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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Tourmaline Oil Corp (Alberta) T.TOU

Alternate Symbol(s):  TRMLF

Tourmaline Oil Corp. is a Canada-based crude oil and natural gas exploration and production company. The Company is focused on long-term growth through an aggressive exploration, development, production and acquisition program in the Western Canadian Sedimentary Basin. It operates in three basins, which include the Alberta Deep Basin, NEBC Montney Gas/Condensate and Peace River Triassic Oil... see more

TSX:TOU - Post Discussion

View:
Post by fishcarrier on Sep 13, 2022 7:39am

Cheniere

Do you understand this comment from Cheniere? It is in their second Q 2 2022report.

Net income decreased $53 million and $241 million, respectively, while Adjusted EBITDA increased $287 million and $539 million, respectively, during the three and six months ended June 30, 2022 as compared to the three and six months ended June 30, 2021. The decrease in net income was primarily due to non-cash unfavorable changes in fair value of commodity derivatives, partially offset by increased margins per MMBtu of LNG and increased volumes of LNG delivered.

Substantially all derivative losses are attributable to the recognition at fair value of our long-term Integrated Production Marketing (“IPM”) agreement with Tourmaline, a natural gas supply contract with pricing indexed to the Platts Japan Korea Marker (“JKM”). While operationally we seek to eliminate commodity risk by utilizing derivatives to mitigate price volatility for commodities procured or sold over a period of time, as a result of the significant appreciation in forward international LNG commodity curves during the three and six months ended June 30, 2022, we recognized approximately $431 million and $862 million, respectively, of non-cash unfavorable changes in fair value attributable to such positions.

Our IPM agreement is structured to provide stable margins on purchases of natural gas and sales of LNG over the life of the agreement and has a fixed fee component, similar to that of LNG sold under our long-term, fixed fee LNG SPAs. However, the long-term duration and international price basis of our IPM agreement makes it particularly susceptible to fluctuations in fair market value from period to period. In addition, accounting requirements prescribe recognition of this long-term gas supply agreement at fair value, but does not currently permit fair value recognition of the associated sale of LNG, resulting in incompatibility of accounting recognition for the purchase of natural gas and sale of LNG.

Comment by HighOctane89 on Sep 13, 2022 1:00pm
From what I understand is that Cheniere's loss was Tou's gain , I looks like Tou got a better price for their nat gas .
Comment by fishcarrier on Sep 13, 2022 1:48pm
Thanks HighOctane. Yes, that's my take as well. A couple of things stand out to me, but I could be wrong. 1, I didn't think Tourmaline was already selling to Cheniere. That surprised me. 2, It sort of looks to me that TOU is getting a standard price throughout the contract - higher in this case than it will be later -, but that Cheniere goes with a fluctuating one. I'm not at all sure ...more  
Comment by JohnSP on Sep 13, 2022 2:14pm
Good catch on Cheniere Q2 Results, to add RBC on Aug 10 published a note titled "Ace in the Hole - Flexing JKM Contract Value". Our View: TOU’s LNG exposure is understood by the market, however Street estimates do not appear to reflect the most recent improvement in JKM pricing (Cal ’23 up +30% MoM). Based on this outlook, we now carry Tourmaline's JKM exposure as 6% of 2023 nat gas ...more  
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