What is the difference between a recession and a depression? When your neighbor loses their job, it’s a recession. When you lose your job, that’s a depression! Not funny? Do not worry, we won’t make more jokes. Instead, we&C...
Arkadiusz Sieron
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July 19, 2019
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By now, everyone and their brother has heard about the yield curve inversion. How come it has inverted and how much should we read into it? Is it really such a reliable indicator of an upcoming recession? Let’s dig into the true causes behind the inversion and ...
Arkadiusz Sieron
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October 7, 2019
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Indicator divergence With a vast following of market speculators, we receive a consistent inflow of questions and comments about the market. Traders ask in our our telegram channel, in which we post our trades live, and via e mail as well as in our public appearances, ab...
Korbinian Koller
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November 19, 2019
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The inversion of the yield curve is of crucial importance as it has historically been one of the most reliable recessionary gauges. Consequently, we invite you to read our today’s article about the history of the yield curve inversions and find out whether the ...
Arkadiusz Sieron
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August 14, 2019
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With everyone talking about recession, investors desperately need some clues to assess the state of the economy. This is what our today’s article provide you with. We invite you to read it and find out what are the two most important recession indicators – an...
Arkadiusz Sieron
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March 22, 2019
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Stocks are entering the holiday-shortened week on a strong note. There was no selloff on Friday, as has been the case three preceding weeks in a row. This weekend, there were no spooky coronavirus headlines. Stocks finished on Friday close to their yearly highs, and the beat g...
Monica Kingsley
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February 18, 2020
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There are more than a handful of things I can cite as leading indicators for the Gold price. Ratios such as Gold against the stock market and Gold against foreign currencies are generally good leading indicators. The gold stocks and Silver can function as leading indicator...
Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT
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April 10, 2019
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Say what you will about last week, it certainly wasn't dull. The Federal Reserve, seemingly capitulating to President Donald Trump and Wall Street, became just the latest central bank to cut interest rates. Meanwhile, the president escalated the trade war even further, an...
Frank Holmes
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August 7, 2019
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When Americans elect or re-elect a president in the fall of 2020, there is a very good chance the closest thing to their hearts - their wallets - will be top of mind. That’s because many are predicting the longest-running economic expansion in US history ...
Richard (Rick) Mills
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June 18, 2019
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Before we get to looking at those three charts, let’s talk about the trade war. On Friday the Trump administration made good on its threat to raise tariffs on as much as $200 billion worth of Chinese imports to 25 percent from the previous 10 percent. The ...
Frank Holmes
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May 13, 2019
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