,089
|
Gross living benefits(2)
|
$
|
92,442
|
$
|
85,085
|
$
|
10,196
|
$
|
93,763
|
$
|
85,782
|
$
|
10,850
|
Gross death benefits(3)
|
|
13,316
|
|
10,622
|
|
2,206
|
|
13,764
|
|
11,365
|
|
2,315
|
Total gross of reinsurance and hedging
|
$
|
105,758
|
$
|
95,707
|
$
|
12,402
|
$
|
107,527
|
$
|
97,147
|
$
|
13,165
|
Living benefits reinsured
|
$
|
5,780
|
$
|
4,358
|
$
|
1,427
|
$
|
5,837
|
$
|
4,410
|
$
|
1,433
|
Death benefits reinsured
|
|
3,673
|
|
3,140
|
|
709
|
|
3,821
|
|
3,249
|
|
770
|
Total reinsured
|
$
|
9,453
|
$
|
7,498
|
$
|
2,136
|
$
|
9,658
|
$
|
7,659
|
$
|
2,203
|
Total, net of reinsurance
|
$
|
96,305
|
$
|
88,209
|
$
|
10,266
|
$
|
97,869
|
$
|
89,488
|
$
|
10,962
|
Living benefits dynamically hedged
|
$
|
55,464
|
$
|
52,585
|
$
|
4,528
|
$
|
54,600
|
$
|
51,876
|
$
|
4,288
|
Death benefits dynamically hedged
|
|
5,453
|
|
3,945
|
|
558
|
|
5,353
|
|
4,063
|
|
485
|
Total dynamically hedged
|
$
|
60,917
|
$
|
56,530
|
$
|
5,086
|
$
|
59,953
|
$
|
55,939
|
$
|
4,773
|
Living benefits retained
|
$
|
31,198
|
$
|
28,142
|
$
|
4,241
|
$
|
33,326
|
$
|
29,496
|
$
|
5,129
|
Death benefits retained
|
|
4,190
|
|
3,537
|
|
939
|
|
4,590
|
|
4,053
|
|
1,060
|
Total, net of reinsurance and dynamic hedging
|
$
|
35,388
|
$
|
31,679
|
$
|
5,180
|
$
|
37,916
|
$
|
33,549
|
$
|
6,189
|
|
|
(1)
|
Contracts with guaranteed long-term care benefits are included in this
category.
|
(2)
|
Where a policy includes both living and death benefits, the guarantee in
excess of the living benefit is included in the death benefit category
as outlined in footnote (3).
|
(3)
|
Death benefits include stand-alone guarantees and guarantees in excess
of living benefit guarantees where both death and living benefits are
provided on a policy.
|
(4)
|
Amount at risk (in-the-money amount) is the excess of guarantee values
over fund values on all policies where the guarantee value exceeds the
fund value. This amount is not currently payable. For guaranteed
minimum death benefit, the net amount at risk is defined as the current
guaranteed minimum death benefit in excess of the current account
balance. For guaranteed minimum income benefit, the net amount at risk
is defined as the excess of the current annuitization income base over
the current account value. For all guarantees, the net amount at risk
is floored at zero at the single contract level.
|
|
|
|
|
As at December 31,
|
2012
|
2011
|
(C$ millions)
|
Guarantee
value
|
Fund value
|
Amount
at risk(4)
|
Guarantee
value
|
Fund value
|
Amount
at risk(4)
|
Guaranteed minimum income benefit(1)
|
$
|
6,581
|
$
|
4,958
|
$
|
1,630
|
$
|
7,518
|
$
|
5,358
|
$
|
2,163
|
Guaranteed minimum withdrawal benefit
|
|
65,481
|
|
58,659
|
|
7,183
|
|
66,655
|
|
56,954
|
|
9,907
|
Guaranteed minimum accumulation benefit
|
|
20,380
|
|
21,468
|
|
1,383
|
|
23,509
|
|
23,030
|
|
2,813
|
Gross living benefits(2)
|
$
|
92,442
|
$
|
85,085
|
$
|
10,196
|
$
|
97,682
|
$
|
85,342
|
$
|
14,883
|
Gross death benefits(3)
|
|
13,316
|
|
10,622
|
|
2,206
|
|
15,202
|
|
11,614
|
|
3,232
|
Total gross of reinsurance and hedging
|
$
|
105,758
|
$
|
95,707
|
$
|
12,402
|
$
|
112,884
|
$
|
96,956
|
$
|
18,115
|
Living benefits reinsured
|
$
|
5,780
|
$
|
4,358
|
$
|
1,427
|
$
|
6,491
|
$
|
4,622
|
$
|
1,871
|
Death benefits reinsured
|
|
3,673
|
|
3,140
|
|
709
|
|
4,360
|
|
3,430
|
|
1,104
|
Total reinsured
|
$
|
9,453
|
$
|
7,498
|
$
|
2,136
|
$
|
10,851
|
$
|
8,052
|
$
|
2,975
|
Total, net of reinsurance
|
$
|
96,305
|
$
|
88,209
|
$
|
10,266
|
$
|
102,033
|
$
|
88,904
|
$
|
15,140
|
Living benefits dynamically hedged
|
$
|
55,464
|
$
|
52,585
|
$
|
4,528
|
$
|
55,522
|
$
|
50,550
|
$
|
6,346
|
Death benefits dynamically hedged
|
|
5,453
|
|
3,945
|
|
558
|
|
5,133
|
|
3,461
|
|
739
|
Total dynamically hedged
|
$
|
60,917
|
$
|
56,530
|
$
|
5,086
|
$
|
60,655
|
$
|
54,011
|
$
|
7,085
|
Living benefits retained
|
$
|
31,198
|
$
|
28,142
|
$
|
4,241
|
$
|
35,669
|
$
|
30,170
|
$
|
6,666
|
Death benefits retained
|
|
4,190
|
|
3,537
|
|
939
|
|
5,709
|
|
4,723
|
|
1,389
|
Total, net of reinsurance and dynamic hedging
|
$
|
35,388
|
$
|
31,679
|
$
|
5,180
|
$
|
41,378
|
$
|
34,893
|
$
|
8,055
|
|
|
(1)
|
Contracts with guaranteed long-term care benefits are included in this
category.
|
(2)
|
Where a policy includes both living and death benefits, the guarantee in
excess of the living benefit is included in the death benefit category
as outlined in footnote (3).
|
(3)
|
Death benefits include stand-alone guarantees and guarantees in excess
of living benefit guarantees where both death and living benefits are
provided on a policy.
|
(4)
|
Amount at risk (in-the-money amount) is the excess of guarantee values
over fund values on all policies where the guarantee value exceeds the
fund value. This amount is not currently payable. For guaranteed
minimum death benefit, the net amount at risk is defined as the current
guaranteed minimum death benefit in excess of the current account
balance. For guaranteed minimum income benefit, the net amount at risk
is defined as the excess of the current annuitization income base over
the current account value. For all guarantees, the net amount at risk
is floored at zero at the single contract level.
|
|
|
The policy liabilities established for these benefits were $7,948
million at December 31, 2012 (September 30, 2012 - $9,461 million) and
include the policy liabilities for both the hedged and the unhedged
business. For unhedged business, policy liabilities were $2,695 million
at December 31, 2012 (September 30, 2012 - $3,521 million). The policy
liabilities for the hedged block were $5,253 million at December 31,
2012 (September 30, 2012 - $5,940 million). Policy liabilities
decreased over the quarter largely due to the favourable impact of the
increase in equity markets.
Caution related to sensitivities
In this document, we have provided sensitivities and risk exposure
measures for certain risks. These include sensitivities due to
specific changes in market prices and interest rate levels projected
using internal models as at a specific date, and are measured relative
to a starting level reflecting the Company's assets and liabilities at
that date and the actuarial factors, investment returns and investment
activity we assume in the future. The risk exposures measure the impact
of changing one factor at a time and assume that all other factors
remain unchanged. Actual results can differ significantly from these
estimates for a variety of reasons including the interaction among
these factors when more than one changes, changes in actuarial and
investment return and future investment activity assumptions, actual
experience differing from the assumptions, changes in business mix,
effective tax rates and other market factors, and the general
limitations of our internal models. For these reasons, the
sensitivities should only be viewed as directional estimates of the
underlying sensitivities for the respective factors based on the
assumptions outlined below. Given the nature of these calculations, we
cannot provide assurance that the actual impact on net income
attributed to shareholders or on MLI's MCCSR ratio will be as
indicated.
D5 Publicly traded equity performance risk
As a result of our dynamic and macro hedging program, as at December 31,
2012, we estimate that approximately 72 to 83 per cent of our
underlying earnings sensitivity to a 10 per cent decline in equity
markets would be offset by hedges. The lower end of the range is based
on the dynamically hedged assets that exist at December 31, 2012 and
assumes re-balancing of equity hedges for dynamically hedged variable
annuity liabilities at 5 per cent intervals and the upper end of the
range assumes the performance of the dynamic hedging program would
completely offset the loss from the dynamically hedged variable annuity
guarantee liabilities. The range at September 30, 2012 was 67 to 78 per
cent. We have achieved our stated goal to have approximately 75 per
cent of the underlying earnings sensitivity to equity markets offset by
hedges by the end of 2014.
As outlined in our 2011 Annual Report, the macro hedging strategy is
designed to mitigate public equity risk arising from variable annuity
guarantees not dynamically hedged and from other products and fees. In
addition, our variable annuity guarantee dynamic hedging strategy is
not designed to completely offset the sensitivity of policy liabilities
to all risks associated with the guarantees embedded in these products
(see MD&A in our 2011 Annual Report).
The tables below show the potential impact on net income attributed to
shareholders resulting from an immediate 10, 20 and 30 per cent change
in market values of publicly traded equities followed by a return to
the expected level of growth assumed in the valuation of policy
liabilities. The potential impact is shown before and after taking into
account the impact of the change in markets on the hedge assets. The
potential impact is shown assuming that (a) the change in value of the
hedge assets completely offsets the change in the dynamically hedged
variable annuity guarantee liabilities, including the provisions for
adverse deviation and (b) that the change in value is not completely
offset. In the fourth quarter 2012 we refined our methodology related
to the estimated amount that would not be completely offset. The
refinement in methodology assumes that provision for adverse deviation
is not offset and that the hedge assets are based on the actual
position at the period end. (Previously the methodology assumed that
for a 10, 20 and 30 per cent decrease in the market value of equities,
the profit from the hedge assets offsets 80, 75 and 70 per cent,
respectively, of the loss arising from the change in the policy
liabilities associated with the guarantees dynamically hedged. For a
10, 20 and 30 per cent market increase in the market value of equities,
the loss on the dynamic hedges was assumed to be 120, 125 and 130 per
cent of the gain from the dynamically hedged variable annuity guarantee
liabilities, respectively.)
