A potential Russian backlash to U.S. sanctions could be a boon to U.S. uranium producers.
Russian legislators have drafted a law to restrict various materials that are exported to the U.S. as a response to American federal government actions it found "unfriendly." The U.S. Congress passed legislation imposing various sanctions on Russia in response to allegations of election influencing and other behaviors. The recently drafted Russian material restrictions may be in retaliation for passing the Countering American Adversaries through Sanctions Act (CAATSA).
One of these materials Russia may restrict is uranium. The U.S. currently imports most of its uranium which is used for fuel in nuclear power plants to generate electricity. About 14% of uranium used in America comes from Russia currently. Another 25% or so comes from Kazakhstan, which was part of the former Soviet Union. Most of the remaining uranium comes from Canada and Australia.
Uranium fuel is an essential part of the American energy mix because nuclear power produces about 20% of US electricity.
Stock Catalyst Report uranium expert Mike Alkin explained, "[the U.S. imports] half of their uranium from Russian and Russia-friendly countries. They import 95 percent, but half of that is Russian, Russian friendly. At the tensions that are right now it takes one sanction against Russia for uranium not to come in, and I think it's a huge risk."
The announcements made about Russia's potential uranium export restriction to the U.S. didn't have much effect on the spot price of U3O8.
If Russia does restrict uranium exports to the United States, that could be bullish for the price of uranium as well as for uranium companies.
Shares of Energy Fuels Inc. (EFR:TSX; UUUU:NYSE.American), the largest producer of energy in the U.S., and Ur-Energy Inc. (URG:NYSE.MKT; URE:TSX), another U.S. uranium producer, have increased since the release of the news. Shares of Energy Fuels just reached a 52-week high.
Energy Fuels has the White Mesa Mill in Utah, the Nichols Ranch Processing Facility in Wyoming, and the Alta Mesa Project in Texas, providing both conventional and in-situ recovery uranium mining.
Ur-Energy operates the Lost Creek in-situ recovery uranium facility in Wyoming and owns the Shirley Basin and Lucky Mc mine sites, also in Wyoming.
One active explorer is Skyharbour Resources Ltd. (SYH:TSX.V). The company has three on-going exploration programs and another junior explorer is optioning a fourth property in the Athabasca Basin in Canada.
In addition to potential Russian action, another catalyst for the price of uranium could be a limit on the amount of uranium imports to the United States. Energy Fuels and Ur-Energy have submitted a Section 232 petition to the Department of Commerce asking for relief from overseas uranium imports that threaten national security.
Former Assistant Secretary of Commerce for International Economic Policy Thomas Duesterberg wrote in support of the petition in Forbes on April 26, noting, "A viable U.S. uranium mining industry is needed to meet both defense requirements in the future and guard against becoming reliant on Russian and Russian-affiliated suppliers."