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Falling Yields a Catalyst for The Catalyst

Since last spring we’ve written over and over again about a Fed rate cut being the catalyst for a bull move in gold stocks. The history is almost bulletproof. Many lows in gold stocks over the past 60 years coincided with the end of rate hikes. At prese...
Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT | March 25, 2019 |

Can Gold Rise Without a Rate Cut?

Can Gold Rise Without a Rate Cut? The downside potential in precious metals discussed last week is playing out as Gold and gold stocks have broken down technically. The global economy appears to be firming and that is evidenced by a sustained rebound in global equity mar...
Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT | April 23, 2019 |

Will Powell Cut Interest Rates, Triggering Gold Rally?

Yesterday we wrote about Draghi , so today Powell is our hero. Only one week separates us from the pivotal FOMC meeting. What should gold investors expect? First Fed Cut Since 2008 In a week, the Fed may deliver its first interest rate cut since 2008. Given the mark...
Arkadiusz Sieron | July 24, 2019 |

The Coming Catalyst for Gold Stocks

We have written for over a year about the historical importance of the shift in Federal Reserve policy. We’ve noted that over the past 65 years in 11 of 13 rate cut cycles the gold stocks have enjoyed tremendous gains. The historical data shows an average gain ...
Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT | June 5, 2019 |

Gold Declines As the Fed Dampens Rate Cut Expectations

What a week! On Tuesday, gold prices hit a six-year peak of almost $1,440. But they declined since then to almost $1,400. What is happening? We got the Fed speaking… Let’s dive in to the implications of what has been said. Rally in Gold Ends As we ...
Arkadiusz Sieron | June 27, 2019 |

Hawkish Rate Cut Sends Gold Prices Down

Yesterday, the Fed trimmed down the interest rates. This was widely expected – yet a blunt ruling out of an extended easing cycle wasn’t. The price of gold profoundly declined. Looking beneath the headline, what happened exactly? Fed Cuts Interest Rates by 2...
Arkadiusz Sieron | August 1, 2019 |

Fed’s Cut Puzzle and Gold

At the end of July, the Fed trimmed the federal funds rate . However, the dovish U-turn within the FOMC amid solid US economy remains a mystery. We invite you to read our today’s article about the Fed’s cut puzzle and its find out what do...
Arkadiusz Sieron | September 6, 2019 |

Employment Data, Rate Cut Speculations and Gold

If you look at the manufacturing data only, the relative strength of the jobs figures surprised. Another positive development were the upward revisions for August and July. The unemployment rate again dropped, this time to 3.5 percent. What will that mean for the Fed and gold?...
Arkadiusz Sieron | October 9, 2019 |

Stocks Seem Not Convinced by Yesterday’s Surprise Cut

Stocks opened up on a bullish note yesterday, but the bulls gave up all of their gains and then some. This has happened despite the Fed’s surprise rate cut that intended to calm the markets. As stocks closed the day back below the key support, where does that l...
Monica Kingsley | March 5, 2020 |

Is the Trade War a Catalyst for Gold?

Although most of the precious metals sector has trended lower in recent months, Gold has held up well. It and the other, weaker components of precious metals got a boost on Monday when China retaliated with tariffs of its own. There has been little follow through since. ...
Jordan Roy-Byrne, CMT | May 16, 2019 |
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