Post by
gizard16 on Jul 08, 2020 10:41am
H C Wainright Increases Buy Target to $0.40 U.S.
Heiko F.Ihle CFA,
We reiterate our Buy rating on Fission shares and raise our PT to $0.40 per share from $0.30 per share. Our valuation remains based on a DCF of operations at PLS, to which we now apply a revised 12.0% discount rate, and a long-term uranium price estimate of $35/pound (lb), or about C$48/lb beginning in FY26. Our higher price target is the result of lowering our discount rate to 12.0% from 14.0% based on continued strong uranium prices. We ultimately expect longer-term prices to support the development of PLS. We then add cash and the 32.3Mlbs of Fission's uranium resource at an average value of C$4.50/ lb (prior: $4.00/lb) to account for increases in spot prices. Going forward, we expect management to continue advancing PLS. We reiterate strong uranium spot prices, that have risen in part due to the ongoing spread of COVID-19, which continues to impact global production. Looking ahead, we expect the company to complete a share consolidation, in addition to listing the firm on a major exchange, which could open the company up to a wider demographic of investors.
Comment by
Uraniuman308 on Jul 08, 2020 11:15am
.40 cent share price target...bahahahahahahahaha! Well at least this is the most realistic target I've seen but a far cry from the 2.00 some are throwing around. JMO
Comment by
bull_man on Jul 08, 2020 2:23pm
Is this guy on drugs??? Where's he getting the 32.3Mlbs....we have over 140Mlbs and counting. He talks about continued strong uranium prices, but bases his calculations on a $35 long term price in 2026. Somebody is I have a weird rashing around with the numbers here. All FCU metrics point to a $1.50 to $2.00 valuation, at the very minimum.
Comment by
Greenday on Jul 08, 2020 3:37pm
@ bull_man - Ihle is using very very conservative numbers to arrive at his TP. (The 32.8 Mlbs is the inferred mineral resource. No indicated resource included.) It's just a model though and when one of his input variables reaches his modeled variable than he simply revises his TP higher.
Comment by
Porto54 on Jul 08, 2020 4:12pm
It's nice to see an actual target price on this board.$.55 Cdn.With all the sniping and vulgarity on here, I was wondering if there is anything real posted here any more. It seems that this nexgen crew are a 'paid group' of sourpusses.
Comment by
OVERWATCH on Jul 08, 2020 6:38pm
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OVERWATCH on Jul 08, 2020 9:17pm
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OVERWATCH on Jul 08, 2020 10:56pm
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Comment by
zum2020 on Jul 08, 2020 11:15pm
I would love to have answers to many questions, however, I know that the source of truth is not directly on this board. I'm 100% certain I got that one correct.
Comment by
OVERWATCH on Jul 08, 2020 11:53pm
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OVERWATCH on Jul 09, 2020 12:21am
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Comment by
Greenday on Jul 08, 2020 10:46pm
@ Uranium308 - If the spot price fell to a price below FCU's cost of production - which is very unlikely - then FCU would do what CCO is doing. Stop producing and buy material in the spot market.
Comment by
OVERWATCH on Jul 08, 2020 11:20pm
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Comment by
Uraniuman308 on Jul 09, 2020 12:31am
and if FCU stopped production, where would they get the funds to purchase on the spot market to fulfill CGN's offtake commitment?
Comment by
OVERWATCH on Jul 09, 2020 12:52am
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OVERWATCH on Jul 09, 2020 12:57am
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lobo8888 on Jul 09, 2020 10:24am
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OVERWATCH on Jul 09, 2020 11:17am
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Comment by
Himey2012 on Jul 09, 2020 12:23pm
Someone will most certainly buy FCU well before Nexgen. Who would even look at them with a $200 million debt and a deposit that is 500m below the surface. They have zero chance of being bought. That's why they are pretending to go it alone. They have no choice.
Comment by
lobo8888 on Jul 09, 2020 2:24pm
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OVERWATCH on Jul 09, 2020 3:45pm
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Comment by
Greenday on Jul 09, 2020 3:58pm
@ OVERWATCH - Hey Turner. What's the matter? Can't think of anything new for your next blog deadline?
Comment by
wateroperator on Jul 09, 2020 10:22pm
They keep lowering their target! What a joke! LOL!
Comment by
wateroperator on Jul 09, 2020 10:23pm
Next target will be like negative interest rates, you have to pay to own this stock! LOL!
Comment by
BobTheKnob2 on Jul 09, 2020 10:57pm
Is this a pre-consolidation or post-consolidation target?
Comment by
OVERWATCH on Jul 09, 2020 11:08pm
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lobo8888 on Jul 10, 2020 9:40am
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OVERWATCH on Jul 10, 2020 10:30am
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lobo8888 on Jul 10, 2020 10:44am
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Comment by
Uraniuman308 on Jul 10, 2020 10:31am
Looks like you got your wish. Nice little dig at Dev. Check it out on the IKN blog on "on what will mining CEO's spend their new wealth". JMO
Comment by
Uraniuman308 on Jul 10, 2020 10:43am
if any of this is true, how is it no one else is speaking out? Has Chang given an update on the board findings regarding a smear campaign? Isn't that his job/responsibility? In my opinion by issuing a public statement, a follow up is warranted. As a shareholder I want to know where I stand. JMO
Comment by
Himey2012 on Jul 10, 2020 12:30pm
Uraniuman308, I did not believe we would ever see anyone who lies more than Trump. But you do. Those invisible shares of Fission that you keep saying you own don't count as a shareholder.
Comment by
Himey2012 on Jul 09, 2020 9:42am
$200 million in debt. No revenue.Tell us all how they will pay it off.
Comment by
wateroperator on Jul 08, 2020 11:34pm
Good luck with that! LOL!
Comment by
Himey2012 on Jul 09, 2020 12:06am
@wateroperator, So water, maybe tell the board how you keep switching back & forth with all your different I.D's? Do you keep a seperate file on who posts what? You have made a few mistakes on this board. I'm sure Travis has a record. How do you get paid?