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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Fortis Inc T.FTS.P.H


Primary Symbol: T.FTS Alternate Symbol(s):  T.FTS.P.J | FORFF | T.FTS.P.K | T.FTS.P.M | FTRSF | FTS | FRTSF | FTPSF | T.FTS.P.F | T.FTS.P.G | T.FTS.P.I

Fortis Inc. is a Canada-based diversified regulated electric and gas utility holding company. The Company's regulated utility businesses includes ITC Investment Holdings Inc., ITC Holdings Corp. and the electric transmission operations of its regulated operating subsidiaries, which include International Transmission Company, Michigan Electric Transmission Company, LLC, ITC Midwest LLC and ITC... see more

TSX:FTS - Post Discussion

Fortis Inc > Possible cause of FTS stock decrease on Friday
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Post by Shadow1973 on Feb 20, 2021 9:59am

Possible cause of FTS stock decrease on Friday

I had to do some digging,but found that ITC holding (US utility owned by Fortis) just lost a court decision regarding rate incentives for power transmission. Not sure how much of a big deal this is long  term, but an interesting find:

DC Circ. Backs FERC's Grid Rate Incentives Cut

Law360 (February 19, 2021, 8:01 PM EST) -- A divided D.C. Circuit on Friday backed the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission's decision to slash incentives from units of transmission company ITC Holdings Inc. following a 2016 merger, rejecting arguments that FERC unlawfully performed a policy about-face.

The ITC units — International Transmission Co., Michigan Electric Transmission Co. LLC and ITC Midwest LLC — argued FERC had no legal basis to conclude that incentives they received needed to be halved because they had a reduced level of independence after ITC Holdings' merger with utility Fortis Inc., which also owns electricity generation facilities.

But a D.C. Circuit panel said in a 2-1 ruling that there was no merit to ITC's claims that FERC created a new test to determine whether transmission subsidiaries are sufficiently independent from their generation-owning corporate parents to earn the transmission-only incentives without explaining why it was ditching a previous test that the ITC units would have passed.

The majority also rejected ITC's argument that FERC failed to first show that the existing incentives were unjust and unreasonable before determining what the new incentives should be, as required by Section 206 of the Federal Power Act.

The case has its roots in challenges to the ITC units' transmission-only incentive on its so-called return on equity, or ROE, which is how much of a return investors can get on their investment in a transmission company and is baked into the company's rate.

ITC argued that FERC had established a geographic test for determining whether the business of a generation-owning utility's transmission subsidiary is sufficiently independent to warrant the transmission-only ROE incentive. But faced with complaints that the ITC units were no longer sufficiently independent following the Fortis merger, FERC created a new test that examined the companies' internal governance and structural relationship with its corporate parents, rather than their geographical proximity.

As a result, FERC said in July 2018 that the ITC units were no longer fully independent and directed their transmission-only ROE to be cut in half, ITC told the D.C. Circuit.

Writing for the majority Friday, U.S. Circuit Judge Cornelia T.L. Pillard said that FERC's geographic test was not broadly applicable and that the agency expressly adopted a case-by-case approach to transmission incentives, especially the ones earned by the ITC units.

In ITC's case, FERC determined that the transmission incentives the company's units enjoyed were no longer appropriate post-merger, which triggered the Section 206 requirement that the agency set a new just and reasonable rate, Judge Pillard wrote.

"In view of the deference that we owe FERC in rate-related matters, we cannot conclude that this finding was undermined by other cases in which it faced different claims in procedurally distinct proceedings and reached different results based on distinct records," Judge Pillard wrote.

The D.C. Circuit majority said that ITC's argument that FERC failed to formally conclude that the existing incentives were unjust and unreasonable appears to boil down to the agency's failure to use the words "unjust and unreasonable" in the first step of the Section 206 review process.

But FERC granted a complaint that explicitly alleged the existing incentives were unjust and unreasonable and the agency's analysis followed Section 206's two-step procedure, so its failure to "use the magic words ... did not reflect a fatal flaw in its decision,"Judge Pillard wrote.

"All but a single paragraph of FERC's analysis here concerned the first-step issue of whether the merger reduced ITC's independence such that an [incentive] reserved for fully independent [transmission companies] could no longer be considered just and reasonable as applied to ITC," Judge Pillard wrote for the majority.

In dissent, Circuit Judge David B. Sentelle said the majority's conclusion contradicts the appeals court's 2017 decision in Emera Maine et al. v. FERC that said the agency didn't justify how an old ROE for New England transmission companies was unjust and unreasonable and why a new one was just and reasonable.

