Canada’s inflation rate has bottomed There are 2 forces that are going to work against future Cpi prints:
1) Higher oil and energy costs with production cuts from Russia and the Saudi's pushing oil higher. Also, carbon tax increase for July is not going to help the situation. Don't worry, there are more carbon tax increases for next April which is less than a year away.
2) the spread between gasoline prices y/y is going to narrow in the months ahead due to the base effect.
I'll make a prediction that something is going to break in the economy before interest rates fall. The unemployment rate is going to increase before core inflation falls.
Just a hunch.