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Baytex Energy Corp T.BTE

Alternate Symbol(s):  BTE

Baytex Energy Corp. is a Canada-based energy company. The Company is engaged in the acquisition, development and production of crude oil and natural gas in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin and in the Eagle Ford in the United States. Its crude oil and natural gas operations are organized into three main operating areas: Light Oil USA (Eagle Ford), Light Oil Canada (Pembina Duvernay / Viking) and Heavy Oil Canada (Peace River / Peavine / Lloydminster). Its Eagle Ford assets are located in the core of the liquids-rich Eagle Ford shale in South Texas. The Eagle Ford shale covers approximately 162,000 net acres of crude oil operations. Its Viking assets are located in the Dodsland area in southwest Saskatchewan and in the Esther area of southeastern Alberta. It also holds 100% working interest land position in the East Duvernay resource play in central Alberta.


TSX:BTE - Post by User

Post by forecast123on Mar 06, 2022 1:22pm
282 Views
Post# 34488122

sell/hold plan for my energy shares

sell/hold plan for my energy sharesTo start with,  I don't have any insider info, not a stock analyst,  nor do I have crystal ball of the world ahead. I am an investor ie not a trader. I have been thinking about my energy shares holding as they are becoming a significant part of my portfolio. 

I have about 24K shares of BTE with average cost of 3.9$.  I have about 10K of CJ with average  cost of 5.4$. Also have some WCP with average cost of 4.5$. All three are happily in the green.

My prediction: 
- WTI will still be above 100 US$ at least till end of 2023. 
- CJ will issue a monthly dividend of  0.06$ per month with first payout  in mid May 2022. 
-  CJ SP will reach 9 $ by end May and 10$ by end Oct 2022. 
-  BTE, sure, will start  share buyback a few months from now but I don't think BTE will issue any dividend in 2022 . Well, perhaps they will  issue a small dividend payout starting Feb or Mar 2023 but not in 2022.
-  BTE SP will reach 8.5$ by end Oct 2022 but I have no idea its SP beyond that. 
-  WCP SP will rise but  frankly admit I can't predict WCP SP

With above prediction in mind, I plan to keep all 10K of my CJ shares (happy with a monthly dividend of 0.06$ per month) and monitor its SP till 13 $+ before I consider selling.  For BTE, I plan to offload 15% by end Oct 2022 (my thought of SP of 8.5$) solely because I need the cash at that time.  Thereafter, I plan to sell another 35% by mid 2023.  The remaining 50% (around 12K shares) will be either hold or sell depending on the potential of BTE at that time after knowing its dividend and Clearwater performance.  I plan to keep on holding my WCP for possibly a few years.
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