In ITC's case, FERC only concluded that the new incentives were more appropriate than the old ones, eroding the limits Congress placed on FERC's ability to change rates in Section 206 of the Federal Power Act, Judge Sentelle said in his dissent.

"FERC dismisses those congressional limits as 'magic words,' alluding to Hanna Diyab's Ali Baba and the Forty Thieves," Judge Sentelle said in his dissent. "Yet FERC would do well to remember that when Ali Baba's brother forgot the magic words, he could not escape the thieves' cave. Although 'unjust' or 'unreasonable' are congressional requirements rather than magic words, I would likewise refuse to allow FERC to escape a trap of its own making."

But the D.C. Circuit majority said the Emera decision doesn't apply because FERC actually determined that the ITC-Fortis merger reduced the independence of ITC's transmission subsidiaries to the point where their incentives were no longer just and reasonable.

A FERC spokesperson declined comment Friday. An ITC representative couldn't be immediately reached for comment Friday.

Circuit Judges Judith W. Rogers, Cornelia T.L. Pillard and David B. Sentelle sat on the panel for the D.C. Circuit.

The ITC entities are represented by Aaron Streett, Jay Ryan and Jonathan Mark Little of Baker Botts LLP.

FERC is represented in-house by senior attorney Carol J. Banta, deputy solicitor Lona T. Perry, solicitor Robert H. Solomon and deputy general counsel David L. Morenoff.

The case is International Transmission Co. et al. v. FERC, case number 19-1190, in the U.S. Court of Appeals for the District of Columbia Circuit.
Comment by Dibah420 on Feb 20, 2021 12:03pm
S1973:  Thank you for your interesting find. There are a couple of reasons why this can't be the probable cause for the decline in FTS share price.  First the news release was timed at 8:01 pm on Friday. Second this wouldn't be the first time a rate increase was declined.  Company accountants usually roll with it and figure out ways to pad the next rate review application ...more  
Comment by rfguysd on Feb 20, 2021 2:00pm
Maybe so Dibah420  but  all (most?)  of  the utilities  pulled  back  for  this reason.  https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y  .     I  have included  a  snap picture and  a  link  to the graph.  Not sure if the stockhouse editor is  good enough to handle graphs.so  you mwill need to g to ...more  
Comment by Dibah420 on Feb 20, 2021 3:27pm
Thank you RFguy. Yes I was able to see the graph.  No denying Tbills are on the uptrend.  But will the central banks go the same direction? Neither the Fed Chief nor the Gov. of BoCanada seem to hint so.  Everyone who buys food & fuel has been feeling the pinch of rising prices.  Does that mean inflation is on the way?  For some reason those two items are excluded from ...more  
Comment by rfguysd on Feb 21, 2021 7:30pm
Dibah... I  go back  to the fundamentals and ignore all other noise.  Big Money  want the Treasuries yields higher since  Big Money thinks higher  interest rates and inflation are on the horizon. Can  you really argue  with that?  THe government spending and debt  are increasingly higher....both in Canada and the US.  Utilities sector was ...more  
Comment by Dibah420 on Feb 22, 2021 8:52am
RFguy.  I see US 10 yrs are up to 1.37 and the macro scene aligns with your views.  But sometimes little things can make a difference.  I'll wager a pint that FTS will open green.  The difference being "Regulated"  vs  "Deregulated".   Remember the Gov. of Texas blaming wind turbines for the disaster? Well those turbines belonged to ...more  
Comment by Tommy123 on Feb 22, 2021 9:42am
This post has been removed in accordance with Community Policy
Comment by bossu on Feb 22, 2021 12:56pm
However  analysts are recommending this stock and downside risk low ! Dividend storey exceptionnal and actual yield is 4 .0% Morningstar has 4 stars. And under $ 50 now But share price@ below 250 days moving average which is not good. The ''buble'';soon to burst it seems that it would be better to park the money in an ETF but which one ? Long term has been down ex: XLB down ...more  
Comment by Tommy123 on Feb 22, 2021 3:08pm
This post has been removed in accordance with Community Policy
Comment by Shadow1973 on Feb 22, 2021 6:04pm
Bossu, I moved to ZPAY, which is a covered called ETF with less volatility. Pays 16 cents per share monthly, 6% annual yield. Ex dividend is Feb 24 so you can still buy tomorrow.
Comment by bossu on Feb 23, 2021 11:30am
Not a bad idea.Low volatility Big volume yesterday and has lost almost 0,48 in 6 days . Thank you but not certain about making any moove... This morning opening gave us an ''mini'' idea of what is going to happen when the ''bubble .. will burst.
Comment by Vega1357 on Feb 20, 2021 1:00pm
I think the impact of this on the share price yesterday was next to nothing as this isn't a big deal.
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