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The Road Ahead May Be Brighter Than Expectations

THE BIG PICTURE Recent data seems to cast doubt on the seemingly never-ending call for an imminent recession. From a September 20, 2019 Bloomberg article: “The U.S. economy is outperforming expectations by the most this year, offering a fresh rebuttal to last month&C...
Chris Ciovacco | September 24, 2019 |

History Says Stocks Can Perform Very Well After Big Oil Shocks

HOW CONCERNING IS THE RECENT SPIKE IN OIL PRICES? Monday’s news was filled with blurbs similar to the one below from CNBC: “Stocks fell on Monday amid fears that a surge in oil prices following an attack in Saudi Arabia could slow down global economic g...
Chris Ciovacco | September 18, 2019 |

Rally or New Bull Market?

In recent days the market has moved from expecting a rate cut by January 2020 to now expecting as much as three rate cuts by then. As a result both Gold and gold stocks launched higher, forming a “three white soldiers” bullish reversal pattern. Last w...
Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT | June 11, 2019 |

Trade, Impeachment, And The Conviction Of Buyers And Sellers

ROLLOVER PROCESS 2007-2008 Since every trade has a buyer and a seller, price action in the financial markets is determined by the conviction of buyers relative to the conviction of sellers. In the first half of 2007 (chart below), the conviction of buyers became stronger t...
Chris Ciovacco | September 30, 2019 |

Similar Drops In ISM Manufacturing Data

RARE AND RAPID DROP IN ISM MANUFACTURING ISM Manufacturing PMI Index came in well below expectations on October 1, 2019 sparking renewed fear of a recession. Given the ISM Manufacturing Index was strong in August 2018 and plunged rapidly to the October 1, 2019 lev...
Chris Ciovacco | October 3, 2019 |

Will Powell Cut Interest Rates, Triggering Gold Rally?

Yesterday we wrote about Draghi , so today Powell is our hero. Only one week separates us from the pivotal FOMC meeting. What should gold investors expect? First Fed Cut Since 2008 In a week, the Fed may deliver its first interest rate cut since 2008. Given the mark...
Arkadiusz Sieron | July 24, 2019 |

Calculate the Trading Strategies' Profitability like a Pro

Investors venture into cryptocurrency trading to gain profits. They employ customized trading strategies, portfolio management strategies, and progressive investment decisions throughout their trade. Due to the progressive nature of trading, tracking one&CloseCurlyQuote...
Julia Beyers | September 5, 2019 |

The Six Most Powerful Charts On Wall Street

THIS IS WHAT A MAJOR TREND REVERSAL LOOKS LIKE The three periods shown below produced an average peak-to-trough loss of over 50%. Thus, it is prudent to understand some of the common characteristics found in all three cases. We can then look for similar characteristics in ...
Chris Ciovacco | October 16, 2019 |

Silver Is Still Cheap For Now

Silver is still near all-time lows in many ways. One of the most significant measures wherein silver is at an all-time low, is its price relative to the amount of US dollars (US monetary base) in existence. Below, is a long-term chart of the silver price relative to the US...
Hubert Moolman | June 25, 2020 |

Treasury Inversion and Political Fed Cycles

With so much news hitting the wires regarding the Treasury Inversion level and the “potential pending recession”, we wanted to shed a little insight into this phenomenon and what we believe the most likely outcome to be going forward. Our researchers, at ...
Chris Vermeulen | March 26, 2019 |
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