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Is Yesterday’s USDX Decline About to Trigger PMs Rally?

Although its decline was not yet significant, the USD Index finally declined yesterday. Given the recent breakout above the November 2019 highs, this move lower might leave one with mixed feelings. The USDX in the Short Run On one hand, the USD Index just closed abov...

Bear Market Rallies: The Nascent Narcotic

The 2018-2019 bear market rally that we identified during the last week of 2018 via the 2019 Forecast Issue, entitled " 2019: Mayhem, Misallocation and the Mockery of True Price Discovery ," is now on record as one of the most ferocious rallies ever recorded, as short sel...

Confusion Reigns (Or What to Do When Nothing Makes Sense)

As I reach end-of-week, end-of-month book-squaring, where all of my urgent e-mails and all of my myopic missives and all of my topical tweets are summarized in once terse and quite concise "Monthly P&L," I am astounded at the most recent example of how masterfully the Gol...

Silver: The HARD Look

In this week's commentary, I am going to respond to the rash of end-of-the-world emails and terror-stricken texts that bombarded me after the BLS reported a better-than-expected Non-Farm Payrolls number Friday that sent stocks screaming higher and the precious metals in...

Surprise, Surprise, Surprise

Sector expert Michael Ballanger describes why he has swung from long to short on the precious metals and miners. Before we go any further, let it be known that in the days leading up to this missive, i have gone from "net long" to "net short" on gold, silver...

Post-FOMC Commentary: Delusions of Grandeur

Sector expert Michael Ballanger reacts to today's Federal Open Market Committee meeting. To the surprise of the many and the chagrin of the few, the Fed opted to do nothing with policy today and left rates unchanged despite clarion calls for a cut. As I wrot...

Is The Other Shoe About To Drop With Fed News?

We've been watching the markets today and over the past few days after the Saudi Arabia attack and are surprised with the real lack of volatility in the US major markets – excluding the incredible move higher, then lower in Oil. The real news appears to be something completely...

Powerful Lessons of Silver’s Daily Reversals

Friday’s session was exceptional for several reasons and the most profound ones are gold’s and silver’s sizable intraday rally, and the subsequent slide. The reversals that both metals created are practically screaming signs poin...

Zig-Zagging Gold Is Not Necessarily Bearish Gold

In Friday’s article, we wrote that what comes up must co..rrect and gold has indeed shown to be in a corrective mode. We also wrote that the yellow metal was unlikely to break below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement based on the previous upswing and while gold ...

High Yield Bond and Transports Signal Gold By Signal

Technical Analysis is the theory that price relates all news, fundamental and correlative future expectations into current and recent price activity. It is the theory that price is the ultimate indicator and that charts paint a very clear picture for those individuals that are...
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