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Copper/gold junior rumbles

Thom Calandra Thom Calandra, www.thomcalandra.com
0 Comments| October 29, 2010

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Resources muse: grant that they all might be Antares Minerals (TSX: V.ANM, Stock Forum).

When we visited the copper company’s Haquira project in Peru with CEO John Black and co-founder Paul Zweng, I knew we were onto something vast.

The stock back in late March 2010 was potato-crop-cheap. One of the world’s craftiest asset managers, Farallon Capital of San Francisco, was (and is) a big investor. So was the IFC arm of the World Bank. Xstrata’s Las Bambas copper monstrosity was right next door.

Most importantly, Haquira’s camp kitchen, clinic and gardens were perfectly kept. The Click to enlargePeruvian villagers in this windswept minerals oasis, some five hours’ rough ride from the city of Cuzco, were fully at peace with Haquira’s ambitions. “Who would not want these mining jobs in such a mining-friendly country?” Mr. Black said at the time. Please see our original coverage.

When we flew over Ferrobamba (Las Bambas – in photo below) after a two-day site tour of almost 5,000-meter-high Haquira this past spring, even Black and his team, including geologist Kevin Heather (in photo here), gasped at the scale of Xstrata’s project. These Antares guys (and a few gals) had been living not 10 kilometers from Las Bambas for several years.

Here is what we wrote back then: Antares, which got its start from an Internet stock shell called Planet Ventures about six years ago, just might demonstrate a fresh and potent price level for copper purchases, one that sits in a four-cent to six-cent in-situ range. The plush premium for Antares might occur within 12 months’ time, largely because of the size and grades of its Haquira holding and its 10-kilometer distance from the massive Xstrata (OTO: XSRAF, Stock Forum) Ferrobamba copper project.

We profiled Haquira several times in our password-protected Ticker Trax. Haquira holds more than 13 billion pounds of contained copper. Yet on a planet voracious for copper, Antares Canada-traded shares were selling for just two pennies or so for each pound of the metal … at the time of our visit. (We even hit the point home again in further coverage;please see via Stockhouse and Ticker Trax.)

Long story short:FirstQuantum Minerals (TSX: T.FM, Stock Forum) is buying Antares for $460 million Canadian. Antares shares, $2 back in April, just passed the $7 mark. We learned that two weeks ago.

There appears to be further upside within the deal structure. That’s because Antares shareholders, in addition to First Quantum shares and cash, get a stake in Antares’ half-ownership of the Rio Grande project in Argentina.

“John Black certainly did the day-to-day heavy lifting,” said Dr. Zweng, a doctorate geologist, interim CEO of a Colombia-Panama copper and gold prospector and an active Honolulu asset manager (hedge fund Resource Venture Partners). Click to enlarge


“PMA (Pachamama Resources) continues to go up on the ANM-FM news,” says Dr. Zweng, who owns a large stake in Antares as a co-founder. “What's the value of a share of the spinco (Rio Grande spinoff stake)? Well, Pachamama (PMA) owns half of Rio Grande and spinco owns half of Rio Grande. So the market cap of PMA is a good guide as to the value of the spinco.”

Like we said, we wish they all could be Antares Minerals. Are there other cheap copper prospects out there? Of course. As copper ballasts well above $3 a pound, the projects with proper managers, solid investor support and real minerals in the ground (of politically calm nations, provinces and states) will benefit.

Dr. Zweng, by the way, still asks me why I never purchased a share of Antares. I have no good answer. But I know our subscribers, both Ticker Trax and Stockhouse, did purchase shares on the promise of Haquira. In the copper hopper.

What’s next? In the commodities sphere, I think stainless steel additive molybdenum will follow copper’s remarkable price ascent. Oh resource muse, let it be so.
For more, please view Thom Calandra’s Stockhouse articles. Also, please see www.tickertrax.com for our subscriber service.

THE NOVEL: It’s complete and for your reading pleasure: PABLO BY NUMBERS. It’s about the world of natural resources.

Ticker Trax™Please see tickertrax.com to learn more about the subscriber service. For an index of free Thom Calandra articles, please click here. For an explanation of our strategies, research methods and disclosure procedures regarding of Ticker Trax and our Stockhouse reports, please visit our readily available Stockhouse articles at Stockhouse.com. Please see: Stockhouse articles – Core Box Revealed. Companies whose site tours I attend for research purposes pay part or all of my airfare and hotel. For the password-protected Ticker Traxlibrary, please see: www.tickertrax.com/Login.aspx.

HOLDINGS: Thom’s holdings are listed for Stockhouse members at www.Stockhouse.com under the “portfolio setting” for user TCALANDRA. It is public and free to view. He owns shares of about 30 companies.

THOM CALANDRA of Ticker Trax helps his audience find value in a quagmire of investment choices. Thom was founding editor of MarketWatch, CBS MarketWatch and FT MarketWatch. He was the voice of Thom Calandra's StockWatch and The Calandra Report. Thom has been covering life-sciences and natural resources since 1988.

Ticker Trax™ is published by Stockhouse Media Inc. Ticker Trax is an information service for subscribers and neither Stockhouse nor Thom Calandra is a broker or an investment adviser. None of the information contained therein constitutes a recommendation by Mr. Calandra or Stockhouse that any particular security, portfolio of securities, transaction, or investment strategy is suitable for any specific person. Ticker Trax does not purport to tell or suggest the investment securities that subscribers or readers must buy or sell for themselves. Subscribers and readers of Ticker Trax are asked to conduct their own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decisions. Ticker Trax will not be liable for any losses or other damages caused by a reader’s reliance on information obtained in these reports. Subscribers and readers are solely responsible for their own investment decisions. Opinions expressed in Ticker Trax are based on sources believed to be reliable and are written in good faith, but no representations or warranties, expressed or implied, are made as to the accuracy or completeness of those opinions. All information contained in Ticker Traxshould be independently verified. The editor and publisher are not responsible for errors or omissions or responsible for keeping information up to date or for correcting any past information.Ticker Trax and Thom Calandra do not receive compensation from any companies that may be mentioned in Ticker Trax. Some of those companies are advertisers or clients of Stockhouse, the publisher. Xtra-Gold Resources was a preferred client of Stockhouse for investment relations, marketing and other commercial but not editorial services, which are never guaranteed. Also, Thom Calandra owns each of the Planetary Prospects and discloses any changes when it comes to purchases and sales. Companies hosting research tours sometimes pay for travel expenses. Any opinions expressed are subject to change without notice. Owners, employees and writers may hold positions in the securities that are discussed in Ticker Trax. PLEASE DO NOT E-MAIL OR CALL THOM CALANDRA SEEKING PERSONALIZED INVESTMENT ADVICE, WHICH HE CANNOT PROVIDE. Copyright 2010 all rights reserved.



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