RE:The Golden Goose - Has Arrived Or the Crown Jewel. If they add a zone and Charlie Lake @Wemnley to the 2024 reserves report, it becomes a serious play.
The metrics US investors will care about my guess is the oil mix (not liquids) and how it declines. If it's like the Permian for example that could mean going from 50% oil to 17% oil in 5 years (which would still be highly economic).
You can see that ARC Kakwa is down to 33% condensate which is what happens when overall production (boepd) is kept flat - oil % goes down (GOR goes up).
Btw, I used to think when they said reserves of 25% oil it meant that's where the cut would end up once all wells were drilled but it's not. The actual % oil years down the road is much lower than reserves estimates which ch makes sense because the initial prodn % is higher than contemplated by reserves.
So it matters a lot that a play's old wells still produces material % of oil.
This is the fundamental problem of Oak + 3rd party plant - old wells will produce little oil and the natgas won't be produced cost effectively.