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Repeating Patterns In Human Behavior

GREED AND FEAR The January 1987 edition of Military Review, a professional journal of the U.S. Army, noted: “Since the mind of the individual soldier has not changed and fear is the crucial factor in the outcome of all battles, tactics must be directed not just against...

The Long-Term Message From Transportation Stocks

SIMILARITIES TO 2011-2012 AND 2015-2016 Over the past ten months, numerous developments (breadth thrusts, asset class behavior, sentiment, etc.) have told us to remain open to a bottoming-process/rally similar to action following major stock market lows in October 2011 and...

Nov 23rd 2019, Crypto Chartbook – Why markets work

Why markets work We as humans are fooled by a brain that functions on comparison. However, based on the true principle, every moment is unique and we expand with every time increment into an absolutely new future (big bang theory). We would be overwhelmed by the vastness o...

Mar 24th 2020, Crypto Chartbook: Have markets changed forever?

Have markets changed forever? Not in the sense that main principles have been shattered or macro cycle theory questioned… We dare to say that recent impacts and those we foresee to come, will have major implications on trading systems. Typically, we deal with a brief impa...

Feb 28th 2020, Silver Chartbook – The weakest link

The weakest link The weakest link is you . That is not always easy to admit, but it is factual, that the main cause for large draw downs is human error. The list of errors in market participation is long. For example running stops or sitting frozen behind the monitor ...

This Is What First Lagarde’s Speech Means for Gold

Overbought and oversold Learning to master the markets is like drinking from a fire hose. This does not change, no matter at what stage of the game you are. The vastness of possibilities and the challenges of psychology are endless. Therefore the only way of mane...

Dec 13th 2019, Crypto Chartbook – Building positions, arriving at target loaded

Building positions, arriving at target loaded December markets are tricky. With the closing of the year come rollovers in futures markets, tax considerations, hedge fund portfolio allocations due to accountability and much more. Markets are a reflection of human behavior a...

Oil Price Fundamental Daily Forecast – U.S. Supply Will Control Price Action This Week

The late price behavior on Friday and early Monday suggests crude oil traders have fully priced in the Phase One trade agreement. This means that investors will be looking for further news to push prices through the important technical resistance levels in order to extend the...

Gold’s Seasonal Outlook for Q4

“What is the best predictor of future behavior? Past behavior.” And while this certainly does not always hold, there is a lesson to be learned from this adage for gold investors. Yup, a saying about behavior might be important for the precious metals mark...

Tax Loss Silly Season Whacks Viva Gold

Investors spend a lot of time pondering both Technical Analysis and fundamentals to determine entry and exit points for investing. Perhaps they would make more money studying human behavior. Investing is not as difficult as the Gurus and Experts try to make it; it is no...
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