RE:RE:RE:RE:Guyana Venezuela disputeI think Libya is at around 1.24m barrels a day...and in July 2022 it was down to 500k (700k disrupted).
That is easiest way to have 80 plus Brent in 2024, get Libya production down 500k barrels per day.
Libya current production is a problem for oil markets...light oil and shipped to Europe so harder to control.
Russia giving rockets to some milant Libya group is likely scenario for a black swan.
I mean last time Libya went down it was timed with Ukraine war to give max effect.