PACIFIC COAST OIL TRUST (NYSE: ROYT) (the “Trust”), a perpetual royalty
trust formed by Pacific Coast Energy Company LP ("Pacific Coast Energy
Company" or "PCEC"), announced today that it had received from PCEC a
2014 operations and permitting update, a summary of PCEC’s 2014 capital
program and an oil price sensitivity analysis for the Trust’s 2014
distributions per unit. Capitalized terms not otherwise defined in this
release are defined in the Trust’s filings with the Securities and
Exchange Commission (“SEC”). All of the information contained in this
press release has been provided by PCEC.
Randall Breitenbach, CEO of PCEC, said, “As the sponsor of Pacific Coast
Oil Trust, a perpetual royalty trust, 2014 will be another active year
for PCEC. Our 2014 capital program balances the goals of maximizing
current year distributions with enhancing the long term value and
development potential of PCEC’s assets. We will continue ongoing
development of the conventional resources in the Orcutt Field and the
Los Angeles Basin as planned. In addition, development of the Orcutt
diatomite formation remains on track. During the remainder of 2014 we
will continue to pursue Santa Barbara County Planning Commission
approval for the Orcutt Hill Resource Enhancement Plan, which calls for
the addition of 96 diatomite wells to our current inventory of 78 active
diatomite wells. We currently expect a final hearing on approval of this
phase of the plan in late 2014 or early 2015.”
Operations and Permitting Update
The Trust owns interests in each of the four fields operated
and/or partially owned by PCEC. PCEC has provided the Trustee with the
following operations and permitting update. Note that specific
individual projects pertaining to the four fields may vary based on
results achieved throughout the year.
Orcutt Field - Non-Diatomite and Diatomite Development
The Orcutt Field is located in Northern Santa Barbara County near the
town of Orcutt. It is operated by PCEC. The Orcutt Field was discovered
in 1901 and has produced continuously since that time. Initial
production from the Orcutt oilfield came from the Monterey and Point Sal
formations, at depths between 1,700 and 2,700 feet below the surface.
Oil recovery from the Monterey, Point Sal, and SX formations is enhanced
by waterflood injection. There are currently approximately 131 Monterey,
Point Sal and SX formation producing wells, and approximately 62
waterflood injection wells on PCEC’s conventional Orcutt properties.
During 2014, PCEC plans to undertake the following capital projects with
respect to these conventional formations: drill one new well; recomplete
two wells; convert one well to an electric submersible pump and upgrade
various instruments, controls and other equipment.
The producing diatomite formation in the Orcutt Field lies approximately
500 to 1,100 feet below the surface. PCEC began cyclic steam development
in 2005 and was producing from about 78 active diatomite wells as of
December 31, 2013. Current production is about 1,500 Boe per day. PCEC
has developed approximately 50 acres of the diatomite formation to date,
and produced over 1,315 MBoe from the diatomite formation. During 2013,
PCEC filed an application with Santa Barbara County to allow PCEC to
undertake the Orcutt Hill Resource Enhancement Plan (“OHREP”) which will
allow the drilling of 96 new production wells on eight existing oil
field well pad locations, all within the state-designated Orcutt oil
field. The OHREP will occupy a total of 3.1 surface acres of PCEC's
4,025-acre Newlove property. PCEC believes that engineering improvements
it has achieved since 2007 have increased the efficiency of steaming
operations, reducing the steam required for oil production (the
steam-oil ratio) to less than half of its original level. As a result,
PCEC believes that the OHREP will not require any additional steam
generators. The County is in the process of drafting an Environmental
Impact Report for the project. PCEC anticipates that the EIR will be
available for public comment in the fall of 2014 with a hearing on
approval of the OHREP before the County Planning Commission expected to
take place in late 2014 or early 2015. During 2014 while the OHREP
permitting process is moving through the approval process, PCEC plans to
undertake the following diatomite projects: recomplete four wells,
upgrade various instruments and controls, and improve efficiencies of
existing equipment. More information concerning operations in the Orcutt
Field and the OHREP project can be found at www.orcutthill.com,
a PCEC website. This information available at the website is not a part
of or incorporated into this press release.
East Beverly Hills Field - West Pico Drillsite
The West Pico Unit is located primarily in the city of Los Angeles with
a portion extending into the city of Beverly Hills. It is developed from
an urban drilling and production site in Los Angeles and came on
production in 1966. There are currently 37 producing wells and six
waterflood injection wells in the West Pico Unit. Twelve new wells have
been drilled from this location since 2003. The West Pico drillsite also
includes three wells held by a joint venture between PCEC and Freeport
McMoRan Oil and Gas. PCEC operates the West Pico drill site. During
2014, PCEC plans to convert two wells to improve water injection
performance, recomplete one existing well to improve production and to
upgrade and optimize equipment at the drillsite.
