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Employment Data, Rate Cut Speculations and Gold

If you look at the manufacturing data only, the relative strength of the jobs figures surprised. Another positive development were the upward revisions for August and July. The unemployment rate again dropped, this time to 3.5 percent. What will that mean for the Fed and gold?...
Arkadiusz Sieron | October 9, 2019 |

Important Economic News Calendar: October 28 – November 1, 2019

Brace for a very busy week on the financial markets! The Fed will decide about the U.S. monetary policy and the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release its usually important monthly figures. Will quarterly corporate earnings push stock prices to new record highs? Let&Clos...
Paul Rejczak | October 28, 2019 |

Tariffs Are Having a Bigger Effect on U.S. Manufacturing Than Initially Thought

The U.S. manufacturing sector contracted for the fifth straight month in December, with the monthly reading from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) hitting its weakest point in more than 10 years. The purchasing manager’s index (PMI) fell to 47.2,...
Frank Holmes | January 8, 2020 |

Fed Keeps Again Federal Funds Rate Unchanged

The FOMC held its first meeting in both the new year and the decade, keeping interest rates unchanged. But why did the yellow metal move up regardless? Let’s examine the implications for the king of metals. Yesterday, the FOMC published the monetary p...
Arkadiusz Sieron | January 30, 2020 |

Weak Payrolls, September FOMC and Gold

August nonfarm payrolls came in short of expectations. Earlier months were also marked by downward revisions. Does it send a signal to act for the Fed, and what is gold likely to do in return? August Payrolls below Expectations The U.S. created only 130,000 jobs in Aug...
Arkadiusz Sieron | September 10, 2019 |

Fed Slashes Rates to Zero and Introduces QE in Response to COVID-19. Will Gold Rally Now?

On Sunday, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates and restarted quantitative easing to stimulate economy hit by the pandemic of COVID-19. That’s already its second move prior to this Wednesday’s FOMC. What does it imply for gold? It&CloseCurl...
Arkadiusz Sieron | March 16, 2020 |

Fed Cuts and Gold Drops. Again

History may not repeat itself to the letter but it certainly rhymes. That’s what the Fed watchers would say now. The Fed cut the interest rates for the second time this year and the price of gold declined again. What is going on? Fed Trims Interest Rates by ...
Arkadiusz Sieron | September 19, 2019 |

Fed Panics over Coronavirus. What’s Next for Gold?

Yesterday, the Fed cut interest rates by 50 basis points. Not during a regular monetary policy meeting, but in a surprising move. But what are the implications for the gold market specifically? Fed Cuts Interest Rates in Emergency Move Last week, I wrote that the spread...
Arkadiusz Sieron | March 4, 2020 |

Fed Cuts Rates, Causing Gold to See-Saw

Yesterday, that was already the third time this year when the Fed cut interest rates. In response, the price of gold erased earlier losses. That sounds a bit fishy. What is going on? Fed Lowers Interest Rates by 25 Basis Points Yesterday, the FOMC published the monet...
Arkadiusz Sieron | October 31, 2019 |

A Rate Cut in Question, Falling Oil Discoveries and Record Silver Inflows

Will he or won’t he? That seems to be the question on a lot of traders and investors’ minds today with regard to Federal Reserve chair Jay Powell. An October rate cut appeared back on the table after disappointing economic news was re...
Frank Holmes | October 7, 2019 |
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