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Surprise Jobs Number and What It Means For Your Positions

The Huge Non-Farm Payroll number released on Friday, June 5 th , shocked the market. A massive 2.5 million jobs were created in May 2020. If you were paying attention to the data, you’ll also understand that 1.87 million new jobless claims just last week. In ...

The Big Jobs Number and How to Trade It – Part II

In the first part of this research article, we attempting to highlight how the huge jobs number shocked the market into a big upside price move on Friday, June 5, 2020, and how the underlying data continues to suggest we have quite a bit of work to do before the US economy s...

Blackrock Swings for the Fences for Gold in Nevada

I finished my latest book in January. It took another month to get the layout and a cover made just right for it. Since that time about ten thousand people have bought the book or downloaded the Kindle version for free. It is one of the highest rated books I have ever...

Oil’s Crisis Spikes and the Impact on the Gold Price

At the time, the book was ground-breaking. Back in 2007, Nassim Taleb published a book called The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable . He promoted not to try and speculate or predict wild, outlier type events… but to prepare and plan for them. The 20...

Are We Setting Up For A Waterfall Selloff?

Most traders understand what a “Waterfall event” is if you've been trading for more than 3 years. Nearly every downside price reversion event initiates in a breakdown event (the first tier of the waterfall event) which is followed by additional deeper wat...

No, You Do Not Hear the Fat Lady Warming Up

Those who never predicted a financial collapse in the first place are now edging closer to the swamp to dip their toes into the water. Now they are suggesting, perhaps we could have a recession. " Forget that. You cannot have every supply chain in the world chopped in ...

Mar 14th 2020, Silver Chartbook – Feeling Good

Feeling Good All engines stop. After a week like the last, it is important to exit the fright train. Bombarded by news that leave you at best concerned but more likely rather frightened, it is key to change ones state. No good decisions are made from a low energy stat...

Silver will perform like gold on steroids

This past March, I asked a highly successful investment advisor what he thought about gold. Since he deals almost exclusively with very high net-worth individuals, his point of view was especially intriguing. He confided to me that many of his clients had been asking for g...

What happens To The Global Economy If Oil Collapses Below $40 – Part III

This, the final section of this multi-part research article, will continue our exploration of the consequences that may result from our ADL predictive modeling system's suggestion that Oil may continue to fall to levels below $40 over the next few months. In Part I an...

Alasdair Macleod Wants to Invent a New Form of Math

I lived in California when I was in the 7 th grade. The state led the rest of the US in education. That was before it turned into a socialist paradise. I took an algebra course in the 7 th grade; California would let you take any course the teacher would allow you in. I...
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