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The day when no resource stock will sell for less than $5

Dudley Pierce Baker
0 Comments| February 3, 2009

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The last several months have been a nightmare for many investors in all markets of the world but perhaps no more severe than those of us investors in the natural resource stocks. Frequently we would think it could not get worse only to realize that within another day or a week the natural resource stocks were still being pounded to the downside. It seems like ‘someone’ had decided to drive all of the smaller natural resource stocks down to zero. Some of the shares actually went to one penny. A true bloodbath that wiped out enormous paper profits for all investors.

While it would not have been unusual to experience a pullback in the markets, virtually no one, professional or individual investor, expected what occurred. The Dark Side of the Dream, our dream and perhaps your dream, of becoming rich in the bull market in the commodity stocks was either over or greatly delayed. So which is it?

Throughout the darkest hours of the last several months, we never lost the vision of our dream. The reasons for us investing in the natural resource shares over the last few years, particularly the gold shares and our position in gold and silver bullion and coins, never changed. All of the reasons for investing in this sector are even more compelling today than ever. The massive printing of monies by the Fed will, we believe, lead to incredible inflation, if not hyperinflation.

The markets never play out the same way from one bull market to another. This interruption in the bull market in the natural resource sector will become one of the greatest head fakes of our time. A great shakeout so extreme that many investors have been so badly shaken they may never return to buy shares or long term warrants in the resource sector again. Or will they?

Emotions and investing are rarely compatible bedfellows. Strangely, investors, frequently, at the worst of times will sell out their positions because of fear, ignoring all facts, all reason, and will perhaps greatly regret their decisions. These same investors will once again enter the markets but not until they can no longer stand it as the markets are approaching their peaks. The emotions of these same investors will allow them to overstay their welcome and ride the markets down into the depths once again.

Recent market action has favored gold and silver but the juniors are still greatly lagging in price. This miserable looking chart with soon look much different as the juniors start to out pace gold in the weeks and months ahead.

Click to enlarge

We expect to fulfill the culmination of our dream within the next three years and we frequently recall the words of one of the legendary analyst in the resource sector of “the day when there will be no resources stocks selling for less than $5.00”. Yes, we can wait, as we have learned that patience is a required skill in the art of investing.

For the investors with their eyes still open, we suggest the accumulation of the junior mining shares and selected long-term warrants in this sector while they are still available at ridiculously low prices. Time is fast running out so you must make a decision very soon. We see only three choices for investors: 1) those that will never buy another share in the resource sector, 2) those that will just wait and see what happens for now (meaning to us, buying at substantially higher prices) and 3) those that recognize the opportunity of a lifetime and are buying now – your choice.

For those readers interested in learning more about warrants and the opportunities they can make to your portfolio, we encourage you to visit our website.



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