Join today and have your say! It’s FREE!

Become a member today, It's free!

We will not release or resell your information to third parties without your permission.
Please Try Again
{{ error }}
By providing my email, I consent to receiving investment related electronic messages from Stockhouse.

or

Sign In

Please Try Again
{{ error }}
Password Hint : {{passwordHint}}
Forgot Password?

or

Please Try Again {{ error }}

Send my password

SUCCESS
An email was sent with password retrieval instructions. Please go to the link in the email message to retrieve your password.

Become a member today, It's free!

We will not release or resell your information to third parties without your permission.

ARC Resources Ltd T.ARX

Alternate Symbol(s):  AETUF

ARC Resources Ltd. is a Canada-based energy company. The Company's activities are focused on the exploration, development, and production of unconventional natural gas, condensate, Natural gas liquids (NGLs), and crude oil in western Canada. The Company's assets are located in the Montney region in Alberta and northeast British Columbia. The Company’s operations in Alberta are located near Grande Prairie and the region includes Kawka and Ante Creek. Kawka is a premium condensate-rich and high-deliverability natural gas play with top-tier development opportunities. The Company’s operations in northeast British Columbia feature low-emissions assets and are strategically connected to third-party egress and hydroelectricity. The Company’s operations in northeast British Columbia are located near Dawson Creek and the region includes Greater Dawson, Sunrise, Attachie, and Septimus and Sundown. The Greater Dawson operating area includes Dawson Phases I, II, III and IV and Parkland 3-9.


TSX:ARX - Post by User

Post by MyHoneyPoton Aug 16, 2021 11:29am
141 Views
Post# 33709995

Dawson - are the economics really competitive?

Dawson - are the economics really competitive?
Dawson's boe's are valued at about 26.67 for boe, and their capex budget is 240 million and last quater it only produced 91,000 boe with a yearly capex of 240 million dollars. 

Kakwa boes are valued at over 42.58 dollars for a boe, ant they produce 180,000 boe and their yearly capex is 525 million dollars all have cycle.

Unhedged 

So at kakwa their capex costs are a little higher, but the revenue per boe is significantly higher, 42.58 - 26.67 = 15.91 more per boe 

Or Kakwa generates 15.91/26.67 = 59% more CF per boe then does dawson.

So it means almost a 40% better return when you include the capex differential. 

What is wrong with management?

Pouring capex into dry gas, and 2 percent debt does not improve FFO the same way a pursuing liquids rich 1/2 cycle plays like Kakwa.

Dawson should have its capex cut to zero and it really is a collection of postage stamp plays and they should be pursuing Kakwa. 

IMHO
<< Previous
Bullboard Posts
Next >>