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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Aphria Inc. APHA

Aphria, which is headquartered in Ontario, produces and sells medicinal and recreational cannabis. The company operates through retail and wholesale channels in Canada and internationally. Aphria is a main distributor of medical cannabis to Germany and has operations in over 10 countries outside of Canada. However, it does not have exposure to the U.S. CBD or THC markets due to the constraints... see more

NDAQ:APHA - Post Discussion

Aphria Inc. > Food for Thought Aphria-Tilray-New and improved Tilray
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Post by Ventura2020 on Dec 29, 2020 7:16pm

Food for Thought Aphria-Tilray-New and improved Tilray

December 15, 2020 at market close and prior to the NR December, 16 APHA SP Nasdaq 

·      $8.12 USD
       
      15 days later 

December 29, 2020 at market close TLRY SP Nasdaq 

·      $8.21 USD

The way I have been looking at this for quite some time now is... 

TLRY is really APHA in my mind, until an NR comes out saying different, acquisition terminated.

I know some don’t like this deal, the .838:1 or just…why TLRY? I get that as well.
However, if you look at it in the way I described above (some have I’m sure) TLRY is holding pretty steady, all due in part to who they really are…Aphria (New TLRY).

TLRY
·      +1.10% since market close December 15

CGC 
·      - 9.30% since market close December 15

Also don’t let anyone fool you on the share price between TLRY and APHA.

·      .838:1 = 19.33%
·      That’s where it’s trending 18-22%
·      If it goes beyond,25, 30, 40 %, you still get .838/1 shares of the New TLRY. Can't see that
       happening though.

For myself, I hold APHA and cheer for TLRY to go up or hold steady. (see above comments)
My only concern is if the Acquisition is terminated, but I don’t think this will be another Aurora. It will happen very quickly after APHA Q2 release in January.

Don’t let anyone fool you on who the 800lb gorilla is!!! One gorilla has lost some considerable weight in the last 15 days and it's certainly not the NEW $$$TLRY$$$!!!

Cheers,
Ventura
Comment by Oldweed on Dec 29, 2020 7:27pm
yep, Anhouser Busch is getting a hell if a deal in comparison to what premium STZ payed, and that is where this is all heading.
Comment by Ventura2020 on Dec 29, 2020 9:03pm
Yup, top 8 on the globe...right where New and improved TLRY will  be #1 1) Anheuser-Busch InBev. 2) Heineken. 3) China Resources Snow Breweries. 4) Carlsberg. 5) Molson Coors Brewing. 6) Tsingtao Brewery Group. 7) Asahi. 8) Yanjing.
Comment by BudFoxx2020 on Dec 29, 2020 10:05pm
Am not here to insult anyone, just here to post actual facts based on real due dilligence and experience.  These posts just show there is no due delligence done at all and does not help the board.  I have been in the MJ sector from the beginning, I have read and traded about every deals that have went down in the MJ sector.  So, I have a pretty good grasp of the whole sector.  ...more  
Comment by Oldweed on Dec 29, 2020 10:45pm
everything you state is accurate and is also there for anyone to see what is right in front of your nose. What you are preaching is sound investing principals and there us nothing wrong with that. Speculation is an entirely different beast and the opportunity that may bring if done early in the game...and that IMO is where the MJ sector is. On another note if just about every MJ play is tanking ...more  
Comment by Ventura2020 on Dec 29, 2020 10:56pm
Budfox2020, with all due respect, I see you are a new member to Stockhouse as well, like myself. However, I only have been trading MJ stocks since early mid March (the crash), joined Stockhouse in September. What took you so long to share all this wisdom? I do agree on one point, Do your own due diligence! On the rest, you are way off the mark. IS does not need AB, nor does the New Tilray. They ...more  
Comment by BudFoxx2020 on Dec 30, 2020 10:34pm
Since he wants to take a shot at me.  Just Lol at his post.  He been trading MJ since mid March.  Lol.  I been trading MJ since the beginning.  Since tweed, acb, Apha, Ogi were still babies penny stock and I mean real penny stocks.  All trading on the venture.  I got out of the sector when it crashed because the rise was not based on actual fundamentals.  I ...more  
Comment by Ventura2020 on Dec 30, 2020 11:24pm
Key words... I have posted here in the past but I lost my password for my old account because I stopped following the sector. Only kids lose thier passwords. I know, I have 4 of them. Why? Because they have so many Bullsh!t emails, they can't keep track of them, little own the password.  Hint, Bud. When you sign in with your email, below that is the password and below that, to the ...more  
Comment by CommonCentsforDollars on Dec 30, 2020 11:29pm
What was your old account user name? I bought my first slab of Aphria shares in the 70 cent territory. So if you really are OG I will remember your old ID.  No reason to call everyone a kid or clown and all that having a temper tantrum just because they don't have the same viewpoint. If you don't like the deal then why bother. Right. The reality is Tilray has made better in ...more  
Comment by BudFoxx2020 on Dec 30, 2020 10:50pm
And seriously you really thinks Tilray will be #1 out of all these behemoth.  This is how much this kid knows about the markets.  Anyone really taking him seriously.  Another clown I will not bother wasting my time with.  If anyone wants to deabte I am up for it, anyone that actullay is knowledgeable.  Otherwise don't take shots at me otherwise I will be forced to ...more  
Comment by Marts87 on Dec 29, 2020 7:45pm
Ventura: Great info again. Thanks for sharing. The way I see it, apha began its descent once the NR came out stating the .83:1. It popped initially during the initial NR (primarily after hours) and began down trending once the details of the deal were published.  I think it's honestly good news regardless of the acquisition result. If the reverse acquisition is dead in the water, Apha ...more  
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