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History Says Stocks Can Perform Very Well After Big Oil Shocks

HOW CONCERNING IS THE RECENT SPIKE IN OIL PRICES? Monday’s news was filled with blurbs similar to the one below from CNBC: “Stocks fell on Monday amid fears that a surge in oil prices following an attack in Saudi Arabia could slow down global economic g...
Chris Ciovacco | September 18, 2019 |

The Road Ahead May Be Brighter Than Expectations

THE BIG PICTURE Recent data seems to cast doubt on the seemingly never-ending call for an imminent recession. From a September 20, 2019 Bloomberg article: “The U.S. economy is outperforming expectations by the most this year, offering a fresh rebuttal to last month&C...
Chris Ciovacco | September 24, 2019 |

Trade, Impeachment, And The Conviction Of Buyers And Sellers

ROLLOVER PROCESS 2007-2008 Since every trade has a buyer and a seller, price action in the financial markets is determined by the conviction of buyers relative to the conviction of sellers. In the first half of 2007 (chart below), the conviction of buyers became stronger t...
Chris Ciovacco | September 30, 2019 |

Similar Drops In ISM Manufacturing Data

RARE AND RAPID DROP IN ISM MANUFACTURING ISM Manufacturing PMI Index came in well below expectations on October 1, 2019 sparking renewed fear of a recession. Given the ISM Manufacturing Index was strong in August 2018 and plunged rapidly to the October 1, 2019 lev...
Chris Ciovacco | October 3, 2019 |

British Pound Struggling At New Resistance

For many weeks running, GBP/USD has been trading sideways in the pink consolidation. After moving higher recently, just what are the chances of the breakout sticking? GBP/USD recently broke above the pink multi-week consolidation, and the bulls didn’...
Nadia Simmons | December 9, 2019 |

Oil’s Ongoing Struggle at Multiple Resistances. Resolution Just Ahead?

Although crude oil futures moved a bit higher yesterday, the major resistance zone created by three gaps and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement again stopped the buyers. A pullback followed, and the futures invalidated the earlier breakout above the previous peaks. Tog...
Nadia Simmons | December 9, 2019 |

Australian Dollar At an Important Juncture

It can be certainly said that AUD/USD has surprised on the upside recently. Having reached several important resistances, and attempting breakout above them, what else can be said about the pair’s current and upcoming performance? Let’s...
Nadia Simmons | December 13, 2019 |

Swiss Franc Is Going from Strength to Strength, Seemingly Unstoppable

The Swiss franc certainly appears to be in high demand lately but can it keep strengthening? With today’s candle being a bearish one, it seems one question too many. But let’s take a thorough look at the situation for what it is. USD/CH...
Nadia Simmons | December 18, 2019 |

Unable to Keep Previous Day’s Gains, It’s a Groundhog Day for the Oil Bulls

Although crude oil futures again moved higher during yesterday’s session, rising above the upper border of the rising green trend channel and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, the bulls didn’t manage to hold gained ground. This very same devel...
Nadia Simmons | December 20, 2019 |

Oil Bulls Keep Trying But the Technical Headwinds Are Stiff

Crude oil futures moved higher once again during yesterday’s session, overcoming the upper border of the rising green trend channel for the third time in a row. While the futures finished the day above this resistance , the bulls didn’t ...
Nadia Simmons | December 20, 2019 |
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