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Consumer Discretionary Sector and Corporate Bonds On Verge of Sell-off

I have been warning of a peak in the markets and a continued capital shift in the global economy that continued to push the NASDAQ and DOW towards new all-time highs while the foundations of the global markets continued to weaken. I authored dozens of research posts regar...
Chris Vermeulen | November 22, 2019 |

Steady Gold Amid Choppy Recovery

Initial jobless claims are declining painfully slowly. The disconnect between the choppy recovery and financial markets creates upward risk for gold. The initial jobless claims still paint grim picture . They amounted to 1.48 million in the week from June 13 to June 2...
Arkadiusz Sieron | July 2, 2020 |

Patient Approach Remains Appropriate for Fed. How Will Gold React?

The Fed released the minutes from its last meeting . What are the Fed’s views on the economy, global risks and inflation? What do the learnings imply for the US monetary policy and in turn, the gold market? Minutes Show That FOMC Members Are Still Patient ...
Arkadiusz Sieron | May 27, 2019 |

What Ballooning Corporate Debt Means for Investors

Few people know the risks in today’s economy and marketplace as much as David Rosenberg, chief economist and strategist at Canadian wealth management firm Gluskin Sheff & Associates. For years he’s educated investors with his popular “Break...
Frank Holmes | April 8, 2019 |

The Hunger for Muni Bonds (And Gold!) Is Real

Another Tax Day has come and gone. This was the first year that Americans paid taxes under President Donald Trump’s tax cuts. And yet many filers—especially those living in high income tax states such as New York, California and New Jersey—saw their paymen...
Frank Holmes | April 29, 2019 |

Is Trump Reversing Course On Iran?

The Trump administration is attempting to dial down the tension with Iran, lowering the risk of military conflict and pushing for diplomatic negotiations. On Sunday, U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said that the U.S. was ready to negotiate with Iran with "no precondi...
Nick Cunningham | June 4, 2019 |

Predictive Modeling Suggest Oil Headed Much Lower By Early 2020

Our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive price modeling system is suggesting Crude Oil will likely continue to find resistance near $64 as a price ceiling and trend lower over the next 3 to 5 months – eventually breaking below the $40 price level near the end of 2019 or ...
Chris Vermeulen | July 10, 2019 |

Follow the Trend Lines, Not the Headlines

“Follow the trend lines, not the headlines,” President Bill Clinton once said. I’m a news junkie myself, but I guarantee you I wouldn’t be where I am today had I based every one of my investment decisions on what the talki...
Frank Holmes | July 29, 2019 |

Fed Too Late To Prevent A Housing Market Crash?

Real Estate is one of the biggest purchases anyone will make in their lifetime. It can account for 30x to 300x one's annual income and take over 30 years to pay off. After you're done paying for your property, now you have to keep paying to maintain it and to support the prope...
Chris Vermeulen | August 22, 2019 |

Indexes Struggle and TRAN suggests a possible top

Nearing the end of October, traders are usually a bit more cautious about the markets than at other times of the year. History has proven that October can be a month full of surprises. It appears in 2019 is no different. Right now, the markets are still range bound and appear ...
Chris Vermeulen | October 22, 2019 |
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