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Will Fed’s New Balance Sheet Policy be a Reason to Buy Gold?

As always, most analysts focus not on what they really should. After March FOMC meeting, everyone was talking about the more dovish dot-plot . But the Fed also announced that it will end the unwinding of its balance sheet in September. As these changes are revolutionary...
Arkadiusz Sieron | April 29, 2019 |

What Has Freaked Out The US Fed?

The US Fed cut rates again by 25 basis points, the third time this year. Prior to the start of 2019, the US Fed gave guidance that 3 to 4 more rate increases were planned for 2019. What the heck happened to the US Fed and what has them so freaked out that they completely chang...
Chris Vermeulen | October 31, 2019 |

What Does the New Fed’s Regime Imply for Gold?

The Fed promised that the quantitative easing would be only temporary and that it would reduce its ballooned balance sheet to the pre-crisis level. Now, as the Fed adopted an interest targeting with ample-reserves, we know that this is not going to happen. We invite you to...
Arkadiusz Sieron | May 21, 2019 |

Will Fed and Trump Save the US Economy And Sink Gold?

The Trump administration will seek an additional $250 billion to support small businesses hurt by the widespread economic shutdown and slowdown. Will the government and the Fed save the US economy? What would be the consequences for the gold market? US Epidemiological Upda...
Arkadiusz Sieron | April 9, 2020 |

Bond sell-off is due to become more serious

With my indicators on a sell signal for bonds since August 16, I have been warning about bonds being overbought and in danger of rolling over into a serious correction for several months. And indeed, the 20-year U.S. Treasury bond has already lost 11% of its value just since...
Sy Harding | January 7, 2013 |

Core Inflation Rises but Fed Is Going to Cut Rates. Will Gold Gain?

The combination doesn’t feel right. Actually, something stinks – just what is it exactly? Payrolls were strong, while core inflation rose. Nevertheless, the Fed signaled it’s going to cut interest rate. Our shiny yellow friend, can you help us m...
Arkadiusz Sieron | July 16, 2019 |

Digging into the Rising Gold: Trade Tensions, Recessionary Worries and Dovish Fed

President Trump announced a 5% tariff on Mexican goods. It added to the concerns about the state of the U.S. economy and prompted the Fed officials to soften their language. With no end to the U.S. - China trade dispute in sight, gold jumped above $1,330 in response. Can it mo...
Arkadiusz Sieron | June 11, 2019 |

Will Fed‘s Cap On Interest Rates Trigger Gold’s Rally?

Last week, the FOMC released the minutes from its last meeting. What implications do they carry for the gold market? FOMC Finally Acknowledges the Situation As Serious Last week, the FOMC has published minutes of its meeting from April 28-29. They show that the Fed...
Arkadiusz Sieron | May 27, 2020 |

Will Repogeddon Make Gold Rally?

One of the most important recent developments in the world of finance was the September liquidity crisis in the U.S. repo market. As a reminder, the repo market is where borrowers borrow cash from lenders against collateral in the form of safe securities such as government bon...
Arkadiusz Sieron | November 8, 2019 |

May Payrolls Disappoint. Fed to the Rescue? And Gold?

On Friday, it was announced that the U.S. added merely 75,000 jobs in May. Needless to say, a severe disappointment on the downside. The talk of an oncoming recession, and the interest rate cut speculations – were boosted. Is it justified? How close are we actually to the end ...
Arkadiusz Sieron | June 12, 2019 |
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