TSX:AD.DB.A - Post by User
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retiredcfon Nov 10, 2022 9:24am
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Post# 35087934
RBC
RBCNovember 10,2022
Alaris Equity Partners Income Trust
Q3/22 normalized EBITDA was ahead of our forecast. 3% distribution increase announced
TSX: AD-U | CAD 16.16 | Sector Perform | Price Target CAD 18.00
Sentiment: Positive
Our initial take: Q3/22 normalized EBITDA of $37.7MM was ahead of our $34.3MM forecast and $34.2MM consensus (range of $33.8MM to $34.7MM). Of note, we backed out $10.8MM of F/X gains, $7.1MM from investment fair value losses and $1.5M of transaction costs from Alaris’ reported EBITDA of $39.9MM. The variance from our forecast was primarily driven by higher-than- forecast distribution income and slightly lower-than-forecast SG&A expense.
Alaris provided distribution reset guidance for 2023 and expects a positive reset of +3.1%, higher than our +2% forecast, which would result in $4.5MM of incremental distribution income revenue.
On November 8, Alaris made a US$24MM investment in Sagamore Plumbing and Heating, LLC, of which US$20MM were for preferred shares with a 15% annualized pre-tax yield (US$3.0MM annualized distribution) and US$4MM were for a minority equity stake.
Alaris increased its annualized distribution +3% to $1.36/unit from $1.32/unit. Other key financial metrics:
• Operating cashflow before working capital/unit:
• Book value/unit: $19.57 was below our forecast of $20.78.
• Leverage (funded debt to contracted EBITDA): 2.0x was slightly higher Q/Q vs. 1.9x in Q2/22.
• Earnings coverage ratio (ECR): Alaris estimates its weighted average ECR to be >1.75x for the portfolio vs. ~2.1x Q/Q.
Conference call today at 11:00am ET; webcast link available on the company’s website.