S&P 500 Likely to Hit Further Highs

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US S&P 500– Retail traders remain aggressively short the SPX500, which tracks the US S&P 500, and a contrarian view of crowd sentiment suggests the S&P may trade higher. Indeed, our data shows traders have remained net-short the SPX500 since the S&P traded at 1,854 through mid-February. As long as traders continue to sell, we see little reason to change our bullish trading bias.

It is nonetheless important to note that total short interest has fallen substantially as the S&P has pulled back from highs. Our data shows 79 percent of total open orders are currently short the SPX500, but this is a notable change from the 91 percent seen through February. We will remain in favor of buying into S&P 500 strength until we see a much larger shift towards crowd buying in the SPX500.

See next currency section: EURUSD - Euro Remains a Buy until this Changes

--- Written by David Rodriguez, Quantitative Strategist for DailyFX.com

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