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The Repo Liquidity Crunch Reveals Market Stress. Will Gold Shine?

Last week, the Fed had to inject liquidity into the repo market for the first time since the Great Recession . Not once, but several times – and also commit to do more. Will such a crack in the proverbial dam let gold’s allure shine? Scramble for Liquidity ...
Arkadiusz Sieron | September 24, 2019 |

The Message From Common Stock Market Retracement Levels

RETRACEMENTS SPEAK TO ODDS If we are to believe the market’s rally off the December 2018 low is the last hurrah, we would expect to see some damage on the normal retracement front. Using the last rally into the S&P 500’s major October 2007 p...
Chris Ciovacco | October 8, 2019 |

PART II - Fed Too Late To Prevent A Housing Market Crash?

In Part I of this research, we highlighted the Case-Shiller index of home affordability and how it relates to the US real estate market and consumer economic activity going forward. We warned that once consumers start to shift away from an optimistic view of the economy, t...
Chris Vermeulen | August 22, 2019 |

Is The Technology Sector Setting Up For A Crash? Part I

One thing that continues to amaze our research team is the total scale and scope of the Capital Shift which is taking place across the globe. For almost 5+ years, foreign investors have been piling into the US stock market chasing the stronger US dollar and continued advance...
Chris Vermeulen | February 14, 2020 |

Will Fed‘s Cap On Interest Rates Trigger Gold’s Rally?

Last week, the FOMC released the minutes from its last meeting. What implications do they carry for the gold market? FOMC Finally Acknowledges the Situation As Serious Last week, the FOMC has published minutes of its meeting from April 28-29. They show that the Fed...
Arkadiusz Sieron | May 27, 2020 |

Financial Sector Under Pressure and What It Means

The Financial sector is unique in that it is an essential component of global economics as well as local economic functions. Consumers depend on banking services, credit, and all sorts of other financial services in their day-to-day lives. The Financial sector is one of the ...
Chris Vermeulen | June 11, 2020 |

What happens To The Global Economy If Oil Collapses Below $40 – Part III

This, the final section of this multi-part research article, will continue our exploration of the consequences that may result from our ADL predictive modeling system's suggestion that Oil may continue to fall to levels below $40 over the next few months. In Part I an...
Chris Vermeulen | November 15, 2019 |

Stocks Have Entered a 25-35year Crisis Cycle Re-evaluation Event

We can only imagine what many of you are thinking and feeling right now. Shock? Concern? Despair? Some of you have already emailed us asking about the US and Global markets to find out what our predictive modeling systems are suggesting. Today, we’re going to...
Chris Vermeulen | April 2, 2020 |

Real Estate Showing Signs Of Collateral Damage- Part II

Continuing our multi-part article related to our belief the Real Estate sector is about become the next big segment to begin to collapse as a result of the COVID-19 virus event and the extended shutdowns taking place throughout the globe, we’ll continue to re...
Chris Vermeulen | May 19, 2020 |

Gold’s Long-term Turning Point is Here

Historical precedents are in many a technician's toolbox – and it's a tool they reach for with success repeatedly. Does the yellow metal offer any interesting parallels? Gold had declined and it recovered, but the above simply prolongs the 2008-2020 analogy; it doesn&Close...
Przemyslaw Radomski, CFA | June 22, 2020 |
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