While we cannot reliably estimate the amount of the change in
dynamically hedged variable annuity guarantee liabilities that will not
be offset by the profit or loss on the dynamic hedge assets, we make
certain assumptions for the purposes of estimating the impact on
shareholders' net income. It is also important to note that these
estimates are illustrative, and that the hedge program may underperform
these estimates, particularly during periods of high realized
volatility and/or periods where both interest rates and equity market
movements are unfavourable.
Potential impact on net income attributed to shareholders arising from
changes to public equity returns (1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As at December 31, 2012
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(C$ millions)
|
|
|
-30%
|
|
-20%
|
|
-10%
|
|
10%
|
|
20%
|
|
30%
|
Underlying sensitivity to net income attributed to shareholders(2)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Variable annuity guarantees
|
|
$
|
(5,640)
|
$
|
(3,510)
|
$
|
(1,580)
|
$
|
1,260
|
$
|
2,220
|
$
|
2,930
|
Asset based fees
|
|
|
(270)
|
|
(180)
|
|
(90)
|
|
90
|
|
180
|
|
270
|
General fund equity investments(3)
|
|
|
(380)
|
|
(260)
|
|
(130)
|
|
120
|
|
230
|
|
350
|
Total underlying sensitivity
|
|
$
|
(6,290)
|
$
|
(3,950)
|
$
|
(1,800)
|
$
|
1,470
|
$
|
2,630
|
$
|
3,550
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Impact of hedge assets
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Impact of macro hedged assets
|
|
$
|
2,010
|
$
|
1,340
|
$
|
670
|
$
|
(670)
|
$
|
(1,340)
|
$
|
(2,010)
|
Impact of dynamic hedge assets assuming the change in the value of the
hedge assets completely offsets the change in the dynamically hedged
variable annuity guarantee liabilities(4)
|
|
3,070
|
|
1,890
|
|
820
|
|
(600)
|
|
(1,000)
|
|
(1,300)
|
Total impact of hedge assets assuming the change in value of the dynamic
hedge assets completely offsets the change in the dynamically hedged
variable annuity guarantee liabilities(4)
|
$
|
5,080
|
$
|
3,230
|
$
|
1,490
|
$
|
(1,270)
|
$
|
(2,340)
|
$
|
(3,310)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net impact assuming the change in the value of the hedged assets
completely offsets the change in the dynamically hedged variable
annuity guarantee liabilities(4)
|
$
|
(1,210)
|
$
|
(720)
|
$
|
(310)
|
$
|
200
|
$
|
290
|
$
|
240
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Impact of assuming that the provisions for adverse deviation for
dynamically hedged liabilities are not offset and that the hedging
program rebalances at 5% market intervals(5)
|
|
(710)
|
|
(470)
|
|
(190)
|
|
(10)
|
|
(50)
|
|
(70)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net impact assuming the change in value of the dynamic hedge assets does
not completely offset the change in the dynamically hedged variable
annuity guarantee liabilities, as described above(5)
|
$
|
(1,920)
|
$
|
(1,190)
|
$
|
(500)
|
$
|
190
|
$
|
240
|
$
|
170
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Percentage of underlying earnings sensitivitiy to movements in equity
markets that is offset by hedges if dynamic hedge assets completely
offset the change in the dynamically hedged variable annuity guarantee
liability
|
|
81%
|
|
82%
|
|
83%
|
|
86%
|
|
89%
|
|
93%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Percentage of underlying earnings sensitivity to movements in equity
markets that is offset by hedge assets if dynamic hedge assets do not
completely offset the change in the dynamically hedged variable annuity
guarantee liability(5)
|
|
69%
|
|
70%
|
|
72%
|
|
87%
|
|
91%
|
|
95%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1)
|
See "Caution related to sensitivities" above.
|
(2)
|
Defined as earnings sensitivity to a change in public equity markets
including settlements on reinsurance contracts, but before the offset
of hedge assets or other risk mitigants.
|
(3)
|
This impact for general fund equities is calculated as at a
point-in-time and does not include: (i) any potential impact on public
equity weightings; (ii) any gains or losses on public equities held in
the Corporate and Other segment; or (iii) any gains or losses on public
equity investments held in Manulife Bank. The sensitivities assume that
the participating policy funds are self-supporting and generate no
material impact on net income attributed to shareholders as a result of
changes in equity markets.
|
(4)
|
Best estimate liabilities and associated provisions for adverse
deviation.
|
(5)
|
Represents the impact of re-balancing equity hedges for dynamically
hedged variable annuity guarantee liabilities at 5% market intervals.
Also represents the impact of changes in markets on provisions for
adverse deviation that are not hedged, but does not include any impact
in respect of other sources of hedge ineffectiveness e.g. basis risk,
realized volatility and equity, interest rate correlations different
from expected among other factors. For presentation purposes, numbers
are rounded.
|
|
|
Potential impact on net income attributed to shareholders arising from
changes to public equity returns (1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As at September 30, 2012
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(C$ millions)
|
|
-30%
|
-20%
|
-10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
30%
|
Underlying sensitivity to net income attributed to shareholders(2)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Variable annuity guarantees
|
|
$
|
(5,950)
|
$
|
(3,730)
|
$
|
(1,690)
|
$
|
1,360
|
$
|
2,450
|
$
|
3,300
|
Asset based fees
|
|
|
(270)
|
|
(180)
|
|
(90)
|
|
90
|
|
180
|
|
270
|
General fund equity investments(3)
|
|
|
(320)
|
|
(210)
|
|
(110)
|
|
100
|
|
200
|
|
300
|
Total underlying sensitivity
|
|
$
|
(6,540)
|
$
|
(4,120)
|
$
|
(1,890)
|
$
|
1,550
|
$
|
2,830
|
$
|
3,870
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Impact of hedge assets
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Impact of macro hedged assets
|
|
$
|
1,860
|
$
|
1,240
|
$
|
620
|
$
|
(620)
|
$
|
(1,240)
|
$
|
(1,860)
|
Impact of dynamic hedge assets assuming the change in the value of the
hedge assets completely offsets the change in the dynamically hedged
variable annuity guarantee liabilities(4)
|
|
3,180
|
|
1,960
|
|
860
|
|
(620)
|
|
(1,060)
|
|
(1,380)
|
Total impact of hedge assets assuming the change in value of the dynamic
hedge assets completely offsets the change in the dynamically hedged
variable annuity guarantee liabilities(4)
|
$
|
5,040
|
$
|
3,200
|
$
|
1,480
|
$
|
(1,240)
|
$
|
(2,300)
|
$
|
(3,240)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net impact assuming the change in the value of the hedged assets
completely offsets the change in the dynamically hedged variable
annuity guarantee liabilities(4)
|
$
|
(1,500)
|
$
|
(920)
|
$
|
(410)
|
$
|
310
|
$
|
530
|
$
|
630
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Impact of assuming that the provisions for adverse deviation for
dynamically hedged liabilities are not offset and that the hedging
program rebalances at 5% market intervals(5)
|
|
(760)
|
|
(500)
|
|
(210)
|
|
(40)
|
|
(90)
|
|
(130)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net impact assuming the change in value of the dynamic hedge assets does
not completely offset the change in the dynamically hedged variable
annuity guarantee liabilities(5)
|
$
|
(2,260)
|
$
|
(1,420)
|
$
|
(620)
|
$
|
270
|
$
|
440
|
$
|
500
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Percentage of underlying earnings sensitivitiy to movements in equity
markets that is offset by hedges if dynamic hedge assets completely
offset the change in the dynamically hedged variable annuity guarantee
liability
|
|
77%
|
|
78%
|
|
78%
|
|
80%
|
|
81%
|
|
84%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Percentage of underlying earnings sensitivity to movements in equity
markets that is offset by hedge assets if dynamic hedge assets do not
completely offset the change in the dynamically hedged variable annuity
guarantee liability(5)
|
|
65%
|
|
66%
|
|
67%
|
|
83%
|
|
84%
|
|
87%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1)
|
See "Caution related to sensitivities" above.
|
(2)
|
Defined as earnings sensitivity to a change in public equity markets
including settlements on reinsurance contracts, but before the offset
of hedge assets or other risk mitigants.
|
(3)
|
This impact for general fund equities is calculated as at a
point-in-time and does not include: (i) any potential impact on public
equity weightings; (ii) any gains or losses on public equities held in
the Corporate and Other segment; or (iii) any gains or losses on public
equity investments held in Manulife Bank. The sensitivities assume that
the participating policy funds are self-supporting and generate no
material impact on net income attributed to shareholders as a result of
changes in equity markets.
|
(4)
|
Best estimate liabilities and associated provisions for adverse
deviation
|
(5)
|
Represents the impact of re-balancing equity hedges for dynamically
hedged variable annuity guarantee liabilities at 5% market intervals.
