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Bullboard - Stock Discussion Forum Oncolytics Biotech Inc T.ONC

Alternate Symbol(s):  ONCY

Oncolytics Biotech Inc. is a biotechnology company. The Company is focused on developing pelareorep, an intravenously delivered immunotherapeutic agent that activates the innate and adaptive immune systems and weakens tumor defense mechanisms. This compound induces anti-cancer immune responses and promotes an inflamed tumor phenotype turning cold tumors hot through innate and adaptive immune... see more

TSX:ONC - Post Discussion

Oncolytics Biotech Inc > ONC fair value is $152.36 CDN or $114USD
View:
Post by TMAZZ21 on Feb 02, 2023 5:29pm

ONC fair value is $152.36 CDN or $114USD

According to this website to the below website ONC fair value is $152.36 CDN

Now ponder that stock price 

https://simplywall.st/stocks/ca/pharmaceuticals-biotech/tsx-onc/oncolytics-biotech-shares/valuation


 

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of ONC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

98.4%UndervaluedCurrent PriceCA$2.49Fair ValueCA$152.3620% UndervaluedAbout Right20% Overvalued
 
 

Below Fair Value: ONC (CA$2.49) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$152.36)

Comment by Buckhenry on Feb 02, 2023 7:23pm
yes but you did not read the fine print.... that was in monopoly money!!! lol
Comment by canadafan on Feb 02, 2023 8:08pm
Onc traded at $60+/ share years ago, when it was discovered that Pelareorep only lives in cancer cells. brining up to todays standards. RBC uses present value calculations of forward sales, based on an estimated market of $5billion/ year in sales. That only includes MBc cancer treatment.  They do add significant upside with additional data. a sp of $150 would indicate a market cap of ...more  
Comment by Noteable on Feb 04, 2023 8:55pm
Sounds about right.
Comment by Noteable on Feb 05, 2023 2:16pm
The above valuation estimates revenues of approximately US$7.75 per share = US$155 per share at 20 price to earnings (p/e) = US$9.45 Billion as a "fair value" valuation for ONCY.
Comment by Noteable on Feb 05, 2023 4:00pm
For comparison Merck announced full year 2022 worldwide sales at $59.3 billion, an increase of 22% from full year 2021. During 2022, Keytruda sales climbed to $20.94 billion, up 22 percent from $17.19 billion in 2021. Lynparza sales were also up for the full year, hitting and exceeding the billion-dollar sales mark for the first time at $1.12 billion, a 13 percent increase versus $989 ...more  
Comment by Noteable on Feb 06, 2023 4:27pm
Here's what the Doctor said : "Considering that ONCY has the potential of increasing the effectiveness of PD-(L)1 inhibitors by 2-3x, Big Pharma companies that currently possess an immune checkpoint inhibitor appear significantly interested in acquiring ONCY (pelareorep) given pelareorep's ability to enhance checkpoint inhibitor efficacy while expanding the PD-(L)1 market in the ...more  
Comment by Noteable on Feb 06, 2023 2:19pm
With the potential of ONCY's forward earnings equalling US$7.75 per share x 20 p/e = US$155 per share = US$9.45 Billion as a "fair value" valuation for ONCY. Notwithstanding that the historical P/E for the biotechnology sector is considerable higher (between 20 and 48) as referenced below: https://eqvista.com/price-to-earnings-pe-ratios-by-industry/ Biotechnology ...more  
Comment by Lesalpes29 on Feb 06, 2023 3:17pm
Not many People are betting on the potential! But who knows, maybe I'm sitting on a pile of cash! 
Comment by Noteable on Feb 06, 2023 3:29pm
Lesalpes29 : You and your friends appear to be the only "Not many People" that you have referenced. And I won't comment on the way that you are "betting".
Comment by Buckhenry on Feb 06, 2023 3:38pm
Lesaples... I would not expect a Christmas card from unnoteable this year.  I honestly cant believe how polarized folks get on this site. this just folks opinions and speculation.  I treat  this as an entertainment site and maybe glean a bit of pertinent information now and then.  otherwise its just fun to irritate the dreaming forever pumpers. 
Comment by YegJeeber on Feb 06, 2023 10:21pm
And what makes YOU any different by deriding those show support or make "pumping" comments about ONCY? Hypocrite - they name is basher. 
Comment by Buckhenry on Feb 06, 2023 10:52pm
unnoteable and some others have just got out of hand here. they can't tolerate anyone who thinks different or has a different viewpoint. and know there is dissension among their clan. no one knows if there is a buyout on the horizon and they certainly dont know the price so quit showing your ignorance. 
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