Sawtelle and East Coyote Fields
PCEC’s Sawtelle property is situated in west Los Angeles. There are
currently 11 producing wells and three waterflood injection wells in
PCEC’s Sawtelle property. BreitBurn Operating L.P. (“BOLP”) operates the
Sawtelle Field. BOLP has indicated that capital spending during 2014
will be minimal.
The East Coyote oilfield was discovered in 1909. There are currently 51
producing wells, and 20 waterflood injection wells in PCEC’s East Coyote
property. BOLP also operates the East Coyote field. During 2014, BOLP
plans to recomplete three wells, return three currently non-producing
wells to production, optimize the downhole performance of four other
existing wells and undertake minor mandatory facility upgrades.
2014 Capital Program Summary
PCEC has informed the Trustee that its calendar year 2014 capital
program will total approximately $21.7 million. This total includes
investments of approximately $8.8 million ($7.1 million net to the
Trust’s interest) in the Developed Properties and approximately $12.8
milliona in the Remaining Properties.
2014 Sensitivity Analysis (1)
PCEC has provided the Trustee with the following operating and financial
sensitivity analysis for the Trust for 2014. The Trust does not provide
sensitivity analysis and assumes no responsibility for the sensitivity
analysis set forth below, but is providing the information furnished by
PCEC as a matter of disclosure to the unit holders. Neither the Trust
nor the Trustee was involved in the preparation of such sensitivity
analysis, and it is included here for informational purposes only.
The following sensitivity analysis is subject to all of the cautionary
statements and limitations described below and under the caption
"Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking Information." In
addition, estimates for PCEC's future production volumes are based on,
among other things, assumptions of capital expenditure levels and the
assumption that market demand and prices for oil and natural gas will
continue at levels that allow for economic production of these products.
The production, transportation and marketing of oil and natural gas are
extremely complex and are subject to disruption due to permitting delays
or denials, transportation and processing availability, mechanical
failure, human error, weather and numerous other factors. PCEC's
estimates are based on certain other assumptions, such as well
performance and the timing of permitting approvals, which may actually
prove to vary significantly from those assumed. Operating costs, which
include major maintenance costs, vary in response to changes in prices
of services and materials used in the operation of PCEC’s properties and
the amount of maintenance activity required. Operating costs, including
taxes, utilities and service company costs, move directionally with
increases and decreases in commodity prices, and PCEC cannot fully
predict such future commodity prices or operating costs. Similarly,
price differentials are set by the market and are not within PCEC’s
control. They can vary dramatically from time to time. Capital
expenditures are based on PCEC’s current expectations as to the level of
capital expenditures that will be justified based upon the other
assumptions set forth below as well as expectations about other
operating and economic factors not set forth below. The sensitivity
analysis below does not constitute any form of guarantee, assurance or
promise that the matters indicated will actually be achieved. Rather,
the information simply sets forth PCEC’s best estimate today for these
matters based upon its current expectations about the future based upon
both stated and unstated assumptions. Actual conditions and those
assumptions may, and probably will, change over the course of the year.
a Does not affect distributions in the current period but the
Trust’s pro rata share ($3.2 million) will impact the date on which the
NPI Payout occurs.
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FY 2014
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Q2
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Q3
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Q4
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Pricing
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Assumed Brent Oil Price ($) (2)
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$100.00
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$100.00
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$100.00
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Assumed Price Differential ($/boep discount to Brent)
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$13.00
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$15.00
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$11.00
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$13.00
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$11.00
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$13.00
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Total Developed Properties
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Daily Net Production (boe/d) (3)
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3,360
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3,560
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3,180
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3,380
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3,130
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3,330
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Expenses ($/boep) (4)
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$33.00
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$34.00
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$31.50
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$32.50
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$31.50
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$32.50
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Development Capital Expenditures ($000s)
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$2,500
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$2,700
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$1,900
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$2,100
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$2,200
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$2,400
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80% Net Profits Interest ($000s)
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$10,040
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$11,690
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$11,080
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$12,780
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$10,640
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$12,330
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Total Remaining Properties (5)
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Orcutt Daily Oil Production (bbl/d)
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875
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925
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825
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875
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825
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875
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7.5% Overriding Royalty Interest ($000s) (6)
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$480
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$520
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$480
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$520
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$480
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$520
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Quarterly G&A / Op Svcs Fee ($000s) (7)
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$500
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$500
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$500
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Total Trust Cash Flow ($000s) (8)
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$11,790
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$13,480
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$11,060
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$12,800
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$10,620
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$12,350
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Distribution Per Unit ($) (2)
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$0.31
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$0.35
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$0.29
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$0.33
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$0.28
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$0.32
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(1)
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Sensitivity analysis is provided on the basis of distribution
periods, not production periods (i.e., "Q2" refers to sensitivity
analysis pertaining to distributions paid to unitholders in April -
June 2014, based on production and expenses in February – April
2014). Expenses and development capital estimates are based on flat
$100 per barrel Brent crude oil and $4.00 per mcf natural gas price
levels. Operating costs generally move with commodity prices but do
not typically increase or decrease as rapidly as commodity prices.
