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2019 Market Action Points To Positive Long-Term Outcomes

FOCUS TENDS TO BE SHORT-TERM Investors and traders have a tendency to fall into the recency-bias trap over and over. For example, after the S&P 500 closed at a new weekly high on Friday, July 12, it was easy to believe “the bulls are firmly in control”. Fast forward t...
Chris Ciovacco | July 22, 2019 |

Are Financials Hinting At 2011/2016-Like Stock Market Rally?

TRYING TO MAKE A RELATIVE TURN The chart below shows the performance of financial stocks (XLF) relative to the S&P 500 (SPY). Since making a low in late 2011 (point A), the XLF:SPY ratio has been trading in the slightly upward-sloping blue trend channel. Anecdotally, it is...
Chris Ciovacco | April 9, 2019 |

This Signal Points To More Upside In Stocks

NEW MONTHLY SIGNALS The MSCI World Index tracks over one thousand large and mid-cap stocks in twenty-two developed countries, covering 85% of the market capitalization in those regions. As shown via the chart below, a positive monthly MACD cross was just nailed down on the...
Chris Ciovacco | December 3, 2019 |

After An Extremely Rare Move In Bonds, How Have Stocks And Bonds Performed In The Past?

LEARNING FROM HISTORICAL MARKET FACTS When investors are concerned about future economic outcomes, they often migrate toward more defensive-oriented long-term U.S. Treasury bonds (TLT). The recent surge in demand for defensive bonds caused an extremely rare and extended loo...
Chris Ciovacco | June 11, 2019 |

These Charts Say 2018 Was A Major Bottom

RECENT SIGNAL SEEN NEAR 2002 AND 2009 LOWS As shown in the chart below, the S&P 500 Bullish Percent Index (BPSPX) recently completed a bullish turn that has only taken place two previous times since 1996. In late December 2018, BPSPX reached a rare oversold state denoted b...
Chris Ciovacco | February 11, 2020 |

Psychedelic Leader to Advance Mental Health in 2021 with Growth of Clinics, Lab and Partnerships

(Image via Numinus Wellness Inc.) In 2020, Health Canada began allowing select patients to take psilocybin for relief of end-of-life-distress. This was followed by a proposed regulation revision that could allow doctors to prescribe both psilocybin and MDMA for t...
Stockhouse Editorial | January 14, 2021 |

Global Dow Nails Down Bullish Signal

SIGN OF GROWING CONFIDENCE At the end of November, monthly CCI completed a momentum round trip by closing above 100 after closing below -100 in late 2018. CCI helps us track market momentum. The turn that just took place over the last year is typically associated with a si...
Chris Ciovacco | December 18, 2019 |

Software For Safe Medical Cannabis Access

Alternate Health’s integrated health services features clinical laboratories and CanaPass - online patient management software for safe access to medical cannabis. Currently generating revenue, Alternate Health plans to reinvest profit...
BTV-Business Television | June 9, 2018 |

The Message From The Stock/Bond Ratio

BONDS WERE EXTENDED AT THE END OF MAY Rare extended look on May 31, 2019. A June 4 post outlined an extremely rare and extended condition in the bond market that had only occurred ten times in the past thirty-three years. The historical cases told us to be open to a pe...
Chris Ciovacco | July 31, 2019 |

The Six Most Powerful Charts On Wall Street

THIS IS WHAT A MAJOR TREND REVERSAL LOOKS LIKE The three periods shown below produced an average peak-to-trough loss of over 50%. Thus, it is prudent to understand some of the common characteristics found in all three cases. We can then look for similar characteristics in ...
Chris Ciovacco | October 16, 2019 |
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