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Monthly Breadth: Dark Clouds Or A Ray Of Hope?

MONTHLY BREADTH - MARCH 2000 Last week’s post looked at a weekly volume-based breadth indicator. With June in the history books, it is a good time to review the message from monthly breadth charts. As shown below, the monthly NYSE Advance-Decline Line peaked in 1998 and thu...
Chris Ciovacco | July 3, 2019 |

Global breadth remains supportive for stocks

As the trade war impacts the U.S. economy, global breadth remains supportive for stocks. Today’s headlines: Global breadth Defensive stocks outperforming Imports and exports hit by trade war Mortgage Refinance Index spikes Will the S...
Troy Bombardia | June 13, 2019 |

What Typically Happens When These Charts Flip?

TOPPING PROCESS DOT-COM BEAR MARKET One of the best ways to strip opinions and personal bias out of any market analysis is to compare facts from the past to present-day facts. Near the latter stages of a major stock market topping pattern that formed between 1999 and 2001, ...
Chris Ciovacco | June 19, 2019 |

Gold and Gold Stocks Stop Short of Bull Market, Again

The recent rally showed quite a bit of promise. Gold stocks surged past their long-term moving averages while breadth indicators surpassed all prior bear market peaks (excluding 2016). 71% of the HUI and 81% of GDXJ closed above the 200-day moving average. GDX and GDXJ...
Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT | March 5, 2019 |

Updating January's Rare S&P 500 Setup

THIRD CONSECUTIVE MONTHLY CLOSE As described in detail below, when the S&P 500 closed above the monthly Bollinger Band centerline at the end of January, it aligned the present day with favorable historical probabilities and also provided some distance from setups in the 197...
Chris Ciovacco | April 4, 2019 |

Fed Goes All In - As In All In, and Stocks Like It

On the heels of the Fed’s unlimited QE promise, the S&P 500 sprang to life finally. All the gains though were given up in less than three hours. As the futures keep climbing overnight, does it herald a turnaround? Let’s start our analysis wi...
Monica Kingsley | March 24, 2020 |

Market outlook: is the stock market climbing a wall of worries?

The stock market has rallied significantly over the past 6 months. Yet every single day we are bombarded with more things to “worry about”. Macro worries, trade worries, yield curve worries, etc. While there are certain pockets of weakness in the U.S. e...
Troy Bombardia | July 2, 2019 |

Is the Waterfall in S&P 500 Over Now?

After Thursday's blood bath, Friday's recovery fizzled out, new weekly lows were made and as well rejected – where next in this correction? Given the preceding momentum, I would look for some more down-to-sideways action before the upswing reasserts itself. Despite the late-Fr...
Monica Kingsley | June 15, 2020 |

Are Institutions Selling Into This Rally?

SIGNS OF WEAKNESS - MARCH 2000 The weekly chart below shows NYSE volume associated with advancing issues less volume associated with declining issues (NYUD). During the topping process in 1999-2000, notice how NYUD made a discernible lower high relative to the S&P 500’s ...
Chris Ciovacco | June 26, 2019 |

What Can Stop the Stock Bull – Or At Least, Make It Pause?

Stocks are entering the holiday-shortened week on a strong note. There was no selloff on Friday, as has been the case three preceding weeks in a row. This weekend, there were no spooky coronavirus headlines. Stocks finished on Friday close to their yearly highs, and the beat g...
Monica Kingsley | February 18, 2020 |
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