Also represents the impact of changes in markets on provisions for
adverse deviation that are not hedged, but does not include any impact
in respect of other sources of hedge ineffectiveness e.g. basis risk,
realized volatility and equity, interest rate correlations different
from expected among other factors. For presentation purposes, numbers
are rounded.
|
Potential impact on net income attributed to shareholders arising from
changes to public equity returns (1)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As at December 31, 2011
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(C$ millions)
|
|
-30%
|
-20%
|
-10%
|
10%
|
20%
|
30%
|
Underlying sensitivity to net income attributed to shareholders(2)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Variable annuity guarantees
|
|
$ (6,080)
|
$ (3,830)
|
$ (1,780)
|
$ 1,490
|
$ 2,720
|
$ 3,690
|
Asset based fees
|
|
(260)
|
(180)
|
(80)
|
90
|
180
|
260
|
General fund equity investments(3)
|
|
(300)
|
(200)
|
(110)
|
100
|
200
|
300
|
Total underlying sensitivity
|
|
$ (6,640)
|
$ (4,210)
|
$ (1,970)
|
$ 1,680
|
$ 3,100
|
$ 4,250
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Impact of hedge assets
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Impact of macro hedged assets
|
|
$ 1,420
|
$ 950
|
$ 470
|
$ (470)
|
$ (950)
|
$ (1,420)
|
Impact of dynamic hedge assets assuming the change in the value of the
hedge assets completely offsets the change in the dynamically hedged
variable annuity guarantee liabilities(4)
|
3,170
|
1,980
|
900
|
(710)
|
(1,240)
|
(1,610)
|
Total impact of hedge assets assuming the change in value of the dynamic
hedge assets completely offsets the change in the dynamically hedged
variable annuity guarantee liabilities(4)
|
$ 4,590
|
$ 2,930
|
$ 1,370
|
$ (1,180)
|
$ (2,190)
|
$ (3,030)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net impact assuming the change in the value of the hedged assets
completely offsets the change in the dynamically hedged variable
annuity guarantee liabilities(4)
|
$ (2,050)
|
$ (1,280)
|
$ (600)
|
$ 500
|
$ 910
|
$ 1,220
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Impact of assuming that the provisions for adverse deviation for
dynamically hedged liabilities are not offset and that the hedging
program rebalances at 5% market intervals(5)
|
(700)
|
(460)
|
(200)
|
(10)
|
(20)
|
(30)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net impact assuming the change in value of the dynamic hedge assets does
not completely offset the change in the dynamically hedged variable
annuity guarantee liabilities(5)
|
$ (2,750)
|
$ (1,740)
|
$ (800)
|
$ 490
|
$ 890
|
$ 1,190
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Percentage of underlying earnings sensitivitiy to movements in equity
markets that is offset by hedges if dynamic hedge assets completely
offset the change in the dynamically hedged variable annuity guarantee
liability
|
69%
|
70%
|
70%
|
70%
|
71%
|
71%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Percentage of underlying earnings sensitivity to movements in equity
markets that is offset by hedge assets if dynamic hedge assets do not
completely offset the change in the dynamically hedged variable annuity
guarantee liability(5)
|
59%
|
59%
|
59%
|
71%
|
71%
|
72%
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(1)
|
See "Caution related to sensitivities" above.
|
(2)
|
Defined as earnings sensitivity to a change in public equity markets
including settlements on reinsurance contracts, but before the offset
of hedge assets or other risk mitigants.
|
(3)
|
This impact for general fund equities is calculated as at a
point-in-time and does not include: (i) any potential impact on public
equity weightings; (ii) any gains or losses on public equities held in
the Corporate and Other segment; or (iii) any gains or losses on public
equity investments held in Manulife Bank. The sensitivities assume that
the participating policy funds are self-supporting and generate no
material impact on net income attributed to shareholders as a result of
changes in equity markets.
|
(4)
|
Best estimate liabilities and associated provisions for adverse
deviation.
|
(5)
|
Represents the impact of re-balancing equity hedges for dynamically
hedged variable annuity guarantee liabilities at 5% market intervals.
Also represents the impact of changes in markets on provisions for
adverse deviation that are not hedged, but does not include any impact
in respect of other sources of hedge ineffectiveness e.g. basis risk,
realized volatility and equity, interest rate correlations different
from expected among other factors. For presentation purposes, numbers
are rounded.
|
|
|
Potential impact on MLI's MCCSR ratio arising from public equity returns
different than the expected return for policy liability valuation(1),(2)
|
Impact on MLI MCCSR ratio
|
percentage points
|
-30%
|
-20%
|
-10%
|
+10%
|
+20%
|
+30%
|
December 31, 2012
|
(17)
|
(11)
|
(5)
|
1
|
2
|
6
|
September 30, 2012
|
(20)
|
(12)
|
(6)
|
1
|
1
|
1
|
December 31, 2011
|
(27)
|
(15)
|
(7)
|
2
|
3
|
4
|
(1)
|
See "Caution related to sensitivities" above.
|
(2)
|
The potential impact is shown assuming that the change in value of the
hedge assets does not completely offset the change in the dynamically
hedged variable annuity guarantee liabilities, including the provisions
for adverse deviation. The estimated amount that would not be
completely offset assumes that provision for adverse deviation is not
offset and that the hedge assets are based on the actual position at
the period end.
|
|
|
The following table shows the notional value of shorted equity futures
contracts utilized for our variable annuity guarantee dynamic hedging
and our macro equity risk hedging strategies.
As at
C$ millions
|
December 31,
2012
|
September 30,
2012
|
December 31,
2011
|
For variable annuity guarantee dynamic hedging strategy
|
$
|
9,500
|
$
|
9,800
|
$
|
10,600
|
For macro equity risk hedging strategy
|
|
7,800
|
|
7,300
|
|
5,600
|
Total
|
$
|
17,300
|
$
|
17,100
|
$
|
16,200
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
During the quarter, we added approximately $700 million of guarantee
value to our dynamic hedging program in respect of segregated fund
guarantee business. We rebalanced our dynamic hedging program in light
of favourable equity market increases, as well as for the impact of the
actuarial basis changes.
In the macro hedging program approximately $250 million of notional
value of additional equity futures were put in place during the
quarter.
D6 Interest rate and spread risk
As at December 31, 2012, the sensitivity of our quarterly net income
attributed to shareholders to a 100 basis point parallel decline in
interest rates was a charge of $400 million, ahead of our 2014 year end
goal of a charge of $1.1 billion. The $200 million decrease in
sensitivity from September 30, 2012 was attributable to risk reduction
actions in our U.S. dollar exposures.
The 100 basis point parallel decline includes a change of one per cent
in current government, swap and corporate rates for all maturities
across all markets with no change in credit spreads between government,
swap and corporate rates, and with a floor of zero on government rates
and corporate spreads, relative to the rates assumed in the valuation
of policy liabilities, including embedded derivatives. Based on
interest rates at the end of the third and fourth quarters of 2012, a
100 basis point decline in interest rates would result in a movement to
a different prescribed reinvestment scenario for policy liability
valuation in some jurisdictions, which would produce a higher reserve.
The potential earnings impact of a 100 basis point decline in the third
and fourth quarters includes approximately $400 and $200 million,
respectively, related to the impact of the scenario change. This amount
would be expected to reduce over time, should risk free rates remain
unchanged, as the ultimate reinvestment rate moves toward current risk
free rates. Further, as the sensitivity to a 100 basis point decline in
interest rates includes the impact of the change in prescribed
reinvestment scenarios, the impact of changes to interest rates for
less than, or more than, the amounts indicated are unlikely to be
linear. For variable annuity guarantee liabilities that are
dynamically hedged, it is assumed that interest rate hedges are
rebalanced at 20 basis point intervals.
The income impact does not allow for any future potential changes to the
URR assumptions or other potential impacts of lower interest rate
levels, for example, increased strain on the sale of new business,
lower interest earned on our surplus assets, or updates to actuarial
assumptions related to variable annuity bond fund calibration. It also
does not reflect potential management actions to realize gains or
losses on AFS fixed income assets held in the surplus segment in order
to partially offset changes in MLI's MCCSR ratio due to changes in
interest rate levels.
Potential impact on net income attributed to shareholders and MLI's
MCCSR ratio of an immediate one per cent parallel change in interest
rates relative to rates assumed in the valuation of policy liabilities(1),(2),(3),(4)
As at
|
December 31, 2012
|
September 30, 2012
|
December 31, 2011
|
|
-100bp
|
+100bp
|
-100bp
|
+100bp
|
-100bp
|
+100bp
|
Net income attributed to shareholders (C$ millions):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Excluding change in market value of AFS fixed income assets held in the
surplus segment
|
$ (400)
|
$ 200
|
$ (600)
|
$ 200
|
$ (1,000)
|
$ 700
|
From fair value changes in AFS assets held in surplus, if realized
|
800
|
(700)
|
900
|
(800)
|
800
|
(700)
|
MLI's MCCSR ratio (Percentage points):
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Before impact of change in market value of AFS fixed income assets held
in the surplus segment(5)
|
(16)
|
10
|
(17)
|
9
|
(18)
|
13
|
From fair value changes in AFS assets held in surplus, if realized
|
5
|
(5)
|
5
|
(5)
|
5
|
(5)
|
(1)
|
See "Caution related to sensitivities" above.
|
(2)
|
Includes guaranteed insurance and annuity products, including variable
annuity contracts as well as adjustable benefit products where benefits
are generally adjusted as interest rates and investment returns change,
a portion of which have minimum credited rate guarantees. For
adjustable benefit products subject to minimum rate guarantees, the
sensitivities are based on the assumption that credited rates will be
floored at the minimum.
|
(3)
|
The amount of gain or loss that can be realized on AFS fixed income
assets held in the surplus segment will depend on the aggregate amount
of unrealized gain or loss. The table above only reflects the impact of
the change in the unrealized position, as the total unrealized position
will depend upon the unrealized position at the beginning of the
period.
|
(4)
|
Sensitivities are based on projected asset and liability cash flows at
the beginning of the quarter adjusted for the estimated impact of new
business, investment markets and asset trading during the quarter. Any
true-up to these estimates, as a result of the final asset and
liability cash flows to be used in the next quarter's projection, are
reflected in the next quarter's sensitivities. Impact of realizing 100%
of market value of AFS fixed income is as of the end of the quarter.
|
(5)
|
The impact on MLI's MCCSR ratio includes both the impact of lower
earnings on available capital as well as the increase in required
capital that results from a decline in interest rates. The potential
increase in required capital accounted for 11 of the 16 points impact
of a 100 bp decline in interest rates on MLI's MCCSR ratio.
|
|
|
The following table shows the potential impact on net income attributed
to shareholders resulting from a change in credit spreads and swap
spreads over government bond rates for all maturities across all
markets with a floor of zero on the total interest rate, relative to
the spreads assumed in the valuation of policy liabilities.
Potential impact on net income attributed to shareholders arising from
changes to corporate spreads and swap spreads(1),(2),(3)
C$ millions
As at
|
|
|
December 31,
2012
|
|
|
September 30,
2012
|
|
|
December 31,
2011
|
Corporate spreads(4)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Increase 50 basis points
|
|
$
|
500
|
|
$
|
600
|
|
$
|
500
|
|
Decrease 50 basis points
|
|
|
(1,000)
|
|
|
(1,200)
|
|
|
(900)
|
Swap spreads
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Increase 20 basis points
|
|
$
|
(600)
|
|
$
|
(700)
|
|
$
|
(600)
|
|
Decrease 20 basis points
|
|
|
600
|
|
|
700
|
|
|
600
|
(1)
|
See "Caution related to sensitivities" above.
|
(2)
|
The impact on net income attributed to shareholders assumes no gains or
losses are realized on our AFS fixed income assets held in the surplus
segment and excludes the impact arising from changes in off-balance
sheet bond fund value arising from changes in credit spreads. The
sensitivities assume that the participating policy funds are
self-supporting and generate no material impact on net income
attributed to shareholders as a result of changes in corporate spreads.
|
(3)
|
Sensitivities are based on projected asset and liability cash flows at
the beginning of the quarter adjusted for the estimated impact of new
business, investment markets and asset trading during the quarter. Any
true-up to these estimates, as a result of the final asset and
liability cash flows to be used in the next quarter's projection, are
reflected in the next quarter's sensitivities.
|
(4)
|
Corporate spreads are assumed to grade to an expected long-term average
over five years.
|
Based on spreads at the end of the third and fourth quarters, a 50 basis
point decline in corporate spreads would result in a movement to a
different prescribed reinvestment scenario for policy liability
valuation in some jurisdictions, which would produce a higher reserve.
