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Virus Curve, Market Crash, and Mortgage Massacre

In this last segment of our multi-part research article, we want to highlight our expectations of the Covid-19 virus event and how the next 6+ months of global market activity may play out. We’ve covered some of the data points we believe are important and we...
Chris Vermeulen | March 25, 2020 |

Warning: Credit Delinquencies To Skyrocket In Q4

Farm delinquencies skyrocket +24% year over year as global trade issues and the ability to service credit continues to be a problem. This is a tell-tale sign that the US Fed decreased the Prime Rate recently as a result of broader credit issues related to higher interest rates...
Chris Vermeulen | November 4, 2019 |

Homebuilding stocks are in for a nasty surprise

"You can't believe how screwed up things are down here… " This weekend, I met up with a real estate expert, M, from South Florida. M specializes in REO. REO stands for "Real Estate Owned." Banks lend money to homeowners. Sometimes homeowners don't make their int...
Tom Dyson | October 28, 2012 |

Will Democrats fire back with second stimulus?

Data revealed last week showed a job market that's careening down a steep street with no breaks. Yet investors shrugged off concerns and the stock market actually ended the week up 1.5% due to that rockin' Monday on the first day of the month. That's because there...
Jon D. Markman | October 28, 2012 |

Financial Sector Under Pressure and What It Means

The Financial sector is unique in that it is an essential component of global economics as well as local economic functions. Consumers depend on banking services, credit, and all sorts of other financial services in their day-to-day lives. The Financial sector is one of the ...
Chris Vermeulen | June 11, 2020 |

Fed Slashes Rates to Zero and Introduces QE in Response to COVID-19. Will Gold Rally Now?

On Sunday, the Federal Reserve cut interest rates and restarted quantitative easing to stimulate economy hit by the pandemic of COVID-19. That’s already its second move prior to this Wednesday’s FOMC. What does it imply for gold? It&CloseCurl...
Arkadiusz Sieron | March 16, 2020 |

Germany starts war on gold

Germans, like Indians and Chinese, love their gold - although their reasons for buying and keeping bullion are somewhat different. In China and India, gold jewelry is a status symbol - a sign of wealth and success. In Germany, owning gold bars and coins, maybe a 24-karat ...
Richard (Rick) Mills | January 24, 2020 |

PART II - Fed Too Late To Prevent A Housing Market Crash?

In Part I of this research, we highlighted the Case-Shiller index of home affordability and how it relates to the US real estate market and consumer economic activity going forward. We warned that once consumers start to shift away from an optimistic view of the economy, t...
Chris Vermeulen | August 22, 2019 |

Real Estate Crash The Next Shoe To Drop – Part II

As we continue to delve into the looming Real Estate crisis that will likely hit the US and globe over the next 12 to 24+ months, we want to focus on the human psychological process of dealing with a crisis event and how that relates to economic engagement. In the first part...
Chris Vermeulen | April 23, 2020 |

Fed Too Late To Prevent A Housing Market Crash?

Real Estate is one of the biggest purchases anyone will make in their lifetime. It can account for 30x to 300x one's annual income and take over 30 years to pay off. After you're done paying for your property, now you have to keep paying to maintain it and to support the prope...
Chris Vermeulen | August 22, 2019 |
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