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FAST-MOVING, HIGH-PERFORMANCE DRILLING RIGS
Leading intermediate North American land drilling contractor



Bullboard - Investor Discussion Forum AKITA Drilling Ltd T.AKT.A

Alternate Symbol(s):  AKTAF | T.AKT.B

AKITA Drilling Ltd. provides contract drilling services, primarily to the oil and gas industry, in Canada and the United States. The Company is an oil and gas drilling contractor with a fleet of about 32 drilling rigs. Its United States fleet is supported out of its operations base in Midland, Texas and consists of 13 high specification AC triple rigs, one high specification AC double rig and... see more

TSX:AKT.A - Post Discussion

AKITA Drilling Ltd > Question please
View:
Post by Angles on Jun 11, 2024 3:55pm

Question please

Hi guys,

I have a quick question that concerns AKITA's future stock price and here is why.

Don't get me wrong, as I strongly believe in the value and future of AKT.A, I just wonder if anyone knows what percentage of drilling they do for natural gas vs. oil.

The reason I am asking this is because of the abnormally low spot gas price ($0.80) and future months lows as well. See link for chart below;

https://www.gasalberta.com/gas-market/market-prices

In my opinion, this could effect (slow down or delay) what you are saying about 11+ rigs working in Canada during August 2024 and beyond. Even though they will be drilling for the future capacity needs, given the extremely low pricing this could perhaps change or delay some of those plans. Thoughts??? Will this lead to a lower AKT.A stock price during the summer and early fall?

I already hold a small amount of AKT.A shares (especially in relation to many of the big bloggers here) and I am looking to increase my holdings (at good prices only) but I fear the stock price is going to come down more, instead of appreciating as most say here. At least for a little while.

Just throwing my thoughts open for discussion. I also believe longer term AKITA is going much higher and going to again pay a small dividend. (In one to three years)

All my best to other AKT.A shareholders.

Angles
Comment by lifeisgood1010 on Jun 12, 2024 6:56am
Good morning Angles, Akita is much more tilted to oil then gas.Recently they have converted one rig(number 26) to gas. It has been drilling for Shell for the past few months.I know they are in the process to convert another rig for gas drilling. I too, saw the AECO price below $1. Henry hub gas prices in the USA is creeping over $3 but our CDN gas is very low. I am with you 100%.I see ...more  
Comment by pennydredful on Jun 12, 2024 2:59pm
One  pundit  believes  solar will  replace  gas   and  in  particular  US    govt   has been  throwing   a lot  of money   at   solar    so   it   is heavely   subdized   
Comment by Hockeyz on Jun 12, 2024 2:57pm
Yes, aeco pricing is currently at $0.80Cdn. per gigajoule.  But, as per the bottom chart in your link, Aeco futures pricing is ramping up to $3 in January’2025 and for the next 3-4 years (at least), aeco is in the $2.50 to $4.25 range. Again, this is due to LNG Canada coming on-line and taking excess natural gas out of the country, mainly overseas. So yes, those gas production companies ...more  
Comment by lifeisgood1010 on Jun 13, 2024 7:39am
Once again, very good post Hockeyz. Thanks for the quality of your posts same for Blindpig. Akita rig number 26 as been retrofit to gas drilling ans as been drilling for Shell I was just ready this on BNN.this goes in the way of your thinking re nat. gas. Have a nice day. Pembina Pipeline Corp. plans to make its final investment decision for the proposed Cedar LNG floating gas-export project ...more  
Comment by auburn2 on Jun 15, 2024 3:03pm
Only 1 of 9 directors has meaningful shareholdings. The directors are all very senior executives with plenty of money. They know more about this company than would any of us outsiders. Therefore, if the valuation is so compelling they would be buying shares thesmelves, which hasn't been happening, ever.
Comment by pennydredful on Jun 16, 2024 4:48pm
Its   easier  to be  a yes  man  if  you  have   no  shares   perhaps    that   is   what   the controlling     shareholder wants  
Comment by pennydredful on Jun 17, 2024 11:34pm
Perhaps   people  are  told  from  the  get  go  they  are  there  to meet  compliance requirements  not build   share positions  and chirp  in on operational matters. 
Comment by Hockeyz on Jun 17, 2024 2:13pm
Akita trades about 25,000 to 30,000 shares per day. In order to establish a meaningful position (for a wealthy person) of at least say 250,000 Akita shares, a person would have to buy every share available for at least 10 full days or half the daily shares for 20 full days. This would be very time consuming and would also move the Akita stock quite a bit, especially when people got wind that an ...more  
Comment by auburn2 on Jun 18, 2024 6:51pm
You make it seem like just one out of those 8 directors with next to no shares would have to urgently buy 250,000+ shares. Reality is they've been at the company many years. Buying 10,000 shares here and there would add up quickly enough and show better alignment with public shareholders. It hasn't been happening.
Comment by Hockeyz on Jun 20, 2024 12:07am
Hi auburn2. Actually, I never said anything about having to urgently buy 250,000 Akita shares. All I said was that to buy, say 250,000 Akita shares, would take over 20 full days (even over a number of years) to purchase using half the average daily volume, because Akita is such a thinly traded microcap stock. And wealthy people would not use their time this way. You basically said that the Akita ...more  
Comment by auburn2 on Jun 21, 2024 3:19pm
The prospects aren't so good though. Drilling in the USA division is down sharply. Read the MD&A. Gas prices in Canada are abysmal.
Comment by auburn2 on Jun 21, 2024 3:23pm
I've noticed shares available at $1.30 is much, much higher than is being shown. The offer is being concealed to lure in buyers.
Comment by Hockeyz on Jun 24, 2024 1:22pm
At the 2024 annual meeting in mid-May, Akita said they would be running at least 12 rigs in the U.S. for the 2nd half of 2024 and forward. Comparing the 10.56 average US drilling rigs Akita used in 2023 to at least 12 rigs for Q2’2024 forward, means adjusted US operating margins will increase by 13.6% (12 rigs/10.56 rigs), from $44.0M to $50.0M, an increase of $6.0M in profits just in Akita’s US ...more  
Comment by Hockeyz on Jun 24, 2024 1:48pm
Sorry, I had an incorrect number in my previous post. This is the corrected post:   At the 2024 annual meeting in mid-May, Akita said they would be running at least 12 rigs in the U.S. for the 2nd half of 2024 and forward. Comparing the 10.56 average US drilling rigs Akita used in 2023 to at least 12 rigs for Q2’2024 forward, means adjusted US operating margins will increase by 13.6% (12 ...more  
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Akita Drilling Ltd. With CEO - Colin Dease & CFO Darcy Reynolds

Investment Opportunity

Leading Intermediate North American Land Drilling Contractor

14 high-spec drilling rigs
operating exclusively in the
US Permian Basin

17 Canadian drilling rigs primary tailored for oilsands development and a growing deep gas presence

Value of rigs almost 7x market cap

Free Cash Flow of $21 million generated in the first half of 2023



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Shareholders and security analyst inquiries should be directed to:
Darcy Reynolds
– Vice President, Finance and Chief Financial Officer

1000, 333 – 7th Ave SW
Calgary, Alberta T2P 2Z1
Phone: (403) 292-7537
Email: darcy.reynolds@akita-drilling.com