The potential earnings impact of a 50 basis point decline in the third
and fourth quarter includes approximately $700 and $400 million,
respectively, related to the impact of the scenario change. This amount
would be expected to reduce over time, should risk free rates remain
unchanged, as the ultimate reinvestment rate moves toward current risk
free rates. Further, as the sensitivity to a 50 basis point decline in
corporate spreads includes the impact of the change in prescribed
reinvestment scenarios, the impact of changes to corporate spreads for
less than, or more than, the amounts indicated are unlikely to be
linear.
E ACCOUNTING MATTERS AND CONTROLS
E1 Critical accounting and actuarial policies
Our significant accounting policies under IFRS are described in note 1
to our Consolidated Financial Statements for the year ended December
31, 2011. The critical accounting policies and the estimation
processes related to the determination of insurance contract
liabilities, fair values of financial instruments, the application of
derivative and hedge accounting, the determination of pension and other
post-employment benefit obligations and expenses, and accounting for
income taxes and uncertain tax positions are described on pages 65 to
73 of our 2011 Annual Report.
E2 Actuarial methods and assumptions
As noted in section A1 above, in the fourth quarter we reported a charge
of $87 million for the impact of changes to actuarial methods and
assumptions. The charge was primarily attributed to model refinements
related to the estimated impact of a U.S. Life policy valuation system
conversion on the measurement of policy liabilities.
The following table summarizes the significant items contained in the
fourth quarter changes to Actuarial Methods and Assumptions.
C$ millions
|
|
|
To
|
|
|
To Net Income Attributed
|
Assumption
|
|
|
Policy Liabilities
|
|
|
to Shareholders
|
|
Model refinements related to the estimated impact of a systems
conversion
|
|
$
|
218
|
|
$
|
(141)
|
|
Other
|
|
|
(65)
|
|
|
54
|
Net impact
|
|
$
|
153
|
|
$
|
(87)
|
In the third quarter, the Company completed its annual review of
actuarial methods and assumptions which resulted in a charge of $1,006
million to net income attributed to shareholders. This amount is
explained in our Third Quarter 2012 Report to Shareholders. See also
Section B2 above.
E3 Sensitivity of policy liabilities to updates to assumptions
When the assumptions underlying our determination of policy liabilities
are updated to reflect recent and emerging experience or change in
outlook, the result is a change in the value of policy liabilities
which in turn affects income. The sensitivity of after-tax income to
updates to asset related assumptions underlying policy liabilities is
shown below, assuming that there is a simultaneous update to the
assumption across all business units.
For updates to asset related assumptions, the sensitivity is shown net
of the corresponding impact on income of the change in the value of the
assets supporting liabilities. In practice, experience for each
assumption will frequently vary by geographic market and business and
assumption updates are made on a business/geographic specific basis.
Actual results can differ materially from these estimates for a variety
of reasons including the interaction among these factors when more than
one changes, changes in actuarial and investment return and future
investment activity assumptions, actual experience differing from the
assumptions, changes in business mix, effective tax rates and other
market factors, and the general limitations of our internal models.
Most participating business is excluded from this analysis because of
the ability to pass both favourable and adverse experience to the
policyholders through the participating dividend adjustment.
We have updated our disclosure to show the estimated impact on net
income for the next five years and the following five years from
changes in ultimate fixed income reinvestment rates ("URR") driven by
changes in risk free rates.
The table below shows the potential impact on annual net income
attributable to shareholders where the URR is determined assuming that
risk free rates remain at their starting December 31, 2012 levels. It
also shows the potential impact if the URR were determined using risk
free rates that are assumed to immediately rise or immediately fall by
50 basis points and then stay at these new levels. We also provide
pro-forma estimates as at December 31, 2011 developed using our
previously disclosed URR sensitivities. For these pro-forma estimates
we assume that assets, liabilities and the interest rate environment
are those which were used to value reserves at that time.
Canadian actuarial standards of practice require that reserves be at
least as great as the largest value produced by a set of prescribed
reinvestment scenarios. The impacts below assume that the URR changes
implied by these shocks do not change which reinvestment scenario
produces the largest reserve.
Potential impact on aggregate net income over the next five years and
the following five years net income attributed to shareholders arising
from potential changes to the fixed income ultimate reinvestment rates
("URR") (1)
As at December 31,
C$ millions
|
2012
|
2011
|
For the periods
|
2013-2017
|
2018-2022
|
2012-2016
|
2017-2021
|
Risk free rates remain at December 31, 2012 and December 31, 2011
levels, respectively.
|
$ (1,600)
|
$ (300)
|
$ (2,100)
|
$ (500)
|
Risk free rates rise 50 bp immediately from their December 31, 2012
or December 31, 2011, levels respectively, and then remain at those new
levels thereafter.
|
$ (900)
|
$ (0)
|
$ (1,300)
|
$ (200)
|
Risk free rates fall 50 bp immediately from their December 31, 2012
or December 31, 2011, levels, respectively, and then remain at those new
levels thereafter.
|
$ (2,200)
|
$ (500)
|
$ (2,700)
|
$ (700)
|
|
|
(1)
|
Current URRs in Canada are 1.00% per annum and 3.00% per annum for short
and long-term bonds, respectively, and in the U.S. are 0.80% per annum
and 3.60% per annum for short and long-term bonds, respectively. Since
the URRs are based upon a five and ten year rolling average of
government bond rates and the URR valuation assumptions are currently
higher than the December 31, 2012 government bond rates, continuation
of current rates or a further decline could have a material impact on
net income. However, for this sensitivity, we assume the URRs decline
with full and immediate effect.
|
Potential impact on net income attributed to shareholders arising from
changes to asset related assumptions supporting actuarial liabilities,
excluding the fixed income ultimate reinvestment rate discussed above
C$ millions
|
Increase (decrease) in after-tax income
|
As at
|
December 31, 2012
|
September 30, 2012
|
December 31, 2011
|
Asset related assumptions updated periodically in valuation basis
changes
|
Increase
|
Decrease
|
Increase
|
Decrease
|
Increase
|
Decrease
|
100 basis point change in future annual returns for public equities(1)
|
$ 800
|
$ (900)
|
$ 900
|
$ (800)
|
$ 900
|
$ (900)
|
100 basis point change in future annual returns for alternative
long-duration assets(2)
|
3,900
|
(4,000)
|
4,000
|
(3,900)
|
4,200
|
(3,800)
|
100 basis point change in equity volatility assumption for stochastic
segregated fund modeling(3)
|
(300)
|
300
|
(300)
|
300
|
(300)
|
300
|
|
|
(1)
|
The sensitivity to public equity returns above includes the impact on
both segregated fund guarantee reserves and on other policy
liabilities. For a 100 basis point increase in expected growth rates,
the impact from segregated fund guarantee reserves is $500 million
(September 30, 2012 - $600 million). For a 100 basis point decrease in
expected growth rates, the impact from segregated fund guarantee
reserves is $(600) million (September 30, 2012 - $(600) million).
Expected long-term annual market growth assumptions for public equities
pre-dividends for key markets are based on long-term historical
observed experience and compliance with actuarial standards. The growth
rates for returns in the major markets used in the stochastic valuation
models for valuing segregated fund guarantees are 7.6% per annum in
Canada, 7.6% per annum in the U.S. and 5.3% per annum in Japan. Growth
assumptions for European equity funds are market-specific and vary
between 5.8% and 7.85%.
|
(2)
|
Alternative long-duration assets include commercial real estate, timber
and agricultural real estate, oil and gas, and private equities. The
increase of $100 million in sensitivity from September 30, 2012 to
December 31, 2012 is primarily related to the drop in corporate spreads
during the quarter, reducing the rate at which funds can be reinvested
in.
|
(3)
|
Volatility assumptions for public equities are based on long-term
historic observed experience and compliance with actuarial standards.
The resulting volatility assumptions are 17.15% per annum in Canada and
17.15% per annum in the U.S. for large cap public equities, and 19% per
annum in Japan. For European equity funds, the volatility assumptions
vary between 16.15% and 18.35%.
|
E4 Goodwill impairment testing
In the third quarter of 2012, we reported a charge of $200 million
related to goodwill, associated with the Individual Insurance business
in Canada and driven by the low interest rate environment.
The Company completed its 2012 goodwill and intangible assets tests in
the fourth quarter of 2012, and as a result, management concluded that
there was no further impairment of goodwill or intangible assets with
indefinite lives.
E5 Future accounting and reporting changes
There are a number of accounting and reporting changes issued under IFRS
including those still under development by the International Accounting
Standards Board ("IASB") that will impact the Company beginning in 2013
and later. A summary of the most recently issued new accounting
standards is as follows:
|
|
|
|
Topic
|
Effective date
|
Measurement / Presentation
|
Expected impact
|
|
|
|
|
IFRS 10, IFRS 11, IFRS 12 (and related amendments)
and amendments to IAS 27, and IAS 28 regarding
consolidation, disclosures and related matters
|
Jan 1, 2013
|
Measurement and disclosure
|
Not expected to have a significant impact.
|
IFRS 13 "Fair Value Measurement"
|
Jan 1, 2013
|
Measurement and disclosure
|
Not expected to have a significant impact.
|
Amendments to IAS 1 "Presentation of Financial Statements"
|
Jan 1, 2013
|
Presentation
|
Not expected to have a significant impact.
|
Amendments to IAS 19 "Employee Benefits"
|
Jan 1, 2013
|
Measurement
|
See below
|
IFRS 9 "Financial Instruments"
|
Jan 1, 2015
|
Measurement
|
Currently assessing.
|
Expected impact of amendments to IAS 19 "Employee Benefits": The new
standard will result in an increase in the defined benefit liability,
primarily related to unrecognized net actuarial losses on the Company's
pension and other post-employment benefit plans with an offsetting
charge to opening Accumulated Other Comprehensive Income ("AOCI").
