TSX:CUS.DB.D - Post by User
Comment by
ocean112on Jun 07, 2015 3:00pm
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Post# 23805163
RE:RE:RE:RE:Doom and Gloomers parading today
RE:RE:RE:RE:Doom and Gloomers parading todayPS - I read the full report from TD - and yes Superior may pay $150M - but I can't imagine Doug dumping this at the same valuation as NATO (NATO was negative cashflow - this at least is slated to generate $22M cashflow in 2015 and will ride the upside as oil recovers - these are the dominant players in the oil patch with 50% market share for HCL when (if) fracking picks up long term). With only 20% exposure to oil in the Chlor Alkali business - I can't imagine Doug giving this one away for nothing when there is no need to.
He got rid of NATO because of the negative and uncertain future cashflows - not the case with Chlor Alkali.
Yes - a mountain of debt - and it will be a slow and steady plod forward to pay it off over many years - but at least now the propsect of failing thier covenants is behind them with the sale of NATO - they have plenty of room now. That's why I think there is near term upside - I can't see why (after the 12% run up last week) why this will fall back to the $1.30 level.....if it does - oh well - I had to live with it two weeks ago - so will go for the ride.