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Three More Years of Expansion? How Will Gold React?

We are just a few weeks from breaking the record. If the current US economic expansion lasts until July 2019, it will reach 121 months, becoming the longest ever. The extended duration of the prosperity begs the question of when the next downturn will occur. We invite you to r...

Transportation stock breakout is a good omen for the economy

The transportation stocks often lead the economy in both directions. That makes sense since truckers and railroads get an early look at the beginning stage of economic reversals in both directions. They get to see changes in the shipments of raw materials to manufacturers, s...

Steady Gold Amid Choppy Recovery

Initial jobless claims are declining painfully slowly. The disconnect between the choppy recovery and financial markets creates upward risk for gold. The initial jobless claims still paint grim picture . They amounted to 1.48 million in the week from June 13 to June 2...

Surging Retail Sales, Cautious Powell, and Gold

Retail sales came in really strong in May, which could strengthen risk appetite, but the dovish Fed should support gold. However, the sales were still 6 percent lower than a year ago, which means that the coronavirus crisis has not ended yet. But such reports may, neve...

Buzz on the Bullboards: Of interest rates and rebates

Inflation continues to surge out of control to the point where grocery rebates seem to offer little help to struggling Canadians. This holiday-shortened week, markets are adjusting to the U.S. Federal Reserve’s move to raise interest rates. Investors a...

Buzz on the Bullboards: The Bank of Canada's 5% solution

The Bank of Canada officially raised its benchmark interest rate this week for the second consecutive meeting, hiking the lending rate by 25 basis points to 5 per cent — its highest level in 22 years. In tandem with this, the National Bank Financial Markets has downg...

Buzz on the Bullboards: A diagnosis on the health of the economy

It has been a bit of a stalemate for North American markets this week as indices nudged one way or another. Earnings report have been rolling in, with some major U.S. banks reporting a slowdown in profits, others saw better-than-expected earnings. Traders are tracking an ...

Record-Long Expansion and Gold

Ladies and Gentlemen, it has finally happened! The current expansion already goes on for 121 months, becoming the longest economic boom in the US history. Should we celebrate now? Or should we worry, as all good things come to an end, and whatever lasts long, ends up even...

The S&P 500 Bull Is Slowly Climbing the Wall of Worry

You may ask whether the S&P 500 rebound has stalled, or is that just a healthy consolidation – to which I would reply that the market is merely digesting gains from its sharp upside reversal. In the battle of narratives, the corona second wave fears still play second fiddle to...

Part II - Is The Debt Crisis About To Be Reborn In 2020?

There are some key elements of political and economic Super-Cycles that all traders must stay aware of listed below. But if you have not yet read PART I do so now. - Very often, 12+ months before a major US political election cycle, the US stock market typically enters...
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