Upon adoption, 2012 net income will be retrospectively restated
primarily to remove the amortization of unrecognized net actuarial
losses. This has the impact of increasing ROE by 0.6 per cent. Future
actuarial gains and losses related to these plans will adjust the
amount of AOCI.
Below is a summary of the expected impacts of the amendments as at and
for the year ended December 31, 2012. These adjustments will be
recognized in 2013 by restating 2012 to reflect the impact of the
amendments.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(C$ million)
|
|
|
Pension plans
|
|
|
Other post-
employment.
benefits
|
|
|
Total
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Increase (decrease) in defined benefit liability
|
|
$
|
872
|
|
$
|
(33)
|
|
$
|
839
|
Increase (decrease) in deferred tax liability
|
|
|
(277)
|
|
|
11
|
|
|
(266)
|
Increase (decrease) in AOCI
|
|
|
(669)
|
|
|
15
|
|
|
654
|
Increase (decrease) in 2012 net income
|
|
|
74
|
|
|
(7)
|
|
|
67
|
F Other
F1 Performance and Non-GAAP Measures
We use a number of non-GAAP financial measures to measure overall
performance and to assess each of our businesses. Non-GAAP measures
include: Core Earnings; Net Income in Accordance with U.S. GAAP; Total
Equity in Accordance with U.S. GAAP; Core ROE; Core Earnings Per Share;
Constant Currency Basis; Premiums and Deposits; Funds under Management;
Capital; Embedded Value; New Business Embedded Value; and Sales.
Non-GAAP financial measures are not defined terms under GAAP and,
therefore, with the exception of Net Income in Accordance with U.S.
GAAP and Total Equity in Accordance with U.S. GAAP (which are
comparable to the equivalent measures of issuers whose financial
statements are prepared in accordance with U.S. GAAP), are unlikely to
be comparable to similar terms used by other issuers. Therefore, they
should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for any other
financial information prepared in accordance with GAAP.
Core earnings (losses) is a non-GAAP measure which we use to better understand the long-term
earnings capacity and valuation of the business. Core earnings excludes
the direct impact of changes in equity markets and interest rates as
well as a number of other items, outlined below, that are considered
material and exceptional in nature. While this metric is relevant to
how we manage our business and offers a consistent methodology, it is
not insulated from macro-economic factors, which can have a significant
impact.
Any future changes to the core earnings definition referred to below,
will be disclosed.
Items that are included in core earnings are:
-
Expected earnings on in-force, including expected release of provisions
for adverse deviation, fee income, margins on group business and spread
business such as Manulife Bank and asset fund management.
-
Macro hedging costs based on expected market returns.
-
New business strain.
-
Policyholder experience gains or losses.
-
Acquisition and operating expenses compared to expense assumptions used
in the measurement of policy liabilities.
-
Up to $200 million of investment gains reported in a single year, which
are referred to as "core investment gains".
-
Earnings on surplus other than mark-to-market items. Gains on
available-for-sale ("AFS") equities and seed money investments are
included in core earnings.
-
Routine or non-material legal settlements.
-
All other items not specifically excluded.
-
Tax on the above items.
-
All tax related items except the impact of enacted or substantially
enacted income tax rate changes.
Items excluded from core earnings are:
-
The direct impact of equity markets and interest rates, consisting of:
-
Income (charges) on variable annuity guarantee liabilities not
dynamically hedged.
-
Gains (charges) on general fund equity investments supporting policy
liabilities and on fee income.
-
Gains (losses) on macro equity hedges relative to expected costs. The
expected cost of macro hedges is calculated using the equity
assumptions used in the valuation of policy liabilities.
-
Gains (charges) on higher (lower) fixed income reinvestment rates
assumed in the valuation of policy liabilities, including the impact on
the fixed income ultimate reinvestment rate ("URR").
-
Gains (charges) on sale of AFS bonds and open derivatives not in hedging
relationships in the Corporate and Other segment.
-
The earnings impact of the difference between the net increase
(decrease) in variable annuity liabilities that are dynamically hedged
and the performance of the related hedge assets. Our variable annuity
dynamic hedging strategy is not designed to completely offset the
sensitivity of policy liabilities to all risks or measurements
associated with the guarantees embedded in these products for a number
of reasons, including: provisions for adverse deviation, fund
performance, the portion of the interest rate risk that is not
dynamically hedged, realized equity and interest rate volatilities and
changes to policyholder behaviour.
-
Net investment related gains in excess of $200 million per annum or net
losses on a year-to-date basis. Investment gains (losses) relate to
fixed income trading, alternative long-duration asset returns, credit
experience and asset mix changes. These gains and losses are a
combination of reported investment experience as well as the impact of
investing activities on the measurement of our policy liabilities. The
maximum of $200 million per annum to be reported in core earnings
compares with an average of over $80 million per quarter of investment
gains reported since first quarter 2007.
-
Mark-to-market gains or losses on assets held in the Corporate and Other
segment other than gains on AFS equities and seed money investments in
new segregated or mutual funds.
-
Changes in actuarial methods and assumptions, excluding URR.
-
The impact on the measurement of policy liabilities of changes in
product features or new reinsurance transactions, if material.
-
Goodwill impairment charges.
-
Gains or losses on disposition of a business.
-
Material one-time only adjustments, including highly
unusual/extraordinary and material legal settlements or other items
that are material and exceptional in nature.
-
Tax on the above items.
-
Impact of enacted or substantially enacted income tax rate changes.
The following table summarizes for the past eight quarters core earnings
and net income (loss) attributed to shareholders.
Total Company
|
|
Quarterly Results
|
C$ millions, unaudited
|
|
2012
|
|
|
2011
|
For the quarter
|
|
4Q
|
|
|
3Q
|
|
|
2Q
|
|
|
1Q
|
|
|
4Q
|
|
|
3Q
|
|
|
2Q
|
|
|
1Q
|
Core earnings (losses)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Asia Division
|
$
|
180
|
|
$
|
230
|
|
$
|
286
|
|
$
|
267
|
|
$
|
213
|
|
$
|
220
|
|
$
|
253
|
|
$
|
252
|
Canadian Division
|
|
233
|
|
|
229
|
|
|
201
|
|
|
172
|
|
|
142
|
|
|
259
|
|
|
233
|
|
|
215
|
U.S. Division
|
|
293
|
|
|
288
|
|
|
247
|
|
|
257
|
|
|
189
|
|
|
260
|
|
|
266
|
|
|
290
|
Corporate & Other (excluding expected cost of macro hedges and core
investment gains)
|
|
(79)
|
|
|
(117)
|
|
|
(83)
|
|
|
(128)
|
|
|
(124)
|
|
|
(58)
|
|
|
(8)
|
|
|
(225)
|
Expected cost of macro hedges
|
|
(140)
|
|
|
(124)
|
|
|
(118)
|
|
|
(107)
|
|
|
(97)
|
|
|
(107)
|
|
|
(104)
|
|
|
(100)
|
Core investment gains
|
|
50
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
50
|
Total core earnings
|
$
|
537
|
|
$
|
556
|
|
$
|
583
|
|
$
|
511
|
|
$
|
373
|
|
$
|
624
|
|
$
|
690
|
|
$
|
482
|
Investment related gains in excess of core investment gains
|
|
318
|
|
|
363
|
|
|
51
|
|
|
205
|
|
|
261
|
|
|
236
|
|
|
323
|
|
|
470
|
Core earnings plus investment related gains in excess of core investment
gains
|
$
|
855
|
|
$
|
919
|
|
$
|
634
|
|
$
|
716
|
|
$
|
634
|
|
$
|
860
|
|
$
|
1,013
|
|
$
|
952
|
Other items to reconcile core earnings to net income (loss) attributed
to shareholders
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income (charges) on variable annuity guarantee liabilities that are
dynamically hedged
|
|
100
|
|
|
122
|
|
|
(269)
|
|
|
223
|
|
|
(193)
|
|
|
(900)
|
|
|
(52)
|
|
|
(8)
|
|
Impact of major reinsurance transactions, in-force product changes
|
|
-
|
|
|
26
|
|
|
112
|
|
|
122
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
Direct impact of equity markets and interest rates (see table below)
|
|
(18)
|
|
|
(88)
|
|
|
(727)
|
|
|
75
|
|
|
153
|
|
|
(889)
|
|
|
(439)
|
|
|
111
|
|
Change in actuarial methods and assumptions, excluding URR
|
|
(87)
|
|
|
(1,006)
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
12
|
|
|
2
|
|
|
(651)
|
|
|
(32)
|
|
|
(70)
|
|
Goodwill impairment charge
|
|
-
|
|
|
(200)
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
(665)
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
Gain (loss) on sale of Life Retrocession Business
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
(50)
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
303
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
Tax items and restructuring charge related to organizational design
|
|
207
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
58
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
Net income (loss) attributed to shareholders
|
$
|
1,057
|
|
$
|
(227)
|
|
$
|
(300)
|
|
$
|
1,206
|
|
|
$ (69)
|
|
$
|
(1,277)
|
|
$
|
490
|
|
$
|
985
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Direct impact of equity markets and interest rates:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income (charges) on variable annuity liabilities that are not
dynamically hedged
|
$
|
556
|
|
$
|
298
|
|
$
|
(758)
|
|
$
|
982
|
|
$
|
234
|
|
$
|
(1,211)
|
|
$
|
(217)
|
|
$
|
102
|
