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Transportation stock breakout is a good omen for the economy

The transportation stocks often lead the economy in both directions. That makes sense since truckers and railroads get an early look at the beginning stage of economic reversals in both directions. They get to see changes in the shipments of raw materials to manufacturers, s...

Steady Gold Amid Choppy Recovery

Initial jobless claims are declining painfully slowly. The disconnect between the choppy recovery and financial markets creates upward risk for gold. The initial jobless claims still paint grim picture . They amounted to 1.48 million in the week from June 13 to June 2...

Surging Retail Sales, Cautious Powell, and Gold

Retail sales came in really strong in May, which could strengthen risk appetite, but the dovish Fed should support gold. However, the sales were still 6 percent lower than a year ago, which means that the coronavirus crisis has not ended yet. But such reports may, neve...

Buzz on the Bullboards: Of interest rates and rebates

Inflation continues to surge out of control to the point where grocery rebates seem to offer little help to struggling Canadians. This holiday-shortened week, markets are adjusting to the U.S. Federal Reserve’s move to raise interest rates. Investors a...

Buzz on the Bullboards: The Bank of Canada's 5% solution

The Bank of Canada officially raised its benchmark interest rate this week for the second consecutive meeting, hiking the lending rate by 25 basis points to 5 per cent — its highest level in 22 years. In tandem with this, the National Bank Financial Markets has downg...

Buzz on the Bullboards: A diagnosis on the health of the economy

It has been a bit of a stalemate for North American markets this week as indices nudged one way or another. Earnings report have been rolling in, with some major U.S. banks reporting a slowdown in profits, others saw better-than-expected earnings. Traders are tracking an ...

The S&P 500 Bull Is Slowly Climbing the Wall of Worry

You may ask whether the S&P 500 rebound has stalled, or is that just a healthy consolidation – to which I would reply that the market is merely digesting gains from its sharp upside reversal. In the battle of narratives, the corona second wave fears still play second fiddle to...

When Will it be Safe to Jump Back into the Gold and Silver Pool?

Once again the DSI (Daily Sentiment Indicator) made an accurate call on a major top in gold and silver. The DSI reached nosebleed territory for gold about four weeks ago suggesting the metals were nearing shoal waters. Silver and platinum got stupid a week ago and I su...

Gold Cycle Forecast Signals Bottom Is Near

It is absolutely amazing how the precious metals markets have followed our October 2018 predictions almost like clockwork. Our call for an April 21~24 momentum base below $1300 followed by an extensive rally to levels above $1550 has been playing out almost like we scripted th...

Warning: Credit Delinquencies To Skyrocket In Q4

Farm delinquencies skyrocket +24% year over year as global trade issues and the ability to service credit continues to be a problem. This is a tell-tale sign that the US Fed decreased the Prime Rate recently as a result of broader credit issues related to higher interest rates...
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