Development Capital amounts in the table above vary slightly from
PCEC’s 2014 calendar year capital program totals due to the two
month delay between production and the payment of distributions.
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(2)
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The amount of revenues of the Trust and cash distributions to the
Trust unitholders will be directly dependent on the sales price for
oil production sold from the Developed and Remaining Properties, the
volumes of oil and gas produced attributable to the Developed and
Remaining Properties, payments made or received under the hedge
contracts and variations in direct operating expenses and
development expenses. The table below is not a projection or
forecast of the actual or estimated results from an investment in
the Trust units. The purpose of the table is to illustrate the
sensitivity of 2014 projected cash distributions per unit to changes
solely in oil pricing (giving effect to the commodity derivative
contracts that are in place through the March 2014 production month,
but then terminate completely). There is no assurance that the
hypothetical assumptions described will actually occur or that Brent
futures prices will not change by amounts different from those shown
in the table.
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Sensitivity of Calendar 2014 Projected Cash Distribution
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Per Trust Unit to Changes in Futures Pricing Based On
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Actual Results for the First Calendar Quarter of 2014
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and the Midpoints of the Projected Periods Above
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Brent Futures Oil Pricing
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($ per Bbl of Oil)
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$80
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$90
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$100
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$110
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$120
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$1.00
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$1.16
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$1.32
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$1.48
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$1.65
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(3)
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Daily net production is estimated to be comprised of 96.5% oil.
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(4)
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Comprised of lease operating expenses and taxes.
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(5)
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The Remaining Properties are expected to continue to pay an
Overriding Royalty Interest of 7.5% on revenues less taxes for
production in the Orcutt fields during the projected periods
presented. Production from Remaining Properties other than the
Orcutt fields is expected to be immaterial. Cumulative deficit of
the Remaining Properties NPI is expected to be approximately $2.5
million through the end of calendar 2014.
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(6)
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Reflects impact of estimated 3.5% tax on gross revenues generated
from Orcutt fields before giving effect to 7.5% Overriding Royalty
Interest.
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(7)
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Includes monthly fee paid to PCEC for operating and informational
services as well as certain estimated general and administrative
fees incurred by the Trust.
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(8)
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Reflects gains in Q2 from 2,000 Bbl/d swapped at $115.00 Brent
through the distribution paid in May 2014 (corresponding to the
March 2014 production month).
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Overview of Trust Structure
Pacific Coast Oil Trust is a perpetual Delaware statutory trust formed
by PCEC to own interests in certain oil and gas properties in the Santa
Maria Basin and the Los Angeles Basin in California (the “Underlying
Properties”). The Underlying Properties and the Trust’s net profits and
royalty interests are described in the Trust’s filings with the SEC. As
described in the Trust’s filings with the SEC, the amount of the
periodic distributions is expected to fluctuate, depending on the
proceeds received by the Trust as a result of actual production volumes,
oil and gas prices, development expenses, and the amount and timing of
the Trust’s administrative expenses, among other factors. Future
distributions are expected to be made on a monthly basis. For additional
information on the Trust, please visit www.pacificcoastoiltrust.com.
Cautionary Statement Regarding Forward-Looking
Information
This press release contains statements that are “forward-looking
statements” within the meaning of Section 21E of the Securities Exchange
Act of 1934, as amended. All statements contained in this press release,
other than statements of historical facts, are “forward-looking
statements” for purposes of these provisions. Terms such as “sensitivity
analysis,” “projected,” “estimated,” “will be,” “may vary,” “planned,”
“expect,” “has indicated,” and similar terms all indicate
forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include all
of the matters discussed above under “2014 Capital Program Summary” and
“2014 Sensitivity Analysis” as well as the amount and date of any
anticipated or potential distribution to unitholders. Any announcement
of an anticipated distribution is based, in part, on the amount of cash
received or expected to be received by the Trust from PCEC with respect
to the relevant period. Any differences in actual cash receipts by the
Trust could affect any such distributable amount. Other important
factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from any
announced distributions include expenses of the Trust and reserves for
anticipated future expenses. Statements made in this press release are
qualified by the cautionary statements made in this press release and in
the Trust’s filings with the SEC. Neither PCEC nor the Trustee intends,
and neither assumes any obligation, to update any of the statements
included in this press release. An investment in units issued by Pacific
Coast Oil Trust is subject to the risks described in the Trust’s Annual
Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2013 filed with the
SEC on March 17, 2014 and any subsequent Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q.
The Trust’s Annual Reports on Form 10-K and the Quarterly Reports on
Form 10-Q are available over the Internet at the SEC’s website at http://www.sec.gov.
Copyright Business Wire 2014