Gains (charges) on general fund equity investments supporting policy
liabilities and on fee income
|
|
48
|
|
|
55
|
|
|
(116)
|
|
|
121
|
|
|
56
|
|
|
(227)
|
|
|
(73)
|
|
|
30
|
Gains (losses) on macro equity hedges relative to expected costs
|
|
(292)
|
|
|
(86)
|
|
|
423
|
|
|
(556)
|
|
|
(250)
|
|
|
882
|
|
|
142
|
|
|
(138)
|
Gains (charges) on higher (lower) fixed income reinvestment rates
assumed in the valuation of policy liabilities
|
|
(290)
|
|
|
(330)
|
|
|
305
|
|
|
(425)
|
|
|
122
|
|
|
(567)
|
|
|
(28)
|
|
|
192
|
Gains (charges) on sale of AFS bonds and derivative positions in the
Corporate segment
|
|
(40)
|
|
|
(25)
|
|
|
96
|
|
|
(47)
|
|
|
(9)
|
|
|
301
|
|
|
107
|
|
|
(75)
|
Charges due to lower fixed income URR assumptions used in the valuation
of policy liabilities
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
(677)
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
(67)
|
|
|
(370)
|
|
|
-
|
Direct impact of equity markets and interest rates
|
$
|
(18)
|
|
$
|
(88)
|
|
$
|
(727)
|
|
$
|
75
|
|
$
|
153
|
|
$
|
(889)
|
|
$
|
(439)
|
|
$
|
111
|
Asia Division
|
|
Quarterly Results
|
C$ millions, unaudited
|
|
2012
|
|
|
2011
|
For the quarter
|
|
4Q
|
|
|
3Q
|
|
|
2Q
|
|
|
1Q
|
|
|
4Q
|
|
|
3Q
|
|
|
2Q
|
|
|
1Q
|
Asia Division core earnings
|
$
|
180
|
|
$
|
230
|
|
$
|
286
|
|
$
|
267
|
|
$
|
213
|
|
$
|
220
|
|
$
|
253
|
|
$
|
252
|
Investment related gains in excess of core investment gains
|
|
33
|
|
|
12
|
|
|
28
|
|
|
(18)
|
|
|
47
|
|
|
126
|
|
|
7
|
|
|
24
|
Core earnings plus investment related gains in excess of core investment
gains
|
$
|
213
|
|
$
|
242
|
|
$
|
314
|
|
$
|
249
|
|
$
|
260
|
|
$
|
346
|
|
$
|
260
|
|
$
|
276
|
Other items to reconcile core earnings to net income (loss) attributed
to shareholders
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income (charges) on variable annuity guarantee liabilities that are
dynamically hedged
|
|
9
|
|
|
11
|
|
|
(18)
|
|
|
3
|
|
|
(16)
|
|
|
(3)
|
|
|
(11)
|
|
|
(1)
|
|
Direct impact of equity markets and interest rates
|
|
460
|
|
|
238
|
|
|
(611)
|
|
|
819
|
|
|
41
|
|
|
(1,055)
|
|
|
(221)
|
|
|
76
|
|
Tax items
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
40
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
Net income (loss) attributed to shareholders
|
$
|
682
|
|
$
|
491
|
|
$
|
(315)
|
|
$
|
1,111
|
|
|
285
|
|
|
(712)
|
|
|
$ 28
|
|
|
$ 351
|
Canadian Division
|
|
Quarterly Results
|
C$ millions, unaudited
|
|
2012
|
|
|
2011
|
For the quarter
|
|
4Q
|
|
|
3Q
|
|
|
2Q
|
|
|
1Q
|
|
|
4Q
|
|
|
3Q
|
|
|
2Q
|
|
|
1Q
|
Canadian Division core earnings
|
$
|
233
|
|
$
|
229
|
|
$
|
201
|
|
$
|
172
|
|
$
|
142
|
|
$
|
259
|
|
$
|
233
|
|
$
|
215
|
Investment related gains in excess of core investment gains
|
|
(31)
|
|
|
20
|
|
|
(115)
|
|
|
116
|
|
|
72
|
|
|
(47)
|
|
|
67
|
|
|
252
|
Core earnings plus investment related gains in excess of core investment
gains
|
$
|
202
|
|
$
|
249
|
|
$
|
86
|
|
$
|
288
|
|
$
|
214
|
|
$
|
212
|
|
$
|
300
|
|
$
|
467
|
Other items to reconcile core earnings to net income (loss) attributed
to shareholders
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income (charges) on variable annuity guarantee liabilities that are
dynamically hedged
|
|
45
|
|
|
38
|
|
|
(74)
|
|
|
41
|
|
|
(67)
|
|
|
(204)
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
(7)
|
|
Impact of major reinsurance transactions, in-force product changes
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
137
|
|
|
122
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
Direct impact of equity markets and interest rates
|
|
4
|
|
|
91
|
|
|
74
|
|
|
(134)
|
|
|
99
|
|
|
(100)
|
|
|
(36)
|
|
|
49
|
Net income (loss) attributed to shareholders
|
$
|
251
|
|
$
|
378
|
|
$
|
223
|
|
$
|
317
|
|
$
|
246
|
|
$
|
(92)
|
|
$
|
264
|
|
$
|
509
|
U.S. Division
|
|
Quarterly Results
|
C$ millions, unaudited
|
|
2012
|
|
|
2011
|
For the quarter
|
|
4Q
|
|
|
3Q
|
|
|
2Q
|
|
|
1Q
|
|
|
4Q
|
|
|
3Q
|
|
|
2Q
|
|
|
1Q
|
U.S. Division core earnings
|
$
|
293
|
|
$
|
288
|
|
$
|
247
|
|
$
|
257
|
|
$
|
189
|
|
$
|
260
|
|
$
|
266
|
|
$
|
290
|
Investment related gains in excess of core investment gains
|
|
365
|
|
|
346
|
|
|
154
|
|
|
153
|
|
|
158
|
|
|
215
|
|
|
259
|
|
|
225
|
Core earnings plus investment related gains in excess of core investment
gains
|
$
|
658
|
|
$
|
634
|
|
$
|
401
|
|
$
|
410
|
|
$
|
347
|
|
$
|
475
|
|
$
|
525
|
|
$
|
515
|
Other items to reconcile core earnings to net income (loss) attributed
to shareholders
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Income (charges) on variable annuity guarantee liabilities that are
dynamically hedged
|
|
46
|
|
|
73
|
|
|
(177)
|
|
|
179
|
|
|
(110)
|
|
|
(693)
|
|
|
(41)
|
|
|
-
|
|
Impact of major reinsurance transactions
|
|
-
|
|
|
26
|
|
|
(25)
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
Direct impact of equity markets and interest rates
|
|
(150)
|
|
|
(297)
|
|
|
(22)
|
|
|
(15)
|
|
|
268
|
|
|
(810)
|
|
|
(55)
|
|
|
200
|
|
Tax items
|
|
170
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
Net income (loss) attributed to shareholders
|
$
|
724
|
|
$
|
436
|
|
$
|
177
|
|
$
|
574
|
|
$
|
505
|
|
$
|
(1,028)
|
|
$
|
429
|
|
$
|
715
|
Corporate and Other
|
|
Quarterly Results
|
C$ millions, unaudited
|
|
2012
|
|
|
2011
|
For the quarter
|
|
4Q
|
|
|
3Q
|
|
|
2Q
|
|
|
1Q
|
|
|
4Q
|
|
|
3Q
|
|
|
2Q
|
|
|
1Q
|
Corporate & Other core losses
(excluding expected cost of macro hedges and core investment gains)
|
$
|
(79)
|
|
$
|
(117)
|
|
$
|
(83)
|
|
$
|
(128)
|
|
$
|
(124)
|
|
$
|
(58)
|
|
$
|
(8)
|
|
$
|
(225)
|
Expected cost of macro hedges
|
|
(140)
|
|
|
(124)
|
|
|
(118)
|
|
|
(107)
|
|
|
(97)
|
|
|
(107)
|
|
|
(104)
|
|
|
(100)
|
Core investment gains
|
|
50
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
50
|
Total core losses
|
$
|
(169)
|
|
$
|
(191)
|
|
$
|
(151)
|
|
$
|
(185)
|
|
$
|
(171)
|
|
$
|
(115)
|
|
$
|
(62)
|
|
$
|
(275)
|
Investment related losses in excess of core investment gains
|
|
(49)
|
|
|
(15)
|
|
|
(16)
|
|
|
(46)
|
|
|
(16)
|
|
|
(58)
|
|
|
(10)
|
|
|
(31)
|
Core losses plus investment related losses in excess of core investment
gains
|
$
|
(218)
|
|
$
|
(206)
|
|
$
|
(167)
|
|
$
|
(231)
|
|
$
|
(187)
|
|
$
|
(173)
|
|
$
|
(72)
|
|
$
|
(306)
|
Other items to reconcile core earnings to net income (loss) attributed
to shareholders
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Direct impact of equity markets and interest rates
|
|
(332)
|
|
|
(120)
|
|
|
(168)
|
|
|
(595)
|
|
|
(255)
|
|
|
1,076
|
|
|
(127)
|
|
|
(214)
|
|
Change in actuarial methods and assumptions, excluding URR
|
|
(87)
|
|
|
(1,006)
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
12
|
|
|
2
|
|
|
(651)
|
|
|
(32)
|
|
|
(70)
|
|
Goodwill impairment charge
|
|
-
|
|
|
(200)
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
(665)
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
Gain (loss) on sale of Life Retrocession Business
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
(50)
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
303
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
Tax items and restructuring charge related to organizational design
|
|
37
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
18
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
-
|
Net income (loss) attributed to shareholders
|
$
|
(600)
|
|
$
|
(1,532)
|
|
$
|
(385)
|
|
$
|
(796)
|
|
$
|
(1,105)
|
|
$
|
555
|
|
$
|
(231)
|
|
$
|
(590)
|
Net income in accordance with U.S. GAAP is a non-GAAP profitability measure. It shows what the net income would
have been if the Company had applied U.S. GAAP as its primary financial
reporting basis. We consider this to be a relevant profitability
measure given our large U.S. domiciled investor base and for
comparability to our U.S. peers who report under U.S. GAAP.
Total equity in accordance with U.S. GAAP is a non-GAAP measure. It shows what the total equity would have been if
the Company had applied U.S. GAAP as its primary financial reporting
basis. We consider this to be a relevant measure given our large U.S.
domiciled investor base and for comparability to our U.S. peers who
report under U.S. GAAP.
Core return on common shareholders' equity ("Core ROE") is a non-GAAP profitability measure that presents core
earnings available to common shareholders as a percentage of the
capital deployed to earn the core earnings. The Company calculates
core return on common shareholders' equity using average common
shareholders' equity.
Core earnings per share is core earnings available to common shareholders expressed per
weighted average common share outstanding.
The Company also uses financial performance measures that are prepared
on a constant currency basis, which exclude the impact of currency fluctuations and which are
non-GAAP measures. Quarterly amounts stated on a constant currency
basis in this report are calculated, as appropriate, using the income
statement and balance sheet exchange rates effective for the fourth
quarter of 2012.
Premiums and deposits is a non-GAAP measure of top line growth. The Company calculates
premiums and deposits as the aggregate of (i) general fund premiums,
net of reinsurance, reported as premiums on the Consolidated Statement
of Income, (ii) adding back the premiums ceded related to FDA
coinsurance, (iii) premium equivalents for administration only group
benefit contracts, (iv) premiums in the Canadian Group Benefits
reinsurance ceded agreement, (v) segregated fund deposits, excluding
seed money, (vi) mutual fund deposits, (vii) deposits into
institutional advisory accounts, and (viii) other deposits in other
managed funds.
