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Fed Slashes Rates to Zero and Introduces QE in Response to COVID-19. Will Gold Rally Now?

On Sunday, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates and restarted quantitative easing to stimulate economy hit by the pandemic of COVID-19. That’s already its second move prior to this Wednesday’s FOMC. What does it imply for gold? It&CloseCurl...
Arkadiusz Sieron | March 16, 2020 |

The Gold Market Right After Super Wednesday

Super Wednesday is behind us! The masters of monetary policy have revealed their cards. The Fed released the fresh minutes, the ECB held its monetary policy meeting, while the Brexit was postponed again. How will all these play out in the gold market? Minutes Show Pati...
Arkadiusz Sieron | April 11, 2019 |

Will the Transitory Inflation Turn into a Tailwind for Gold?

Chair Powell claims that subdued inflation is caused by transitory factors. Does the recent data confirms his views? And just how transitory is the new tariff rate on $200bn Chinese imports? Will we see a creep higher in inflation about to lift the gold prices? CPI Edges Up...
Arkadiusz Sieron | May 14, 2019 |

Three More Years of Expansion? How Will Gold React?

We are just a few weeks from breaking the record. If the current US economic expansion lasts until July 2019, it will reach 121 months, becoming the longest ever. The extended duration of the prosperity begs the question of when the next downturn will occur. We invite you to r...
Arkadiusz Sieron | May 27, 2019 |

Power of Narratives and Gold

The U.S. manufacturing sector has been growing weaker recently, entering recession. How serious is this contraction, and does it have the power to spill over to the broader economy? Let’s turn to gold – how far can these developments take us on the yellow brick...
Arkadiusz Sieron | November 22, 2019 |

Gold’s Appeal Now That Two Key Uncertainties for Global Economy Are Gone

China and the U.S. have reached a preliminary agreement, which softens their trade war, while the landslide victory of Conservative Party in the UK parliamentary elections clears the path to Brexit. Given that downside risks for the global economy are now significantly lower, ...
Arkadiusz Sieron | December 18, 2019 |

Gold and the Political Theater: Is The Tail Wagging the Dog?

As the old saying goes, politics is a show business for ugly people. Fair enough, but what does it have to do with gold? Let’s jump right in and find out! There Is No Trade War Economic reports are rarely fun. But when we read the latest US trade ...
Arkadiusz Sieron | March 7, 2019 |

Yield Curve Has Inverted. Will Gold Rally Now?

The yield curve followed suit of the Fed and also inverted. Inverted yield curve is a sign of an incoming recession, they say. However, what is the background of this yield inversion and how will gold react to its emerging story? Red alert! Or, actually, a yield alert...
Arkadiusz Sieron | March 26, 2019 |

The May FOMC Meeting Is Over. They Say Every Cloud Has a Silver Lining...

The May FOMC statement didn’t bring much of a surprise. Fed Chair Powell remained upbeat in his assessment of the U.S. economy while dismissing low inflation as transitory. Gold has initially jumped, only to keep declining later. What has actually happened yest...
Arkadiusz Sieron | May 3, 2019 |

What Does the New Fed’s Regime Imply for Gold?

The Fed promised that the quantitative easing would be only temporary and that it would reduce its ballooned balance sheet to the pre-crisis level. Now, as the Fed adopted an interest targeting with ample-reserves, we know that this is not going to happen. We invite you to...
Arkadiusz Sieron | May 21, 2019 |
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