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Precious Metals Have Not Corrected Enough

Precious Metals enjoyed a very strong move this past summer. Both Gold and gold stocks broke past multi-year resistance and showed the kind of positive momentum that has been lacking for years. But strong momentum coupled with major technical resistance set in, along with ...
Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT | October 22, 2019 |

You Should be Buying Gold Stocks Now

A few weeks ago we noted the bullish setup for 2020. Macro developments, one way or another will tend to favor Gold. There isn’t a realistic scenario that isn’t Gold bullish. Note the comments from various Fed-heads last week. They are l...
Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT | December 5, 2019 |

Near-Term Risk in Gold is Increasing

Last week was another strong one for the precious metals sector. Gold gained a whopping $51/oz or 3.5%. The gold stocks (GDX, GDXJ) advanced by roughly 6%. Silver gained 4%. Momentum in the sector began to build once Gold surpassed resistance at $1420-$1425/oz. We had ...
Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT | August 14, 2019 |

Gold Set to Correct but Internals Remain Bullish

Last week we wrote that near-term risk in precious metals (Gold and GDX especially) was rising and a correction could begin soon. As Gold nearly reached major resistance at $1550/oz, the miners already began to correct. That negative divergence is an ominous signal for the...
Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT | August 21, 2019 |

Downside Risk in Precious Metals

Last week we noted that the risks in precious metals were primarily technical. Sentiment and technicals urge caution over the short-term. The net speculative position in Gold has remained high for months while the 21-day daily sentiment index (DSI) hit 81%. Since the s...
Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT | February 7, 2020 |

Is a Local Top in Gold At Hand?

In yesterday’s analysis on gold price in December 2019 , we wrote that while the outlook for the yellow metal for the following months was bearish, it was bullish for the short term. And indeed – gold, silver, and mining stocks rallied. In fact, the rally cont...
Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA | December 5, 2019 |

Fear Reaches A Level Seen Only 4 Times Since 2008 – Signature Pattern

Since 2009 the stock market has had for major waves of investor fear (volatility) take place which was in 2010, 2011, 2015, and 2018. Each time the market corrected we saw a drop anywhere from 12% – 18% and both traders and investors became emotional and started selling asse...
Chris Vermeulen | March 9, 2020 |

Gold not in Real Bull Market Yet

Is Gold now back in a bull market? Most gold bugs think so and are quick to proclaim that. But, could Gold remain in a secular bear market? It hasn’t made a new all time high in 8 years and the perma-bull, financial asset loving crowd certainly believes so....
Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT | September 25, 2019 |

Constructive Action in Gold & Silver Stocks

In our most recent editorial we concluded by observing a few positives in the gold and silver stocks. W concluded with: “Their performance over the weeks ahead could give us an early hint as to how much longer the correction will last.” Fast forward a...
Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT | November 4, 2019 |

VIX Warns Of Imminent Market Correction

The VIX is warning that a market peak may be setting up in the global markets and that investors should be cautious of the extremely low price in the VIX. These extremely low prices in the VIX are typically followed by some type of increased volatility in the markets. The ...
Chris Vermeulen | November 18, 2019 |
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