RE:Year end exit numbers? I think it can because they have been drilling steadily. From what IR said they were bringing on seven wells each quarter.
To me the biggest risk to the numbers will be timing the production tie ins. They minimize venting as part of the esg plan so they get everything connected to the gas lines up front. Between that, well clean up and shutting in producing wells while fracking we will gain a few hundred or lose a few barrels of production. I get the feeling they are sandbagging us a little bit with some awesome Chedder and West Ferrier wells prior to year end.
But I think it should be close. Glad we are committed long term to one rig. Too many headaches juggling stop start programs.
my bet is we are within 500 barrels on either side of 14,500 boe/day exit production.
be prepared to start being blown away by cashflow numbers on a regular basis. Things look awesome!
luck!