RE:RE:RE:The Cascade Power playYasch22 wrote: Thanks wreckhouse. I just found the original announcement about Peyto's pricing deal with the Cascade power plant, though none of the names (Cascade, Kineticor, etc.) were named at the time. This goes back to the news release for Q2, 2018.
https://www.peyto.com/Files/News/2018/Q22018PressRelease.pdf "In July 2018, Peyto reached an agreement with an Alberta power company which outlines commercial terms to supply 60,000 GJ/d of natural gas for a period of 15 years, beginning in 2023. Peyto will be delivering natural gas to the power plant site under agreed upon, confidential terms which will link the natural gas and Alberta power pool prices. For example, at current power prices, Peyto would realize an equivalent gas price of approximately $3.00/GJ at its plant gate. Peyto is excited to be a part of this project and looks forward to supplying Albertans with clean burning natural gas not only for heat but also for their electricity needs."
Though we're all speculating at this point, the pricing that Peyto will garner from Cascade is based on Alberta power pool prices, as per the quote provided from the Q2 report. I reckon power pool prices are positively correlated with natural gas prices in general, which I think we're all assuming at this point. That said, I did track down some Alberta power pool data, both current and historical which hopefully provides a more concrete idea of what to expect.
https://www.utilitynet.net/analytics/powerpoolprice.html Power pool prices averaged $50.19/MWh in 2018, while the average price for 2022 thus far is $124.04/KWh. That certainly seems pretty constructive if those prices hold. For fun, the average price for August has been $231.92/KWh, so you can understand why Darren Gee is eager to get some of Peyto's gas to Cascade!