Premiums and deposits
|
Quarterly Results
|
|
Full Year Results
|
C$ millions
|
|
4Q 2012
|
|
|
3Q 2012
|
|
|
4Q 2011
|
|
|
2012
|
|
|
2011
|
Net premium income
|
$
|
5,012
|
|
$
|
2,187
|
|
$
|
4,540
|
|
$
|
10,734
|
|
$
|
17,504
|
Deposits from policyholders
|
|
5,537
|
|
|
5,539
|
|
|
5,575
|
|
|
22,993
|
|
|
21,689
|
Premiums and deposits per financial statements
|
$
|
10,549
|
|
$
|
7,726
|
|
$
|
10,115
|
|
$
|
33,727
|
|
$
|
39,193
|
Add back premiums ceded relating to FDA coinsurance
|
|
2
|
|
|
1,799
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
7,229
|
|
|
-
|
Investment contract deposits
|
|
59
|
|
|
40
|
|
|
126
|
|
|
212
|
|
|
289
|
Mutual fund deposits
|
|
6,117
|
|
|
4,335
|
|
|
3,309
|
|
|
18,843
|
|
|
16,640
|
Institutional advisory account deposits
|
|
5,376
|
|
|
1,106
|
|
|
627
|
|
|
7,744
|
|
|
2,807
|
ASO premium equivalents
|
|
706
|
|
|
673
|
|
|
666
|
|
|
2,819
|
|
|
2,679
|
Group benefits ceded premiums
|
|
1,180
|
|
|
967
|
|
|
941
|
|
|
4,430
|
|
|
3,754
|
Other fund deposits
|
|
139
|
|
|
100
|
|
|
133
|
|
|
497
|
|
|
699
|
Total premiums and deposits
|
$
|
24,128
|
|
$
|
16,746
|
|
$
|
15,917
|
|
$
|
75,501
|
|
$
|
66,061
|
Currency impact
|
|
-
|
|
|
(61)
|
|
|
(372)
|
|
|
(454)
|
|
|
53
|
Constant currency premiums and deposits
|
$
|
24,128
|
|
$
|
16,685
|
|
$
|
15,545
|
|
$
|
75,047
|
|
$
|
66,114
|
Funds under management is a non-GAAP measure of the size of the Company. It represents the
total of the invested asset base that the Company and its customers
invest in.
Funds under management
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(C$ millions) As at
|
|
|
Dec 31, 2012
|
|
|
Sept 30, 2012
|
|
|
Dec 31, 2011
|
Total invested assets
|
|
$
|
229,928
|
|
$
|
224,761
|
|
$
|
226,520
|
Segregated funds net assets
|
|
|
207,985
|
|
|
205,685
|
|
|
195,933
|
Funds under management per financial statements
|
|
$
|
437,913
|
|
$
|
430,446
|
|
$
|
422,453
|
Mutual funds
|
|
|
59,979
|
|
|
55,705
|
|
|
49,399
|
Institutional advisory accounts (excluding segregated funds)
|
|
|
26,692
|
|
|
21,597
|
|
|
21,652
|
Other funds
|
|
|
7,358
|
|
|
6,849
|
|
|
6,148
|
Total fund under management
|
|
$
|
531,942
|
|
$
|
514,597
|
|
$
|
499,652
|
Currency impact
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
1,563
|
|
|
(10,991)
|
Constant currency funds under management
|
|
$
|
531,942
|
|
$
|
516,160
|
|
$
|
488,661
|
Capital The definition we use for capital, a non-GAAP measure, serves as a
foundation of our capital management activities at the MFC level. For
regulatory reporting purposes, the numbers are further adjusted for
various additions or deductions to capital as mandated by the
guidelines used by OSFI. Capital is calculated as the sum of (i) total
equity excluding AOCI on cash flow hedges and (ii) liabilities for
preferred shares and capital instruments.
Capital
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(C$ millions) As at
|
|
|
Dec 31, 2012
|
|
|
Sept 30, 2012
|
|
|
Dec 31, 2011
|
Total equity
|
|
$
|
26,096
|
|
$
|
24,961
|
|
$
|
24,879
|
Add AOCI loss on cash flow hedges
|
|
|
50
|
|
|
58
|
|
|
91
|
Add liabilities for preferred shares and capital instruments
|
|
|
3,501
|
|
|
3,495
|
|
|
4,012
|
Total capital
|
|
$
|
29,647
|
|
$
|
28,514
|
|
$
|
28,982
|
Embedded value is a measure of shareholders' value embedded in the current balance
sheet of the Company, excluding any value associated with future new
business.
New business embedded value ("NBEV") is the change in shareholders' economic value as a result of
sales in the reporting period. NBEV is calculated as the present value
of expected future earnings, after the cost of capital, on actual new
business sold in the period using future mortality, morbidity,
policyholder behaviour, expense and investment assumptions that are
consistent with the assumptions used in the valuation of our policy
liabilities.
The principal economic assumptions used in the NBEV calculations in the
fourth quarter were as follows:
|
Canada
|
U.S.
|
Hong Kong
|
Japan
|
MCCSR ratio
|
150%
|
150%
|
150%
|
150%
|
Discount rate
|
8.50%
|
8.50%
|
9.25%
|
6.25%
|
Jurisdictional income tax rate
|
26%
|
35%
|
16.5%
|
33%
|
Foreign exchange rate
|
n/a
|
0.983671
|
0.126912
|
0.012138
|
Yield on surplus assets
|
4.50%
|
4.50%
|
4.50%
|
2.00%
|
Sales are measured according to product type:
For total individual insurance, sales include 100 per cent of new
annualized premiums and 10 per cent of both excess and single premiums.
For individual insurance, new annualized premiums reflect the
annualized premium expected in the first year of a policy that requires
premium payments for more than one year. Sales are reported gross
before the impact of reinsurance. Single premium is the lump sum
premium from the sale of a single premium product, e.g. travel
insurance.
For group insurance, sales include new annualized premiums and
administrative services only premium equivalents on new cases, as well
as the addition of new coverages and amendments to contracts, excluding
rate increases.
For individual wealth management contracts, all new deposits are
reported as sales. This includes individual annuities, both fixed and
variable; mutual funds; college savings 529 plans; and authorized bank
loans and mortgages.
For group pensions/retirement savings, sales of new regular premiums and
deposits reflect an estimate of expected deposits in the first year of
the plan with the Company. Single premium sales reflect the assets
transferred from the previous plan provider. Sales include the impact
of the addition of a new division or of a new product to an existing
client. Total sales include both new regular and single premiums and
deposits.
F2 Key Planning Assumptions and Uncertainties
Manulife's 2016 management objectives do not constitute guidance and are
based on certain key planning assumptions, including: current
accounting and regulatory capital standards; no acquisitions; equity
market and interest rate assumptions consistent with our long term
assumptions, and favourable investment experience included in core
earnings25.
_____________________
|
25
|
Interest rate assumptions based on forward curve as of June 30, 2012.
Core earnings includes up to $200 million per annum of investment
gains.
|
F3 Caution regarding forward-looking statements
From time to time, MFC makes written and/or oral forward-looking
statements, including in this document. In addition, our
representatives may make forward-looking statements orally to analysts,
investors, the media and others. All such statements are made pursuant
to the "safe harbour" provisions of Canadian provincial securities laws
and the U.S. Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The
forward-looking statements in this document include, but are not
limited to, statements with respect to our 2016 management objectives
for core earnings and core ROE, potential future charges related to URR
assumptions if current low interest rates persist, changes in MLI's
MCCSR ratio and additional risks regarding entities within the MFC
group that are interconnected which may make separation difficult. The
forward-looking statements in this document also relate to, among other
things, our objectives, goals, strategies, intentions, plans, beliefs,
expectations and estimates, and can generally be identified by the use
of words such as "may", "will", "could", "should", "would", "likely",
"suspect", "outlook", "expect", "intend", "estimate", "anticipate",
"believe", "plan", "forecast", "objective", "seek", "aim", "continue",
"goal", "restore", "embark" and "endeavour" (or the negative thereof)
and words and expressions of similar import, and include statements
concerning possible or assumed future results. Although we believe that
the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are
reasonable, such statements involve risks and uncertainties, and undue
reliance should not be placed on such statements and they should not be
interpreted as confirming market or analysts' expectations in any way.
Certain material factors or assumptions are applied in making
forward-looking statements, including in the case of our 2016
management objectives for core earnings and core ROE, the assumptions
described under "Key Planning Assumptions and Uncertainties" in our
2011 Annual Report and in this document and actual results may differ
materially from those expressed or implied in such statements.
Important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially
from expectations include but are not limited to: the factors
identified in "Key Planning Assumptions and Uncertainties" in our 2011
Annual Report and in this document and under "Risk Management and Risk
Factors Update" in this document; general business and economic
conditions (including but not limited to the performance, volatility
and correlation of equity markets, interest rates, credit and swap
spreads, currency rates, investment losses and defaults, market
liquidity and creditworthiness of guarantors, reinsurers and
counterparties); changes in laws and regulations; changes in accounting
standards; our ability to execute strategic plans and changes to
strategic plans; downgrades in our financial strength or credit
ratings; our ability to maintain our reputation; impairments of
goodwill or intangible assets or the establishment of provisions
against future tax assets; the accuracy of estimates relating to
morbidity, mortality and policyholder behaviour; the accuracy of other
estimates used in applying accounting policies and actuarial methods;
our ability to implement effective hedging strategies and unforeseen
consequences arising from such strategies; our ability to source
appropriate assets to back our long dated liabilities; level of
competition and consolidation; our ability to market and distribute
products through current and future distribution channels; unforeseen
liabilities or asset impairments arising from acquisitions and
dispositions of businesses; the realization of losses arising from the
sale of investments classified as available-for-sale; our liquidity,
including the availability of financing to satisfy existing financial
liabilities on expected maturity dates when required; obligations to
pledge additional collateral; the availability of letters of credit to
provide capital management flexibility; accuracy of information
received from counterparties and the ability of counterparties to meet
their obligations; the availability, affordability and adequacy of
reinsurance; legal and regulatory proceedings, including tax audits,
tax litigation or similar proceedings; our ability to adapt products
and services to the changing market; our ability to attract and retain
key executives, employees and agents; the appropriate use and
interpretation of complex models or deficiencies in models used;
political, legal, operational and other risks associated with our
non-North American operations; acquisitions and our ability to complete
acquisitions including the availability of equity and debt financing
for this purpose; the disruption of or changes to key elements of the
Company's or public infrastructure systems; environmental concerns; and
our ability to protect our intellectual property and exposure to claims
of infringement. Additional information about material factors that
could cause actual results to differ materially from expectations and
about material factors or assumptions applied in making forward-looking
statements may be found in the body of this document as well as under
"Risk Factors" in our most recent Annual Information Form, under "Risk
Management", "Risk Management and Risk Factors" and "Critical
Accounting and Actuarial Policies" in the Management's Discussion and
Analysis in our most recent annual report, under "Risk Management and
Risk Factors Update" and "Critical Accounting and Actuarial Policies"
in the Management's Discussion and Analysis in our most recent interim
report, in the "Risk Management" note to consolidated financial
statements in our most recent annual and interim reports and elsewhere
in our filings with Canadian and U.S. securities regulators. The
forward-looking statements in this documents are, unless otherwise
indicated, stated as of the date hereof and are presented for the
purpose of assisting investors and others in understanding our
financial position and results of operations as well as our objectives
and strategic priorities, and may not be appropriate for other
purposes. We do not undertake to update any forward-looking
statements, except as required by law.
