Post by
EarningsPower on Nov 17, 2022 11:21am
Shawcor is worth >$25 in my opinion
I think people are really missing the upside here. The pipeline business is up for sale... if you go through the announced pipeline contracts only (many more are not announced) and use management's public comments about upwards of 20% EBITDA margins on the pipeline business you get to $140 million in segment EBITDA.
Again, according to management, in the worst of times, this segment is break even now. According to many offshore pipeline CEO's we are in the first inning of a multi-year bull market for offshore.
For a large offshore pipelines company, think of the margins you would save buy just owning Shawcors Pipeline business and vertically integrating.
What would a company pay for such a segment? 3x contracted EBITDA? 4x?? thats $400 to $600 million for the pipeline business alone, or $10 a share in cash. With Goldman Sachs running the process, I don't expect peanuts or a quickl sell out. They spent years right sizing this segment.
I wont sell below $20, and probably closer to $25 given the fair value of the I believe the remaining segments are worth.
Comment by
EarningsPower on Nov 17, 2022 4:22pm
Good point! They could continue securing some big contracts in the Pipeline segment too as they work to get a sale done. A nice dividend would be appreciated for sure. Looking forward to the Q4 numbers next as they are supposed to be even stronger than Q3.
Comment by
cashworx44 on Nov 17, 2022 6:17pm
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Comment by
Lotus33 on Nov 18, 2022 8:25am
Here we go Folks: Cleaned up the balance sheet & declared an intention to sell all or parts Step 1, this morning, more to come L-33
Comment by
EarningsPower on Nov 18, 2022 9:28am
One segment gone! And for $15 million... I'll take it haha. Looking forward to the big sale early next year.
Comment by
Lotus33 on Nov 17, 2022 4:23pm
Mr.Power: agree 100% This is going substantially higher Keep adding L-33