Consolidated Statements of Income (Loss)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
(Canadian $ in millions except per share information, unaudited)
|
For the three months ended
|
|
For the years ended
|
|
December 31
|
|
December 31
|
|
|
2012
|
|
|
2011
|
|
|
|
2012
|
|
|
2011
|
Revenue
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Net premium income 1
|
$
|
5,012
|
|
$
|
4,540
|
|
|
$
|
10,734
|
|
$
|
17,504
|
Investment income
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Investment income
|
|
2,095
|
|
|
2,034
|
|
|
|
8,792
|
|
|
10,367
|
|
Realized/ unrealized gains (losses) on assets supporting insurance and
investment contract liabilities 2
|
|
(1,600)
|
|
|
1,360
|
|
|
|
3,050
|
|
|
15,870
|
Other revenue
|
|
1,690
|
|
|
1,765
|
|
|
|
7,356
|
|
|
7,242
|
Total revenue
|
$
|
7,197
|
|
$
|
9,699
|
|
|
$
|
29,932
|
|
$
|
50,983
|
Contract benefits and expenses
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
To contractholders and beneficiaries
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Death, disability and other claims
|
$
|
2,282
|
|
$
|
2,224
|
|
|
$
|
9,527
|
|
$
|
9,213
|
|
Maturity and surrender benefits
|
|
1,472
|
|
|
1,375
|
|
|
|
5,058
|
|
|
5,403
|
|
Annuity payments
|
|
838
|
|
|
802
|
|
|
|
3,244
|
|
|
3,164
|
|
Policyholder dividends and experience rating refunds
|
|
257
|
|
|
302
|
|
|
|
1,092
|
|
|
1,080
|
|
Net transfers from segregated funds
|
|
(185)
|
|
|
(130)
|
|
|
|
(718)
|
|
|
(299)
|
|
Change in insurance contract liabilities 2
|
|
39
|
|
|
4,364
|
|
|
|
13,442
|
|
|
27,934
|
|
Change in investment contract liabilities
|
|
26
|
|
|
35
|
|
|
|
87
|
|
|
64
|
|
Ceded benefits and expenses
|
|
(1,526)
|
|
|
(1,325)
|
|
|
|
(5,924)
|
|
|
(4,918)
|
|
Change in reinsurance assets 1
|
|
154
|
|
|
(1,486)
|
|
|
|
(8,065)
|
|
|
(1,852)
|
Net benefits and claims
|
$
|
3,357
|
|
$
|
6,161
|
|
|
$
|
17,743
|
|
$
|
39,789
|
|
General expenses
|
|
1,277
|
|
|
1,134
|
|
|
|
4,531
|
|
|
4,061
|
|
Investment expenses
|
|
297
|
|
|
273
|
|
|
|
1,091
|
|
|
1,001
|
|
Commissions
|
|
1,012
|
|
|
987
|
|
|
|
3,932
|
|
|
3,813
|
|
Interest expense 3
|
|
119
|
|
|
288
|
|
|
|
967
|
|
|
1,249
|
|
Net premium taxes
|
|
78
|
|
|
72
|
|
|
|
299
|
|
|
257
|
|
Goodwill impairment
|
|
-
|
|
|
665
|
|
|
|
200
|
|
|
665
|
Total contract benefits and expenses
|
$
|
6,140
|
|
$
|
9,580
|
|
|
$
|
28,763
|
|
$
|
50,835
|
Income before income taxes
|
$
|
1,057
|
|
$
|
119
|
|
|
$
|
1,169
|
|
$
|
148
|
Income tax recovery (expense)
|
|
22
|
|
|
(174)
|
|
|
|
523
|
|
|
97
|
Net income (loss)
|
$
|
1,079
|
|
$
|
(55)
|
|
|
$
|
1,692
|
|
$
|
245
|
|
Less: Net income attributed to non-controlling interest in subsidiaries
|
|
2
|
|
|
14
|
|
|
|
59
|
|
|
27
|
|
Net income (loss) attributed to participating policyholders
|
|
20
|
|
|
-
|
|
|
|
(103)
|
|
|
89
|
Net income (loss) attributed to shareholders
|
$
|
1,057
|
|
$
|
(69)
|
|
|
$
|
1,736
|
|
$
|
129
|
Preferred share dividends
|
|
(29)
|
|
|
(21)
|
|
|
|
(112)
|
|
|
(85)
|
Common shareholders' net income (loss)
|
$
|
1,028
|
|
$
|
(90)
|
|
|
$
|
1,624
|
|
$
|
44
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Basic earnings (loss) per common share
|
$
|
0.56
|
|
$
|
(0.05)
|
|
|
$
|
0.90
|
|
$
|
0.02
|
Diluted earnings (loss) per common share
|
$
|
0.56
|
|
$
|
(0.05)
|
|
|
$
|
0.88
|
|
$
|
0.02
|
1 On June 29, 2012 and September 25, 2012 the Company entered into
coinsurance agreements to reinsure 89 per cent of its book value fixed
deferred annuity business. Under the terms of the agreements, the
Company will maintain responsibility for servicing of the policies and
some of the assets and has retained the remaining exposure. The
premiums ceded relating to FDA coinsurance were $2 miliion and $7,229
million for Q4 2012 and full year 2012, respectively.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2 The volatility in realized/unrealized gains on assets supporting
insurance and investment contract liabilities relates primarily to the
impact of interest rates changes on bond and fixed income derivative
positions as well as interest rate swaps supporting the dynamic hedge
program. These items are mostly offset by changes in the measurement of
our policy obligations. For fixed income assets supporting insurance
and investment contracts, equities supporting pass through products and
derivatives related to variable annuity hedging programs, the impact of
realized/ unrealized gains on the assets is largely offset in the
change in insurance and investment contract liabilities.
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3 Q4 2012 includes the release of interest provision related to tax
contigency.
|
Consolidated Statements of Financial Position
(Canadian $ in millions, unaudited)
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
As at December 31
|
Assets
|
|
2012
|
|
2011
|
|
Invested assets
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Cash and short-term securities
|
$
|
13,484
|
$
|
12,813
|
|
|
Securities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Bonds
|
|
119,281
|
|
120,487
|
|
|
|
Stocks
|
|
11,995
|
|
10,243
|
|
|
Loans
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Mortgages
|
|
35,082
|
|
35,023
|
|
|
|
Private placements
|
|
20,275
|
|
20,294
|
|
|
|
Policy loans
|
|
6,793
|
|
6,827
|
|
|
|
Bank loans
|
|
2,142
|
|
2,288
|
|
|
Real estate
|
|
8,513
|
|
7,466
|
|
|
Other invested assets
|
|
12,363
|
|
11,079
|
|
Total invested assets
|
$
|
229,928
|
$
|
226,520
|
|
Other assets
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Accrued investment income
|
$
|
1,802
|
$
|
1,802
|
|
|
Outstanding premiums
|
|
1,009
|
|
781
|
|
|
Derivatives
|
|
14,707
|
|
15,472
|
|
|
Goodwill and intangible assets
|
|
5,113
|
|
5,442
|
|
|
Reinsurance assets
|
|
18,681
|
|
10,728
|
|
|
Deferred tax asset
|
|
3,148
|
|
1,757
|
|
|
Miscellaneous
|
|
3,683
|
|
3,542
|
|
Total other assets
|
$
|
48,143
|
$
|
39,524
|
|
Segregated funds net assets
|
$
|
207,985
|
$
|
195,933
|
|
Total assets
|
$
|
486,056
|
$
|
461,977
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Liabilities and Equity
|
|
|
|
|
|
Policy liabilities
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Insurance contract liabilities
|
$
|
199,588
|
$
|
190,366
|
|
|
Investment contract liabilities
|
|
2,424
|
|
2,540
|
|
Bank deposits
|
|
18,857
|
|
18,010
|
|
Deferred tax liability
|
|
694
|
|
766
|
|
Derivatives
|
|
7,206
|
|
7,627
|
|
Other liabilities
|
|
14,253
|
|
12,341
|
|
|
$
|
243,022
|
$
|
231,650
|
|
Long-term debt
|
|
5,452
|
|
5,503
|
|
Liabilities for preferred shares and capital instruments
|
|
3,501
|
|
4,012
|
|
Segregated funds net liabilities
|
|
207,985
|
|
195,933
|
|
Total liabilities
|
$
|
459,960
|
$
|
437,098
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Equity
|
|
|
|
|
|
Issued share capital
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Preferred shares
|
$
|
2,497
|
$
|
1,813
|
|
|
Common shares
|
|
19,886
|
|
19,560
|
|
Contributed surplus
|
|
257
|
|
245
|
|
Shareholders' retained earnings
|
|
3,178
|
|
2,501
|
|
Shareholders' accumulated other comprehensive income (loss)
|
|
(369)
|
|
96
|
|
Total shareholders' equity
|
$
|
25,449
|
$
|
24,215
|
|
Participating policyholders' equity
|
|
146
|
|
249
|
|
Non-controlling interest in subsidiaries
|
|
501
|
|
415
|
|
Total equity
|
$
|
26,096
|
$
|
24,879
|
|
Total liabilities and equity
|
$
|
486,056
|
$
|
461,977
|
|
SOURCE: Manulife Financial Corporation